Trade War · Trump Presidency
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
<$100b100%
$500b–1t0%
$100–200b0%
$200–500b0%
No price data yet
$9,343,862 Vol.Feb 28, 2026
<$100b
$2,306,902 Vol.
Yes
$100–200b
$1,736,957 Vol.
No
$200–500b
$1,116,195 Vol.
No
$500b–1t
$2,670,721 Vol.
No
$1–2t
$812,350 Vol.
No
$2t+
$700,737 Vol.
No
Rules
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)
If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by…