Iran · Ukraine

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

August 31

$292,187 Vol.

2%

September 30

$77,805 Vol.

5%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.…
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?