Oil Sanction Relief
$723,256 Vol.
Yes
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
$1,207,283 Vol.
Yes
Troop Withdrawal
$6,557,781 Vol.
Yes
Enrichment of Uranium
$2,302,042 Vol.
No
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
$3,052,249 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to withdraw troops from the region surrounding Iran by May June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran refers to any official U.S. or U.S. military initiative or commitment to materially reduce the total number of U.S. military personnel stationed or deployed in the Middle East, Persian Gulf, or countries neighboring or proximate to Iran. A qualifying initiative must be publicly identified as…