Iran · qatar

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

July 9

$967,772 Vol.

Yes

July 10

$67,058 Vol.

No

July 11

$79,225 Vol.

No

July 12

$126,095 Vol.

Yes

July 13

$154,186 Vol.

No

July 14

$68,880 Vol.

Yes

July 15

$124,899 Vol.

No

July 16

$33,551 Vol.

No

July 17

$53,966 Vol.

Yes

July 18

$61,012 Vol.

Yes

July 19

$83,928 Vol.

Yes

July 20

$94,493 Vol.

Yes

July 21

$48,835 Vol.

No

July 22

$57,550 Vol.

No

July 23

$199,651 Vol.

No

July 24

$42,580 Vol.

No

July 25

$29,045 Vol.

No

July 26

$39,353 Vol.

No

July 27

$63,542 Vol.

No

July 28

$27,696 Vol.

No

July 29

$81,414 Vol.

No

July 30

$96,869 Vol.

Yes

July 31

$84,558 Vol.

No

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran takes a qualifying military action against a Gulf State on the specified date Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying Gulf States are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, that directly impacts a Gulf State. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A…