4-6100%
7-90%
10-120%
<40%
No price data yet
$575,136 Vol.Dec 31, 2025
<4
$50,448 Vol.
No
4-6
$117,814 Vol.
Yes
7-9
$191,096 Vol.
No
10-12
$60,143 Vol.
No
13-15
$45,111 Vol.
No
16-18
$26,702 Vol.
No
19-21
$25,250 Vol.
No
22-24
$27,555 Vol.
No
25+
$31,018 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 4 (inclusive) and 6 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution…