OpenAI
$56,887 Vol.
Yes
xAI
$211,100 Vol.
Yes
DeepSeek
$292,541 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$603,092 Vol.
No
Meta
$151,996 Vol.
No
Zhipu AI
$134,441 Vol.
No
Mistral
$112,768 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$182,891 Vol.
No
Nvidia
$47,868 Vol.
No
01A1
$22,721 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard…