donthackme
Flex cardJoined May 2026
Total earnings
$1,030,304.19
1D
$26.1K
7D
$103.3K
30D
$439.5K
90D
$1.03M
Total volume
$24.17M
Predictions
28,767
Positions value
$77.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.01M
LP+$12.9K
Maker+$6.2K
Yield+$17.02
Referral+$188.10
Taker+$4.5K

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 3.6¢2.4K shares
3.6¢→82.5¢
$87.19
$2.4K
$2.0K
+$1.9K (+2210.0%)

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
No 83.7¢2.1K shares
83.7¢→89¢
$1.8K
$2.1K
$1.9K
+$112.85 (+6.3%)

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Yes 0¢2.2K shares
0¢→85.5¢
$0.00
$2.2K
$1.9K
+$1.9K (+0.0%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 6.7¢2.8K shares
6.7¢→63.5¢
$185.96
$2.8K
$1.8K
+$1.6K (+852.5%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 3.6¢5.7K shares
3.6¢→29.8¢
$203.36
$5.7K
$1.7K
+$1.5K (+735.8%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢3.1K shares
20¢→53.5¢
$610.20
$3.1K
$1.6K
+$1.0K (+167.5%)

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2.9¢1.5K shares
2.9¢→96.5¢
$44.77
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$1.4K (+3181.1%)

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes 2.8¢1.4K shares
2.8¢→99.7¢
$38.07
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$1.3K (+3487.5%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.6¢2.5K shares
3.6¢→53.8¢
$88.46
$2.5K
$1.3K
+$1.2K (+1407.8%)

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 3.1¢1.9K shares
3.1¢→69.6¢
$58.80
$1.9K
$1.3K
+$1.3K (+2126.9%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 2.2¢1.4K shares
2.2¢→92.9¢
$31.01
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$1.3K (+4080.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 36.8¢2.9K shares
36.8¢→33.5¢
$1.1K
$2.9K
$975.37
−$95.10 (-8.9%)

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 3.1¢6.6K shares
3.1¢→13.7¢
$207.77
$6.6K
$907.52
+$699.75 (+336.8%)

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Yes 3.0¢1.3K shares
3.0¢→70.5¢
$38.72
$1.3K
$900.80
+$862.08 (+2226.5%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2.9¢2.4K shares
2.9¢→36.4¢
$71.08
$2.4K
$880.94
+$809.86 (+1139.3%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 84¢973.1 shares
84¢→85.5¢
$817.38
$973.07
$831.98
+$14.60 (+1.8%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢3.8K shares
20¢→19.9¢
$767.06
$3.8K
$761.31
−$5.75 (-0.8%)

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes 3.0¢760.2 shares
3.0¢→94.8¢
$23.04
$760.24
$721.09
+$698.05 (+3030.1%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 23.5¢2.0K shares
23.5¢→35.5¢
$477.18
$2.0K
$719.11
+$241.93 (+50.7%)

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
No 74.6¢867 shares
74.6¢→82.5¢
$646.75
$867.05
$715.32
+$68.57 (+10.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
No 76¢829.5 shares
76¢→78¢
$630.45
$829.54
$647.04
+$16.59 (+2.6%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢2.7K shares
3.1¢→23.6¢
$85.28
$2.7K
$645.37
+$560.09 (+656.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
No 76.7¢847.3 shares
76.7¢→76¢
$649.97
$847.29
$643.94
−$6.03 (-0.9%)

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Yes 6.7¢2.4K shares
6.7¢→25¢
$162.91
$2.4K
$610.92
+$448.01 (+275.0%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 3.6¢1.1K shares
3.6¢→56.5¢
$37.77
$1.1K
$597.40
+$559.64 (+1481.7%)

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 8.3¢702.9 shares
8.3¢→82¢
$58.57
$702.88
$576.36
+$517.79 (+884.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.3¢560.1 shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$556.41
$560.12
$556.47
+$0.06 (+0.0%)

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 3.4¢696.2 shares
3.4¢→78¢
$24.01
$696.24
$543.07
+$519.06 (+2162.1%)

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes 0¢619.5 shares
0¢→85.7¢
$0.00
$619.48
$530.58
+$530.58 (+0.0%)

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢540.2 shares
20¢→98.2¢
$108.05
$540.25
$530.52
+$422.47 (+391.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢669.5 shares
20¢→78.5¢
$133.89
$669.46
$525.86
+$391.97 (+292.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
No 0¢528.7 shares
0¢→97.5¢
$0.00
$528.69
$515.21
+$515.21 (+0.0%)

