5-660%
<533%
7-85.5%
9-102.1%
No price data yet
$491,450 Vol.Dec 31, 2026
<5
$98,632 Vol.
33%
5-6
$113,691 Vol.
60%
7-8
$158,383 Vol.
6%
9-10
$61,002 Vol.
2%
11-12
$8,232 Vol.
2%
13-14
$9,107 Vol.
<1%
15-16
$30,007 Vol.
<1%
>16
$12,396 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market…