Politics · Orban

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Tisza 9%+100%

Fidesz-KDNP 9%+0%

Fidesz-KDNP 6-9%0%

Fidesz-KDNP 3-6%0%

No price data yet
$3,614,165 Vol.Apr 12, 2026

Tisza 9%+

$1,028,655 Vol.

Yes

Fidesz-KDNP 9%+

$793,502 Vol.

No

Other

$114,360 Vol.

No

Tisza 0-3%

$167,632 Vol.

No

Fidesz-KDNP 0-3%

$239,042 Vol.

No

Tisza 3-6%

$167,862 Vol.

No

Fidesz-KDNP 3-6%

$251,018 Vol.

No

Tisza 6-9%

$187,074 Vol.

No

Fidesz-KDNP 6-9%

$665,020 Vol.

No

Rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes…