Trump Presidency · Trump Cabinet

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Pete Hegseth100%

Robert O'Brien0%

Mike Gallagher0%

Thomas Massie0%

No price data yet
$14,011,760 Vol.Jun 30, 2025

Pete Hegseth

$2,358,456 Vol.

Yes

Mike Waltz

$213,155 Vol.

No

Tom Cotton

$141,214 Vol.

No

Mike Pompeo

$220,462 Vol.

No

Christopher Miller

$560,478 Vol.

No

Robert O'Brien

$6,904,060 Vol.

No

Mike Gallagher

$2,022,557 Vol.

No

Joni Ernst

$406,097 Vol.

No

Thomas Massie

$686,366 Vol.

No

Mike Rogers

$113,193 Vol.

No

Ron DeSantis

$286,809 Vol.

No

Elbridge Colby

$98,912 Vol.

No

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Christopher Miller as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first,…
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?