Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

Governor Greg Abbott convened a special legislative session on July 21, 2025, limited to 30 calendar days and scheduled to end on August 19, 2025. House Bill 4, introduced during this session, proposes a new congressional district map for Texas’s 38 U.S. House seats. Critics argue the proposal constitutes partisan gerrymandering. This market will resolve to "Yes" if HB 4 passes the Texas House before the special session ends on August 19, 2025, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Regardless of whether this session is extended, this…