Frosen

Joined October 2024

Total earnings

$254,774.76

1D

−$12.67

7D

$2.83

30D

−$3.38

90D

$76.05

Total volume

$14.63M

Predictions

1,465

Positions value

$5.8K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$244.5K

LP+$10.2K

Yield+$4.04

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 85.1¢4.5K shares

85.1¢→94.5¢

+$428.79 (+11.1%)

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Yes 57.7¢1.0K shares

57.7¢→51.5¢

−$64.83 (-10.8%)

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

No 65.5¢300 shares

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

No 7.9¢274.4 shares

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Yes 52.6¢228.4 shares

52.6¢→50.5¢

−$4.82 (-4.0%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4.1¢2.7K shares

−$15.98 (-14.6%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 97.3¢80.3 shares

97.3¢→92.8¢

−$3.57 (-4.6%)

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 98.1¢26.6 shares

98.1¢→99.3¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6¢149 shares

+$9.61 (+107.5%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 98.1¢17.5 shares

98.1¢→99.8¢

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 29.4¢15.3 shares

+$7.74 (+172.1%)

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 87¢9.1 shares

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 97.7¢9.1 shares

97.7¢→98.5¢

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 98.1¢5.6 shares

98.1¢→99.4¢

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

No 94.7¢2.4 shares

Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?

Yes 18.7¢60.6 shares

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?

No 3.2¢1.3K shares

Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

No 14.4¢727.5 shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?

Yes 4.8¢87.9 shares

Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?

Yes 17¢1.0K shares

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Yes 27¢1.0K shares

Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Yes 53.8¢220.8 shares

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Yes 27¢81.2 shares

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Yes 14.5¢388.5 shares

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 73¢10.0K shares

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?

Yes 6.4¢252.5 shares

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Yes 2.5¢4.8K shares

Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)

No 68¢204.5 shares

Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?

Yes 2.0¢1.8K shares

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?

Yes 21¢5 shares

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Yes 9.0¢3.4K shares

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?

No 16¢23.8 shares

Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?

Yes 4.2¢4.8K shares

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

No 76.9¢728.6 shares

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?

Yes 1¢2.4K shares

Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?

No 30¢53.6 shares

Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Yes 0.8¢544.8 shares

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

No 8.0¢2.9 shares

Will Trump say "Cynthia" or "Lummis" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?

Yes 1.4¢2.3K shares

Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

No 26.4¢760.2 shares

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Yes 10.6¢2.9K shares

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

No 32.3¢884.7 shares

Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?

No 10.0¢142.1 shares

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Yes 7.1¢978 shares

Will MrBeast say "Surprise" during his next video?

Yes 71¢95 shares

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Yes 3¢600 shares

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?

No 12¢15 shares

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Yes 2.5¢7.0K shares

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Yes 22¢247 shares

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

No 3.3¢932.4 shares

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 19¢100 shares

Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?

No 22¢116.1 shares

Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Yes 0.1¢3.8K shares

Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?

Yes 0.7¢2.3K shares

Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?

Yes 3.0¢2.0K shares

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?

No 21¢42.6 shares

Will Trump's UN speech be longer than 45 minutes?

No 8.3¢2.1K shares

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Yes 5.0¢335.3 shares

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?

No 6¢4.0K shares

Will Trump say "Jeffrey Epstein" in October?

Yes 30.9¢43.7 shares

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?

Yes 23¢200 shares

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?

Yes 17¢500 shares

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?

Yes 4¢25 shares

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 5.0¢124.2 shares

Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?

No 79.5¢48.8 shares

Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?

Yes 6.1¢4.9K shares

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?

Yes 17.5¢1.2K shares

Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?

Yes 3.2¢55.3 shares

Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Yes 12.8¢2.0K shares

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?

Yes 26¢123.1 shares

Kash Patel out by August 31?

Yes 1.6¢1.5K shares

Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

No 1¢901 shares

Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

No 42.0¢2.7K shares

Will Li Bin be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?

Yes 0.7¢1.6K shares

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Yes 1.3¢2.4K shares

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?

Yes 58.8¢1.9K shares

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Yes 4.1¢64.3 shares

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?

Yes 4.0¢2.0K shares

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

No 15.9¢1.5K shares

Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemann

Niemann 65¢116.2 shares

Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

Yes 2.5¢730 shares

Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?

Yes 76¢50 shares

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Yes 1.1¢298.9 shares

Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?

No 8.1¢606.5 shares

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

No 30.0¢200 shares

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in October?

Yes 0.5¢123.7 shares

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

No 38.3¢187.1 shares

Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?

No 11.2¢242.7 shares

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (October 7 - 12)

Yes 10.0¢152.2 shares

Nothing Ever Happens: July

No 22.4¢1.5K shares

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Yes 6.0¢2.9K shares

Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?

No 66.8¢43 shares

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Yes 14.6¢10 shares

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October?

Yes 4.1¢2.5K shares

Will Trump say "Syria" during events with Turkish president on September 25?

No 40.8¢747.2 shares

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on October 31?

Yes 0.1¢1.3K shares

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

No 11¢413.8 shares

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in November?

Yes 9¢100 shares

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?

Yes 10.9¢1.2K shares

Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)

Yes 78.6¢217 shares