Iran · ceasefire

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

July 31

$7,209,335 Vol.

87%

August 14

$1,182,075 Vol.

88%

August 31

$1,335,160 Vol.

92%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This…
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)