Democrat 25-30%43%
Democrat 30-35%43%
Democrat 5-10%42%
Democrat 35%+41%
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$296 Vol.Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 25-30%
43%
Democrat 30-35%
43%
Democrat 5-10%
42%
Democrat 35%+
41%
Republican Wins
$158 Vol.
38%
Democrat 10-15%
38%
Democrat 15-20%
38%
Democrat 20-25%
38%
Democrat 0-5%
$138 Vol.
21%
Rules
The 2026 Oregon Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid…