Contrarian - 7451
Flex cardJoined December 2020
Total earnings
−$397,582.05
1D
$1.3K
7D
−$771.42
30D
$2.8K
90D
$79.0K
Total volume
$17.63M
Predictions
689
Positions value
$189.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$401.0K
LP+$820.19
Maker+$568.75
Yield+$1.9K
Taker+$10.00
Fees−$156.98
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 95.2¢53.2K shares
95.2¢→99.3¢
$50.7K
$53.2K
$52.8K
+$2.1K (+4.2%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 66.1¢38.9K shares
66.1¢→65.5¢
$25.7K
$38.9K
$25.5K
−$241.82 (-0.9%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 84.9¢24.1K shares
84.9¢→93.5¢
$20.5K
$24.1K
$22.6K
+$2.1K (+10.1%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 83.9¢22.7K shares
83.9¢→87.5¢
$19.0K
$22.7K
$19.9K
+$825.64 (+4.3%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 86.1¢16.6K shares
86.1¢→89.6¢
$14.3K
$16.6K
$14.9K
+$595.35 (+4.2%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 74.6¢16.2K shares
74.6¢→87.5¢
$12.1K
$16.2K
$14.2K
+$2.1K (+17.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 80.8¢11.3K shares
80.8¢→76.5¢
$9.1K
$11.3K
$8.6K
−$482.17 (-5.3%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 80.7¢5.9K shares
80.7¢→95.5¢
$4.8K
$5.9K
$5.6K
+$867.37 (+18.2%)
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 81.1¢4.9K shares
81.1¢→100.0¢
$3.9K
$4.9K
$4.9K
+$915.32 (+23.2%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 82.7¢2.7K shares
82.7¢→93.5¢
$2.2K
$2.7K
$2.5K
+$289.67 (+13.0%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 91.6¢2.7K shares
91.6¢→93.4¢
$2.5K
$2.7K
$2.5K
+$48.40 (+2.0%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 66.9¢2.5K shares
66.9¢→70.5¢
$1.7K
$2.5K
$1.8K
+$92.14 (+5.4%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 79.6¢1.7K shares
79.6¢→97.5¢
$1.4K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$305.36 (+22.6%)
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
No 72.2¢1.7K shares
72.2¢→88¢
$1.2K
$1.7K
$1.5K
+$260.45 (+21.8%)
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 96.3¢1.3K shares
96.3¢→100.0¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$47.31 (+3.8%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 85.0¢1.3K shares
85.0¢→95.3¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$131.65 (+12.1%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 65.0¢2.0K shares
65.0¢→59.5¢
$1.3K
$2.0K
$1.2K
−$110.85 (-8.4%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 84.0¢1.2K shares
84.0¢→92.5¢
$997.75
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$100.49 (+10.1%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 56.5¢1.6K shares
56.5¢→56.5¢
$909.37
$1.6K
$909.07
−$0.31 (-0.0%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 87.2¢911.4 shares
87.2¢→96.9¢
$794.89
$911.40
$883.14
+$88.25 (+11.1%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 53.1¢1.9K shares
53.1¢→37.5¢
$1.0K
$1.9K
$727.99
−$303.51 (-29.4%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
No 67.2¢714.5 shares
67.2¢→82.5¢
$480.28
$714.53
$589.49
+$109.21 (+22.7%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 86.3¢558.5 shares
86.3¢→92.9¢
$482.07
$558.53
$518.87
+$36.80 (+7.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 89.3¢500 shares
89.3¢→91.5¢
$446.60
$500.00
$457.50
+$10.90 (+2.4%)
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 96.9¢370.3 shares
96.9¢→99.6¢
$358.78
$370.25
$368.59
+$9.80 (+2.7%)
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Yes 92¢310.3 shares
92¢→94.5¢
$285.44
$310.26
$293.20
+$7.76 (+2.7%)
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
No 81¢230 shares
81¢→75¢
$186.30
$230.00
$172.50
−$13.80 (-7.4%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 80.3¢179.7 shares
80.3¢→88¢
$144.34
$179.68
$158.12
+$13.78 (+9.5%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 83¢150 shares
83¢→83.5¢
$124.50
$150.00
$125.25
+$0.75 (+0.6%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 44.1¢160 shares
44.1¢→56.5¢
$70.60
$160.00
$90.38
+$19.78 (+28.0%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 86.3¢93.7 shares
86.3¢→80.4¢
$80.80
$93.66
$75.30
−$5.49 (-6.8%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 66.0¢599.9 shares
66.0¢→11.5¢
$395.69
$599.93
$68.99
−$326.70 (-82.6%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 81¢60 shares
81¢→85.5¢
$48.59
$59.99
$51.29
+$2.70 (+5.6%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No 94.7¢40 shares
94.7¢→97.9¢
$37.88
$40.00
$39.14
+$1.26 (+3.3%)
Will Trump resign before 2027?
No 93¢33.4 shares
93¢→96.3¢
$31.10
$33.44
$32.20
+$1.10 (+3.5%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 75¢20 shares
75¢→91.5¢
$15.00
$20.00
$18.30
+$3.30 (+22.0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 53¢20 shares
53¢→56.5¢
$10.60
$20.00
$11.30
+$0.70 (+6.6%)
US x China Military clash before 2027?
