Israel
$18,659 Vol.
Yes
Jordan
Yes
Saudi Arabia
$153,049 Vol.
Yes
Bahrain
Yes
UAE
Yes
Kuwait
Yes
Jordan
Yes
Qatar
$76,465 Vol.
Yes
Iraq
Yes
Oman
$108,506 Vol.
Yes
Lebanon
Yes
Israel
$4,761 Vol.
Yes
Jordan
$26,965 Vol.
Yes
Saudi Arabia
Yes
Bahrain
$394,867 Vol.
Yes
UAE
$3,156,605 Vol.
Yes
Kuwait
Yes
Qatar
$8,850 Vol.
Yes
Iraq
$41,042 Vol.
Yes
Turkey
$533,738 Vol.
No
Cyprus
$1,342,896 Vol.
No
Afghanistan
$84,716 Vol.
No
Pakistan
$77,347 Vol.
No
Yemen
$100,231 Vol.
No
Syria
$370,376 Vol.
No
India
$119,261 Vol.
No
Oman
$1,574,876 Vol.
No
Spain
$89,023 Vol.
No
France
$6,514 Vol.
No
Germany
$7,786 Vol.
No
Poland
$283,744 Vol.
No
Italy
$2,680 Vol.
No
Hungary
$2,708 Vol.
No
Ukraine
$7,389 Vol.
No
Azerbaijan
$44,574 Vol.
No
Armenia
$2,703 Vol.
No
Georgia
$1,699 Vol.
No
UK
$59,199 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or…