2025 or later100%
Q40%
Q30%
Q20%
No price data yet
$1,426,068 Vol.Dec 30, 2024
2025 or later
$417,554 Vol.
Yes
Q2
$82,405 Vol.
No
Q3
$354,246 Vol.
No
Q4
$571,862 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may…