No 86¢2.9 shares
86¢→95.5¢
$2.46
$2.86
$2.73
+$0.27 (+11.0%)
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No 90¢1.4 shares
90¢→97.2¢
$1.27
$1.41
$1.37
+$0.10 (+7.9%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 91.0¢1.1 shares
91.0¢→96.4¢
$0.98
$1.08
$1.04
+$0.06 (+5.9%)
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
No 89.8¢8.0K shares
89.8¢→0¢
$7.2K
$8.0K
Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No 58.9¢130.3K shares
58.9¢→0¢
$76.8K
$130.3K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes 62.4¢2.3K shares
62.4¢→0¢
$1.4K
$2.3K
Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Yes 73¢11.3K shares
73¢→0¢
$8.2K
$11.3K
Lost
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
No 65.1¢7.0K shares
65.1¢→0¢
$4.6K
$7.0K
Lost
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No 30.5¢1.1K shares
30.5¢→0¢
$328.72
$1.1K
Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0¢
$0.04
$10.00
Lost
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
No 22.3¢300 shares
22.3¢→0¢
$67.00
$299.99
Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No 86.6¢155.0K shares
86.6¢→0¢
$134.2K
$155.0K
Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No 93¢100 shares
93¢→0¢
$93.00
$100.00
Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
No 75.9¢413.5 shares
75.9¢→0¢
$313.87
$413.52
Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No 98.9¢45.6K shares
98.9¢→0¢
$45.1K
$45.6K
Lost
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Yes 19.1¢19.3 shares
19.1¢→0¢
$3.70
$19.30
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Yes 3.9¢7.7K shares
3.9¢→0¢
$303.13
$7.7K
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
No 91.3¢920 shares
91.3¢→0¢
$839.99
$919.99
Lost
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 11¢500 shares
11¢→0¢
$55.00
$500.00
Lost
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
No 55.2¢480 shares
55.2¢→0¢
$264.98
$479.97
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes 3.9¢3.3K shares
3.9¢→0¢
$130.24
$3.3K
Lost
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
No 72.0¢582 shares
72.0¢→0¢
$418.97
$581.99
Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
No 63.2¢47.8K shares
63.2¢→0¢
$30.2K
$47.8K
Lost
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
No 72.4¢845.6 shares
72.4¢→0¢
$611.83
$845.62
Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes 54.9¢5.3K shares
54.9¢→0¢
$2.9K
$5.3K
Lost
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Yes 6.6¢20 shares
6.6¢→0¢
$1.32
$20.00
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
No 66.1¢1.9K shares
66.1¢→0¢
$1.3K
$1.9K
Lost
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Yes 10.6¢2.9K shares
10.6¢→0¢
$305.06
$2.9K
Lost
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Yes 3.0¢478.8 shares
3.0¢→0¢
$14.34
$478.76
Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
No 89.9¢800 shares
89.9¢→0¢
$719.33
$800.00
Lost
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Yes 20.8¢539.9 shares
20.8¢→0¢
$112.17
$539.91
Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
No 76.0¢22.5K shares
76.0¢→0¢
$17.1K
$22.5K
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
No 91.2¢40 shares
91.2¢→0¢
$36.50
$40.00
Lost
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
No 89.3¢157.8 shares
89.3¢→0¢
$140.88
$157.84
Lost
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
No 83.9¢3.0K shares
83.9¢→0¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
No 53¢200 shares
53¢→0¢
$106.00
$200.00
Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Yes 86.6¢333.9 shares
86.6¢→0¢
$289.25
$333.85
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes 52.9¢1.7K shares
52.9¢→0¢
$878.08
$1.7K
Lost
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
No 54.4¢162 shares
54.4¢→0¢
$88.17
$162.01
Lost
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Yes 70.9¢1.1K shares
70.9¢→0¢
$780.00
$1.1K
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢500 shares
94.8¢→0¢
$474.25
$499.99
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Yes 3.9¢7.5K shares
3.9¢→0¢
$295.19
$7.5K
Lost
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Yes 3¢5 shares
3¢→0¢
$0.15
$5.00
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Yes 3.9¢2.0K shares
3.9¢→0¢
$76.75
$2.0K
Lost
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
No 64¢11.9 shares
64¢→0¢
$7.64
$11.94
Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
No 62.7¢1.9K shares
62.7¢→0¢
$1.2K
$1.9K
Lost
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
No 85.4¢360 shares
85.4¢→0¢
$307.46
$360.00
Lost
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Yes 58.4¢2.0K shares
58.4¢→0¢
$1.2K
$2.0K
Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Yes 28.8¢562.6 shares
28.8¢→0¢
$161.92
$562.57
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes 24.6¢5.0K shares
24.6¢→0¢
$1.2K
$5.0K
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes 41.6¢300 shares
41.6¢→0¢
$124.90
$299.99
Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes 83.9¢80 shares
83.9¢→0¢
$67.13
$79.99
Lost
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
No 23¢40 shares
23¢→0¢
$9.20
$40.00
Lost
GPT ads by March 31?
No 80.7¢111.3 shares
80.7¢→0¢
$89.87
$111.31
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Yes 56.7¢60 shares
56.7¢→0¢
$34.00
$60.00
Lost
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
No 74.5¢340 shares
74.5¢→0¢
$253.39
$340.00
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Yes 41.3¢113.3 shares
41.3¢→0¢
$46.76
$113.26
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
No 70.3¢1.5K shares
70.3¢→0¢
$1.0K
$1.5K
Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No 73.8¢177.8 shares
73.8¢→0¢
$131.10
$177.76
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No 83.9¢5.8K shares
83.9¢→0¢
$4.9K
$5.8K
Lost
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
No 16¢40 shares
16¢→0¢
$6.40
$39.99
Lost