Congress · district

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Pass 3-6%100%

Pass <3%0%

Pass 6-9%0%

Pass 9-12%0%

No price data yet
$646,908 Vol.Apr 21, 2026

Pass 15%+

$17,389 Vol.

No

No Pass

$41,295 Vol.

No

Pass <3%

$178,296 Vol.

No

Pass 3-6%

$258,160 Vol.

Yes

Pass 6-9%

$84,095 Vol.

No

Pass 9-12%

$45,358 Vol.

No

Pass 12-15%

$22,315 Vol.

No

Rules

Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/). This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will…