Joined February 2024
Total earnings
$60,355.42
1D
$521.07
7D
−$149.77
30D
$521.87
90D
$4.4K
Total volume
$33.67M
Predictions
2,381
Positions value
$11.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$40.4K
LP+$19.8K
Maker+$130.12
Yield+$128.64
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.8¢10.2K shares
4.8¢→8.6¢
$487.58
$10.2K
$881.28
+$393.70 (+80.7%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 3.2¢17.2K shares
3.2¢→4.9¢
$549.36
$17.2K
$836.31
+$286.95 (+52.2%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 5.8¢9.4K shares
5.8¢→8.5¢
$552.17
$9.4K
$803.25
+$251.08 (+45.5%)
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes 17.5¢6.5K shares
17.5¢→12¢
$1.1K
$6.5K
$783.65
−$356.71 (-31.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 10.1¢5.5K shares
10.1¢→13.8¢
$561.99
$5.5K
$762.50
+$200.51 (+35.7%)
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.8¢103.7K shares
0.8¢→0.5¢
$853.55
$103.7K
$570.49
−$283.07 (-33.2%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 18.5¢3.9K shares
18.5¢→14.5¢
$720.39
$3.9K
$565.49
−$154.90 (-21.5%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 18.8¢3.9K shares
18.8¢→14.5¢
$733.33
$3.9K
$565.35
−$167.98 (-22.9%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 47.9¢1.2K shares
47.9¢→42.9¢
$579.59
$1.2K
$518.48
−$61.11 (-10.5%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 22.9¢2.4K shares
22.9¢→20.3¢
$561.25
$2.4K
$495.31
−$65.94 (-11.7%)
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes 21.6¢3.1K shares
21.6¢→12.5¢
$663.77
$3.1K
$384.09
−$279.68 (-42.1%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 43.2¢900 shares
43.2¢→42.5¢
$389.00
$900.00
$382.50
−$6.50 (-1.7%)
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 43.4¢900 shares
43.4¢→40.5¢
$391.00
$900.00
$364.50
−$26.50 (-6.8%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes 10.8¢2.4K shares
10.8¢→10.5¢
$257.11
$2.4K
$249.15
−$7.96 (-3.1%)
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 86.8¢220.6 shares
86.8¢→99.4¢
$191.34
$220.55
$219.12
+$27.78 (+14.5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 47.7¢300 shares
47.7¢→56.5¢
$143.00
$300.00
$169.47
+$26.47 (+18.5%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 48¢300 shares
48¢→55.5¢
$144.00
$300.00
$166.50
+$22.50 (+15.6%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes 12.9¢1.6K shares
12.9¢→10.5¢
$200.12
$1.6K
$163.09
−$37.03 (-18.5%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 56.0¢232.1 shares
56.0¢→63.5¢
$129.97
$232.09
$147.38
+$17.41 (+13.4%)
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes 20.0¢914.1 shares
20.0¢→15.5¢
$183.07
$914.10
$141.69
−$41.38 (-22.6%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 6.4¢400 shares
6.4¢→30.4¢
$25.69
$399.99
$121.60
+$95.91 (+373.4%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Yes 13.6¢700 shares
13.6¢→16.4¢
$95.53
$700.00
$115.15
+$19.62 (+20.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.5¢6.2K shares
1.5¢→1.8¢
$92.85
$6.2K
$109.29
+$16.44 (+17.7%)
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Yes 8.4¢2.0K shares
8.4¢→5.5¢
$166.23
$2.0K
$108.37
−$57.86 (-34.8%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 19.7¢1.1K shares
19.7¢→9.5¢
$216.99
$1.1K
$104.50
−$112.49 (-51.8%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?
