Midterms · Politics

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%47%

Republican 0-5%45%

Democrat 0-5%42%

Democrat 15-20%42%

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$275 Vol.Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 10-15%

47%

Republican 0-5%

$100 Vol.

45%

Democrat 0-5%

42%

Democrat 15-20%

42%

Democrat 25%+

41%

Democrat 20-25%

40%

Democrat 5-10%

40%

Republican 5%+

38%

Independent Wins

$175 Vol.

38%

Rules

The 2026 Maine gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all…
Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory