GollumGekko

Flex card
Joined December 2024

Total earnings

$269,032.05
1D
$2.2K
7D
$152.87
30D
$20.3K
90D
$123.9K
Total volume
$28.55M
Predictions
3,180
Positions value
$240.5K
Performance
+$252.5K
+$15.8K
+$1.2K
+$661.31
+$252.52
+$37.98
$2.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 67.3¢39.5K shares
$29.0K
+$2.4K (+9.2%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 93.3¢26.1K shares
$25.0K
+$610.26 (+2.5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 90.4¢25.5K shares
$23.0K
+$35.02 (+0.2%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 81.0¢25.2K shares
$19.8K
−$605.68 (-3.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 46.9¢30.0K shares
$13.3K
−$711.17 (-5.1%)
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 73.6¢10.8K shares
$9.9K
+$1.9K (+24.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 67.2¢12.6K shares
$8.9K
+$411.81 (+4.9%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 62.5¢11.8K shares
$8.2K
+$823.39 (+11.1%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 55.5¢10.8K shares
$7.3K
+$1.3K (+21.5%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 66.7¢11.2K shares
$6.4K
−$1.2K (-15.3%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
No 47.1¢15.2K shares
$6.3K
−$855.04 (-11.9%)
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
No 91.3¢6.7K shares
$5.4K
−$764.94 (-12.5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92.4¢5.5K shares
$5.2K
+$74.26 (+1.5%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 48.2¢5.9K shares
$3.6K
+$754.88 (+26.6%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 77.3¢4.2K shares
$3.5K
+$200.09 (+6.1%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes 13.0¢14.4K shares
$3.1K
+$1.2K (+65.5%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 68.0¢4.1K shares
$2.7K
−$102.99 (-3.7%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes 29.3¢8.3K shares
$2.5K
+$101.59 (+4.2%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 72.4¢3.0K shares
$2.3K
+$169.86 (+7.9%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 56.1¢3.6K shares
$2.1K
+$86.30 (+4.2%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 94¢2.2K shares
$2.1K
+$87.20 (+4.3%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
No 87.2¢2.3K shares
$2.1K
+$86.17 (+4.4%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Yes 74.1¢2.3K shares
$2.0K
+$267.90 (+15.5%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 28.8¢8.2K shares
$1.9K
−$421.41 (-17.9%)
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
No 65.6¢2.4K shares
$1.7K
+$174.82 (+11.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 20.4¢25.2K shares
$1.6K
−$3.5K (-68.2%)
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 28.0¢6.0K shares
$1.5K
−$150.03 (-9.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 17.3¢4.0K shares
$1.5K
+$808.33 (+116.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes 28.4¢8.1K shares
$1.5K
−$801.22 (-34.9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 83.5¢1.7K shares
$1.4K
+$16.58 (+1.2%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 25.4¢4.1K shares
$1.4K
+$390.20 (+37.9%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No 54.9¢2.1K shares
$1.4K
+$226.98 (+20.1%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 31.5¢10.7K shares
$1.3K
−$2.0K (-60.5%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No 73.8¢1.7K shares
$1.3K
+$30.10 (+2.3%)
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 17.8¢2.2K shares
$1.2K
+$821.65 (+205.9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 60¢2.0K shares
$1.2K
+$10.00 (+0.8%)
GTA VI released before November 2026?
No 88.6¢1.2K shares
$1.2K
+$98.54 (+9.0%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 60¢2.1K shares
$1.2K
−$61.84 (-5.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes 23.3¢1.9K shares
$1.2K
+$734.02 (+170.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 33.7¢5.7K shares
$1.1K
−$791.57 (-41.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 94.2¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$22.50 (+2.1%)
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 50.1¢1.4K shares
$985.94
+$270.22 (+37.8%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Yes 35.4¢2.3K shares
$937.80
+$128.22 (+15.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 62.3¢2.3K shares
$915.60
−$492.71 (-35.0%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes 16.7¢2.0K shares
$813.37
+$486.72 (+149.0%)
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
No 98.2¢779.6 shares
$771.07
+$5.16 (+0.7%)
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 94.3¢795.1 shares
$769.29
+$19.48 (+2.6%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 15.6¢2.6K shares
$715.03
+$310.37 (+76.7%)
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
No 55.0¢750 shares
$693.78
+$281.26 (+68.2%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 67.1¢720.6 shares
$680.96
+$197.50 (+40.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 28.0¢1.9K shares
$667.63
+$125.63 (+23.2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 41.0¢1.7K shares
$601.84
−$93.74 (-13.5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 32.0¢2.2K shares
$598.83
−$113.23 (-15.9%)
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 71.1¢914.7 shares
$581.18
−$69.01 (-10.6%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Yes 3.6¢15.0K shares
$495.52
−$49.24 (-9.0%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 64.9¢714.6 shares
$452.60
−$11.12 (-2.4%)
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.0¢80.9K shares
$445.01
−$402.29 (-47.5%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢5.0K shares
$442.50
+$415.09 (+1514.4%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 68.1¢526.1 shares
$386.65
+$28.43 (+7.9%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 70.7¢482 shares
$368.72
+$27.94 (+8.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 22.4¢3.4K shares
$353.96
−$401.89 (-53.2%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 93.5¢361.9 shares
$351.92
+$13.38 (+4.0%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
Yes 56.0¢473.2 shares
$321.75
+$56.78 (+21.4%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50.3¢400 shares
$319.00
+$117.60 (+58.4%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 35¢917.7 shares
$307.43
−$13.77 (-4.3%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 6.4¢3.5K shares
$300.54
+$78.25 (+35.2%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 83.0¢312.9 shares
$292.56
+$32.68 (+12.6%)
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 91.2¢300 shares
$268.50
−$5.00 (-1.8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Yes 15¢2.0K shares
$250.00
−$50.00 (-16.7%)
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 79.0¢311.5 shares
$244.53
−$1.48 (-0.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Yes 94.4¢240.7 shares
$226.35
−$0.79 (-0.3%)
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes 24.9¢931.8 shares
$214.32
−$17.68 (-7.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Yes 12.3¢2.3K shares
$183.04
−$98.85 (-35.1%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 49.4¢408.2 shares
$174.91
−$26.87 (-13.3%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 89.8¢176 shares
$167.59
+$9.53 (+6.0%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Yes 74.8¢250 shares
$163.75
−$23.19 (-12.4%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Yes 30.0¢637.5 shares
$156.19
−$34.87 (-18.3%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 52¢1.3K shares
$156.00
−$520.00 (-76.9%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 88.2¢166.2 shares
$155.36
+$8.74 (+6.0%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 75.2¢168.7 shares
$154.38
+$27.52 (+21.7%)
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes 12.0¢968.1 shares
$150.05
+$34.05 (+29.4%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Yes 39.9¢1.0K shares
$147.50
−$258.25 (-63.6%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 18.3¢723.6 shares
$141.82
+$9.44 (+7.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 1.9¢18.7K shares
$140.59
−$215.30 (-60.5%)
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
No 93.1¢141.6 shares
$139.73
+$7.86 (+6.0%)
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢322 shares
$132.50
+$111.46 (+529.6%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢4.2K shares
$122.21
+$53.83 (+78.7%)
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 59¢160.6 shares
$118.02
+$23.28 (+24.6%)
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢322 shares
$114.15
+$93.10 (+442.4%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 21.6¢1.0K shares
$111.47
−$107.63 (-49.1%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 88¢121 shares
$110.84
+$4.36 (+4.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 11.3¢337.1 shares
$106.87
+$68.73 (+180.1%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No 57.8¢129.1 shares
$97.47
+$22.80 (+30.5%)
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
No 77¢100 shares
$96.95
+$19.95 (+25.9%)
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Yes 65.5¢1.0K shares
$94.12
−$591.15 (-86.3%)
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
No 76.7¢100.1 shares
$92.60
+$15.84 (+20.6%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
Yes 0.9¢13.0K shares
$84.50
−$26.83 (-24.1%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Yes 5.7¢2.4K shares
$82.29
−$51.73 (-38.6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 21¢321.3 shares
$78.71
+$11.24 (+16.7%)
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 15.6¢2.1K shares
$77.85
−$255.39 (-76.6%)