30+
$7,223 Vol.
68%
40+
$7,497 Vol.
41%
50+
$5,314 Vol.
26%
60+
$11,341 Vol.
21%
80+
$6,610 Vol.
6%
100+
$5,003 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once…