Yes 97¢100 shares
97¢→96.7¢
$97.00
$100.00
$96.65
−$0.35 (-0.4%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 90.4¢100 shares
90.4¢→96.7¢
$90.40
$100.00
$96.65
+$6.25 (+6.9%)
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
No 7.3¢1.9K shares
7.3¢→4.5¢
$138.93
$1.9K
$85.50
−$53.43 (-38.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 2.4¢3.4K shares
2.4¢→2.5¢
$82.19
$3.4K
$83.30
+$1.11 (+1.4%)
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes 3.6¢3.1K shares
3.6¢→2.6¢
$111.12
$3.1K
$81.62
−$29.50 (-26.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢2.0K shares
6.5¢→4.0¢
$126.88
$2.0K
$79.11
−$47.77 (-37.6%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes 1.3¢1.1K shares
1.3¢→6.9¢
$14.67
$1.1K
$75.35
+$60.68 (+413.8%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.4¢600 shares
15.4¢→12.6¢
$92.56
$600.00
$75.30
−$17.26 (-18.6%)
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
Yes 1.3¢5.6K shares
1.3¢→1.1¢
$73.54
$5.6K
$64.87
−$8.68 (-11.8%)
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.3¢9.5K shares
0.3¢→0.7¢
$26.79
$9.5K
$62.01
+$35.22 (+131.5%)
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Yes 32.4¢200 shares
32.4¢→31¢
$64.81
$200.00
$62.00
−$2.81 (-4.3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 21.7¢300 shares
21.7¢→19.8¢
$65.00
$300.00
$59.25
−$5.75 (-8.8%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 6¢200 shares
6¢→23.3¢
$12.00
$200.00
$46.60
+$34.60 (+288.3%)
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 9.3¢284.3 shares
9.3¢→16¢
$26.43
$284.29
$45.49
+$19.06 (+72.1%)
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢1.1K shares
6.5¢→4.1¢
$71.99
$1.1K
$45.10
−$26.89 (-37.4%)
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 1.4¢4.1K shares
1.4¢→1.1¢
$56.13
$4.1K
$44.70
−$11.43 (-20.4%)
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 1.5¢2.7K shares
1.5¢→1.7¢
$41.00
$2.7K
$44.55
+$3.55 (+8.7%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.6¢5.7K shares
0.6¢→0.8¢
$33.83
$5.7K
$42.74
+$8.91 (+26.3%)
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes 6.6¢1.0K shares
6.6¢→3.9¢
$68.59
$1.0K
$40.65
−$27.95 (-40.7%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.9¢5.3K shares
0.9¢→0.7¢
$48.89
$5.3K
$34.20
−$14.69 (-30.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 24.5¢110.2 shares
24.5¢→30¢
$27.03
$110.17
$33.05
+$6.02 (+22.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes 3.9¢1.2K shares
3.9¢→2.8¢
$45.71
$1.2K
$32.65
−$13.06 (-28.6%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
Yes 4.1¢1.5K shares
4.1¢→2.1¢
$60.74
$1.5K
$31.02
−$29.72 (-48.9%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 4.9¢700 shares
4.9¢→3.6¢
$34.00
$700.00
$25.55
−$8.45 (-24.9%)
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.2¢15.9K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$30.50
$15.9K
$23.80
−$6.70 (-22.0%)
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0.2¢2.1K shares
0.2¢→1.1¢
$4.29
$2.1K
$22.05
+$17.76 (+414.2%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 6.7¢300 shares
6.7¢→6.5¢
$20.00
$299.98
$19.50
−$0.50 (-2.5%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes 6.7¢300 shares
6.7¢→5.0¢
$20.00
$300.00
$14.85
−$5.15 (-25.7%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 1.3¢1.5K shares
1.3¢→0.9¢
$20.00
$1.5K
$12.75
−$7.25 (-36.2%)
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0.3¢268 shares
0.3¢→4.7¢
$0.72
$268.00
$12.46
+$11.74 (+1620.3%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?
Yes 3.6¢312.4 shares
3.6¢→3.3¢
$11.16
$312.42
$10.31
−$0.85 (-7.6%)
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.2¢17.3K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$36.65
$17.3K
$8.66
−$27.99 (-76.4%)
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0.2¢5.7K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$9.59
$5.7K
$8.53
−$1.06 (-11.1%)
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.2¢16.5K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$32.67
$16.5K
$8.25
−$24.42 (-74.7%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 0.9¢5.0K shares
0.9¢→0.1¢
$45.68
$5.0K
$7.50
−$38.18 (-83.6%)
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.1¢14.0K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$21.99
$14.0K
$7.00
−$14.99 (-68.2%)
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.2¢13.0K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$21.79
$13.0K
$6.50
−$15.29 (-70.2%)
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.1¢12.5K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$19.63
$12.5K
$6.27
−$13.36 (-68.1%)
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.2¢12.1K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$20.77
$12.1K
$6.07
−$14.70 (-70.8%)
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.1¢11.3K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$14.27
$11.3K
$5.64
−$8.63 (-60.4%)
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.1¢9.0K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$11.89
$9.0K
$4.50
−$7.39 (-62.2%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0.3¢7.5K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$22.49
$7.5K
$3.75
−$18.74 (-83.3%)
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0.3¢321.2 shares
0.3¢→1.1¢
$0.93
$321.22
$3.37
+$2.44 (+261.7%)
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0.3¢33 shares
0.3¢→7.1¢
$0.10
$33.00
$2.36
+$2.26 (+2279.9%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
Yes 0.3¢354.7 shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$1.06
$354.69
$1.42
+$0.35 (+33.3%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July?
Yes 2¢30 shares
2¢→2.1¢
$0.60
$30.00
$0.62
+$0.02 (+2.5%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?
Yes 0.5¢30.7 shares
0.5¢→0.7¢
$0.15
$30.67
$0.20
+$0.05 (+29.9%)