Midterms · Politics

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+46%

Democrat 15-18%44%

Democrat 18-21%42%

Democrat 9-12%41%

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$160 Vol.Nov 3, 2026

Republican 3%+

$160 Vol.

30%

Democrat 15-18%

44%

Democrat 18-21%

42%

Democrat 21%+

46%

Republican 0-3%

19%

Democrat 0-3%

19%

Democrat 3-6%

18%

Democrat 6-9%

22%

Democrat 9-12%

41%

Democrat 12-15%

41%

Rules

The 2026 New Mexico Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all…
New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory