4-6100%
7-90%
10-120%
<40%
No price data yet
$575,136 Vol.Dec 31, 2025
<4
$50,448 Vol.
No
4-6
$117,814 Vol.
Yes
7-9
$191,096 Vol.
No
10-12
$60,143 Vol.
No
13-15
$45,111 Vol.
No
16-18
$26,702 Vol.
No
19-21
$25,250 Vol.
No
22-24
$27,555 Vol.
No
25+
$31,018 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 16 (inclusive) and 18 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution…