June 9
$71,084 Vol.
No
June 10
$387,612 Vol.
No
June 11
$297,162 Vol.
No
June 12
$188,149 Vol.
No
June 13
$190,453 Vol.
No
June 14
$1,221,756 Vol.
No
June 15
$814,740 Vol.
No
June 30
$3,310,593 Vol.
Yes
July 15
$561,782 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$326,456 Vol.
Yes
August 31
$245,510 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$500,118 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited…