Politics · Venezuela

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?

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$11,034,070 Vol.Jan 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is taken into custody by the U.S. government at any point by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Maduro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Maduro, regardless of location or duration.…
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?