Politics · michigan

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

El-Sayed <5%100%

El-Sayed 15–20%0%

El-Sayed 5–10%0%

El-Sayed 10–15%0%

No price data yet
$205,828 Vol.Aug 4, 2026

El-Sayed <5%

$19,623 Vol.

100%

El-Sayed 15–20%

$24,410 Vol.

<1%

El-Sayed 25%+

$11,751 Vol.

<1%

El-Sayed 20–25%

$9,842 Vol.

<1%

El-Sayed 10–15%

$51,435 Vol.

<1%

El-Sayed 5–10%

$57,956 Vol.

<1%

Stevens <5%

$19,127 Vol.

<1%

Stevens 5–10%

$6,731 Vol.

<1%

Stevens 10–15%

$3,977 Vol.

<1%

Stevens 15%+

$976 Vol.

<1%

Rules

Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the…