Trump Presidency · Trump

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Stephen Miran100%

Pam Bondi0%

Kristi Noem0%

None before 20270%

No price data yet
$3,208,268 Vol.Dec 31, 2026

Stephen Miran

$107,487 Vol.

Yes

None before 2027

$209,248 Vol.

No

J.D. Vance

$110,819 Vol.

No

Marco Rubio

$114,485 Vol.

No

Scott Bessent

$61,829 Vol.

No

Pete Hegseth

$156,483 Vol.

No

Pam Bondi

$450,324 Vol.

No

Doug Burgum

$145,164 Vol.

No

Brooke Rollins

$45,287 Vol.

No

Howard Lutnick

$142,348 Vol.

No

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$131,650 Vol.

No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$55,069 Vol.

No

Scott Turner

$137,970 Vol.

No

Sean Duffy

$101,115 Vol.

No

Chris Wright

$49,351 Vol.

No

Linda McMahon

$52,725 Vol.

No

Doug Collins

$134,704 Vol.

No

Kristi Noem

$299,942 Vol.

No

Lee Zeldin

$85,056 Vol.

No

Susie Wiles

$66,208 Vol.

No

Tulsi Gabbard

$82,861 Vol.

No

Russell T. Vought

$81,913 Vol.

No

John Ratcliffe

$144,150 Vol.

No

Jamieson Greer

$96,863 Vol.

No

Mike Waltz

$67,347 Vol.

No

Kelly Loeffler

$77,870 Vol.

No

Rules

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to…