August 15, 2026
$7,914 Vol.
17%
August 31, 2026
$119,568 Vol.
57%
September 30, 2026
$476,786 Vol.
79%
December 31, 2026
$1,689,029 Vol.
93%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for…