August 31
$316,435 Vol.
5%
October 31
$63,329 Vol.
13%
December 31
$1,082,665 Vol.
24%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June,…