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Yes 20¢615.7 shares
20¢→80.5¢
$123.15
$615.74
$495.67
+$372.52 (+302.5%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 21.2¢2.1K shares
21.2¢→22.5¢
$449.08
$2.1K
$477.28
+$28.21 (+6.3%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→33.5¢
$0.00
$1.3K
$434.79
+$434.79 (+0.0%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 3.8¢437.4 shares
3.8¢→99.4¢
$16.82
$437.39
$434.54
+$417.72 (+2483.1%)

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
No 88.5¢519.2 shares
88.5¢→82.8¢
$459.32
$519.23
$430.18
−$29.14 (-6.3%)

Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
No 82.9¢472.6 shares
82.9¢→90.5¢
$391.91
$472.63
$427.73
+$35.82 (+9.1%)

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
No 87.9¢445.8 shares
87.9¢→94.5¢
$392.02
$445.80
$421.50
+$29.48 (+7.5%)

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 3.6¢4.4K shares
3.6¢→9.5¢
$156.93
$4.4K
$417.45
+$260.51 (+166.0%)

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
No 0¢411.8 shares
0¢→93¢
$0.00
$411.84
$383.01
+$383.01 (+0.0%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2.9¢9.1K shares
2.9¢→4.2¢
$267.83
$9.1K
$382.47
+$114.64 (+42.8%)

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 2.0¢748.5 shares
2.0¢→51¢
$15.27
$748.45
$381.71
+$366.44 (+2399.0%)

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
No 93.5¢370 shares
93.5¢→98.9¢
$345.80
$369.99
$365.92
+$20.13 (+5.8%)
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
No 76.4¢434.9 shares
76.4¢→83.9¢
$332.15
$434.91
$364.89
+$32.75 (+9.9%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 4¢381.7 shares
4¢→93.5¢
$15.27
$381.68
$356.87
+$341.60 (+2237.5%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 2.8¢437.2 shares
2.8¢→80.5¢
$12.14
$437.17
$351.92
+$339.78 (+2798.1%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 16.7¢637.9 shares
16.7¢→54.5¢
$106.31
$637.86
$347.63
+$241.32 (+227.0%)

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
No 81.2¢384 shares
81.2¢→86.7¢
$311.77
$383.96
$332.70
+$20.93 (+6.7%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 0¢809.6 shares
0¢→40.5¢
$0.00
$809.64
$327.91
+$327.91 (+0.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?
No 73¢410.5 shares
73¢→79.5¢
$299.67
$410.50
$326.35
+$26.68 (+8.9%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Yes 0¢1.1K shares
0¢→30.5¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$325.09
+$325.09 (+0.0%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 3.8¢511.8 shares
3.8¢→63¢
$19.69
$511.84
$322.46
+$302.77 (+1538.0%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 53.1¢569 shares
53.1¢→56.5¢
$302.03
$568.95
$321.40
+$19.37 (+6.4%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢2.7K shares
1.1¢→11.5¢
$30.48
$2.7K
$311.97
+$281.49 (+923.6%)

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 99.9¢311.4 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$311.12
$311.43
$311.28
+$0.16 (+0.1%)

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 3.6¢20.6K shares
3.6¢→1.5¢
$735.76
$20.6K
$309.02
−$426.74 (-58.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?
No 0¢357 shares
0¢→86.5¢
$0.00
$357.00
$308.81
+$308.81 (+0.0%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes 4.2¢346.4 shares
4.2¢→85.5¢
$14.43
$346.43
$296.20
+$281.76 (+1952.0%)

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes 4.3¢316.4 shares
4.3¢→92.8¢
$13.76
$316.41
$293.78
+$280.03 (+2035.6%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 61.0¢464.1 shares
61.0¢→62.3¢
$282.90
$464.09
$288.90
+$6.00 (+2.1%)

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 2.6¢591.7 shares
2.6¢→48¢
$15.17
$591.67
$284.00
+$268.83 (+1772.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
No 69.0¢384.9 shares
69.0¢→73¢
$265.59
$384.91
$280.99
+$15.40 (+5.8%)

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 8.3¢1.7K shares
8.3¢→16.6¢
$140.96
$1.7K
$279.95
+$138.99 (+98.6%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 3.4¢1.2K shares
3.4¢→23.3¢
$41.14
$1.2K
$277.96
+$236.83 (+575.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No 0¢649 shares
0¢→42.5¢
$0.00
$649.04
$275.84
+$275.84 (+0.0%)
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?
No 52.9¢278.9 shares
52.9¢→98.5¢
$147.71
$278.93
$274.61
+$126.90 (+85.9%)

