Oil · Iran
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
US
$13,973 Vol.
19%
France
$20,368 Vol.
9%
UK
$7,218 Vol.
8%
Germany
$6,777 Vol.
8%
Netherlands
$2,901 Vol.
7%
Italy
$2,960 Vol.
7%
Greece
$2,219 Vol.
5%
Australia
$1,200 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this…