Weather · climate

Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

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$3,152 Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) (https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/lists-maps-and-statistics) reports at least one earthquake of moment magnitude (Mw) 7.0 or greater with an epicenter located within the state of California by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The state of California includes the entirety of California as recognized under U.S. law including offshore areas within California's territorial boundaries. Earthquakes occurring on…
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?