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Yes 3.4¢291 shares
3.4¢→93.7¢
$10.03
$291.01
$272.53
+$262.49 (+2615.9%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢649.2 shares
1.1¢→40.9¢
$7.29
$649.18
$265.78
+$258.48 (+3544.0%)

Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
No 99.4¢260.3 shares
99.4¢→99.7¢
$258.63
$260.26
$259.35
+$0.72 (+0.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?
No 90¢275.4 shares
90¢→93.5¢
$247.86
$275.40
$257.50
+$9.64 (+3.9%)
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Yes 16.7¢253.9 shares
16.7¢→98.0¢
$42.32
$253.90
$248.69
+$206.38 (+487.7%)

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 0¢391.7 shares
0¢→63¢
$0.00
$391.70
$246.77
+$246.77 (+0.0%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢949.6 shares
1.1¢→25.8¢
$10.67
$949.56
$244.99
+$234.32 (+2196.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
No 0¢285 shares
0¢→84¢
$0.00
$285.00
$239.40
+$239.40 (+0.0%)

Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat?
No 0¢242.4 shares
0¢→97.5¢
$0.00
$242.40
$236.34
+$236.34 (+0.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
No 74.1¢414.3 shares
74.1¢→56.5¢
$306.94
$414.30
$234.04
−$72.91 (-23.8%)

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 99.9¢231.8 shares
99.9¢→99.9¢
$231.57
$231.81
$231.46
−$0.11 (-0.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 0¢407.3 shares
0¢→56.5¢
$0.00
$407.28
$230.07
+$230.07 (+0.0%)

Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
No 0¢265.6 shares
0¢→86¢
$0.00
$265.64
$228.45
+$228.45 (+0.0%)

Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 3.3¢232.4 shares
3.3¢→98.1¢
$7.75
$232.39
$227.97
+$220.22 (+2843.1%)

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 91.7¢229.2 shares
91.7¢→99.4¢
$210.17
$229.17
$227.79
+$17.62 (+8.4%)

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes 2.7¢234.6 shares
2.7¢→95.5¢
$6.34
$234.60
$224.04
+$217.70 (+3433.5%)

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes 2.8¢288.8 shares
2.8¢→77.5¢
$8.02
$288.80
$223.82
+$215.80 (+2690.1%)

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
No 90.1¢227.8 shares
90.1¢→98.1¢
$205.13
$227.75
$223.43
+$18.30 (+8.9%)
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?
No 78.3¢243.3 shares
78.3¢→91.5¢
$190.38
$243.28
$222.60
+$32.22 (+16.9%)
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
No 89.8¢233 shares
89.8¢→95.3¢
$209.28
$233.04
$221.97
+$12.69 (+6.1%)

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
No 73.2¢282.4 shares
73.2¢→78¢
$206.62
$282.42
$220.29
+$13.67 (+6.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 27.6¢799.2 shares
27.6¢→27.5¢
$220.96
$799.22
$219.79
−$1.17 (-0.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No 0¢226.1 shares
0¢→95.5¢
$0.00
$226.07
$215.89
+$215.89 (+0.0%)

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
No 87.5¢227.3 shares
87.5¢→94.7¢
$199.00
$227.32
$215.27
+$16.27 (+8.2%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 75.6¢291.3 shares
75.6¢→73.5¢
$220.16
$291.31
$214.11
−$6.05 (-2.7%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 2.2¢3.2K shares
2.2¢→6.6¢
$71.01
$3.2K
$209.30
+$138.29 (+194.8%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 3.1¢230.1 shares
3.1¢→90.5¢
$7.19
$230.09
$208.23
+$201.04 (+2796.0%)

Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
No 84.0¢218.7 shares
84.0¢→94.8¢
$183.82
$218.69
$207.43
+$23.61 (+12.8%)

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Yes 5.5¢213.8 shares
5.5¢→95.9¢
$11.88
$213.78
$204.91
+$193.03 (+1625.3%)
Will Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
No 88.2¢204.2 shares
88.2¢→100.0¢
$180.13
$204.19
$204.09
+$23.95 (+13.3%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 5.3¢731.9 shares
5.3¢→27.6¢
$38.52
$731.93
$202.01
+$163.49 (+424.4%)

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 6.7¢303.6 shares
6.7¢→66.5¢
$20.24
$303.63
$201.92
+$181.67 (+897.5%)

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Yes 0¢978.4 shares
0¢→20.5¢
$0.00
$978.44
$200.58
+$200.58 (+0.0%)
