Typhoon65%
No Qualifying Landfall23%
Very Strong Typhoon16%
Severe Tropical Storm7.5%
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$1,590 Vol.Aug 16, 2026
Typhoon
$843 Vol.
65%
No Qualifying Landfall
$203 Vol.
23%
Very Strong Typhoon
$50 Vol.
16%
Severe Tropical Storm
$184 Vol.
8%
Violent Typhoon
$81 Vol.
4%
Tropical Storm
$229 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market resolves to the intensity category corresponding to the maximum sustained wind speed (10-minute average) shown in the applicable JMA advisory as defined below. The outcome categories are: "Tropical Storm" (34–47 kt), "Severe Tropical Storm" (48–63 kt), "Typhoon" (64–84 kt), "Very Strong Typhoon" (85–104 kt), and "Violent Typhoon" (105+ kt). Landfall is defined as the center of Dolphin's circulation physically crossing the coastline of any Japanese territory (including Okinawa, the Ryukyu Islands, and all main islands) on or before…