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PMTraderAdam
PMTraderAdam
Joined May 2024
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$44,873.99
1D
$5.5K
7D
$5.1K
30D
$3.5K
90D
$10.9K
Total volume
$2.87M
Predictions
1,405
Positions value
$43.5K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$40.2K
LP
+$3,126.16
Maker
+$761.65
Yield
+$40.60
Referral
+$1,092.42
Fees
−$297.27
Standings
Overall
#4,572
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#8,468
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#4,858
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#1,556
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#5,751
of 161k earners
Referrals
#975
of 10k earners
Yield
#4,338
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#60,292
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢
8.0K shares
Share
82.7¢
→
86.5¢
$6.6K
$8.0K
$6.9K
+$304.92
(+4.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
6.0K shares
Share
93¢
→
100.0¢
$5.6K
$6.0K
$6.0K
+$417.00
(+7.5%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 77.5¢
4.8K shares
Share
78.3¢
→
77.5¢
$3.8K
$4.8K
$3.7K
−$36.99
(-1.0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
3.5K shares
Share
88.6¢
→
100.0¢
$3.1K
$3.5K
$3.5K
+$398.25
(+12.8%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 72.2¢
4.0K shares
Share
69.6¢
→
72.2¢
$2.8K
$4.0K
$2.9K
+$106.62
(+3.8%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 91.5¢
2.1K shares
Share
87.5¢
→
91.5¢
$1.8K
$2.1K
$1.9K
+$84.54
(+4.6%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 85.4¢
2.1K shares
Share
76.5¢
→
85.4¢
$1.6K
$2.1K
$1.8K
+$187.41
(+11.7%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 96.7¢
1.7K shares
Share
83.4¢
→
96.7¢
$1.4K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$226.64
(+15.9%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
86¢
→
90.5¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$54.00
(+5.2%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.1¢
1.1K shares
Share
75.7¢
→
97.1¢
$833.00
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$235.10
(+28.2%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No 89.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
75.1¢
→
89.5¢
$752.07
$1.0K
$896.07
+$143.99
(+19.1%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 70.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
63.1¢
→
70.5¢
$693.99
$1.1K
$775.49
+$81.50
(+11.7%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?
No 85¢
903.4 shares
Share
72.4¢
→
85¢
$653.64
$903.44
$767.93
+$114.28
(+17.5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
No 93.5¢
700 shares
Share
91¢
→
93.5¢
$637.00
$700.00
$654.50
+$17.50
(+2.7%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
1,000 shares
Share
83.2¢
→
63.5¢
$831.99
$999.98
$634.99
−$197.00
(-23.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.6¢
600 shares
Share
88¢
→
90.6¢
$528.01
$600.01
$543.61
+$15.60
(+3.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 89.5¢
600 shares
Share
77.0¢
→
89.5¢
$462.00
$600.00
$537.00
+$75.00
(+16.2%)
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
Yes 84¢
600 shares
Share
58.4¢
→
84¢
$350.59
$599.99
$504.00
+$153.40
(+43.8%)
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 95.5¢
450 shares
Share
94¢
→
95.5¢
$423.00
$450.00
$429.75
+$6.75
(+1.6%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
No 96.5¢
427.6 shares
Share
88.6¢
→
96.5¢
$379.05
$427.60
$412.42
+$33.38
(+8.8%)
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢
400 shares
Share
95.1¢
→
97.8¢
$380.40
$400.00
$391.00
+$10.60
(+2.8%)
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
No 74.9¢
491.3 shares
Share
65.3¢
→
74.9¢
$320.75
$491.26
$367.95
+$47.20
(+14.7%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 72.1¢
500 shares
Share
73¢
→
72.1¢
$365.00
$500.00
$360.50
−$4.50
(-1.2%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 87.5¢
400 shares
Share
61¢
→
87.5¢
$244.00
$400.00
$350.00
+$106.00
(+43.4%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
No 86.5¢
400 shares
Share
88¢
→
86.5¢
$352.00
$400.00
$346.00
−$6.00
(-1.7%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 83.5¢
400 shares
Share
83¢
→
83.5¢
$332.00
$400.00
$334.00
+$2.00
(+0.6%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 82.5¢
400 shares
Share
84¢
→
82.5¢
$336.00
$400.00
$330.00
−$6.00
(-1.8%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 79.5¢
400 shares
Share
83¢
→
79.5¢
$332.00
$400.00
$318.00
−$14.00
(-4.2%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 79.5¢
400 shares
Share
86¢
→
79.5¢
$344.00
$400.00
$318.00
−$26.00
(-7.6%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No 62.5¢
500 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
62.5¢
$290.00
$500.00
$312.50
+$22.50
(+7.8%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 47¢
600 shares
Share
64¢
→
47¢
$384.00
$600.00
$282.00
−$102.00
(-26.6%)
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
No 91.5¢
300 shares
Share
83¢
→
91.5¢
$249.00
$300.00
$274.50
+$25.50
(+10.2%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
No 87¢
300 shares
Share
80.7¢
→
87¢
$242.10
$300.00
$261.00
+$18.90
(+7.8%)
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?
No 63.5¢
391.9 shares
Share
84¢
→
63.5¢
$329.20
$391.91
$248.86
−$80.34
(-24.4%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
23¢
→
20.5¢
$230.00
$1.0K
$205.00
−$25.00
(-10.9%)
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?
Yes 99.5¢
200 shares
Share
88¢
→
99.5¢
$176.00
$200.00
$199.00
+$23.00
(+13.1%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢
400 shares
Share
49¢
→
47.5¢
$196.00
$400.00
$190.00
−$6.00
(-3.1%)
Halle Berry as Storm?
No 85¢
220 shares
Share
77.5¢
→
85¢
$170.59
$219.99
$186.99
+$16.40
(+9.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 86.5¢
200 shares
Share
82¢
→
86.5¢
$164.00
$200.00
$173.00
+$9.00
(+5.5%)
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?
No 96.2¢
173 shares
Share
87.9¢
→
96.2¢
$152.04
$173.00
$166.34
+$14.30
(+9.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
176.7 shares
Share
81¢
→
86.5¢
$143.14
$176.72
$152.86
+$9.72
(+6.8%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.5¢
200 shares
Share
70.3¢
→
70.5¢
$140.53
$200.00
$140.90
+$0.37
(+0.3%)
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
No 62.5¢
200 shares
Share
68¢
→
62.5¢
$135.99
$199.99
$124.99
−$11.00
(-8.1%)
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?
No 62¢
148.4 shares
Share
17.8¢
→
62¢
$26.49
$148.44
$92.03
+$65.54
(+247.4%)
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
No 33¢
270 shares
Share
46¢
→
33¢
$124.20
$270.00
$89.10
−$35.10
(-28.3%)
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢
90.6 shares
Share
53.4¢
→
89¢
$48.38
$90.56
$80.60
+$32.21
(+66.6%)
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢
80.1 shares
Share
80¢
→
84¢
$64.10
$80.12
$67.30
+$3.20
(+5.0%)
Waymo IPO before 2027?
No 97.8¢
56.8 shares
Share
87.1¢
→
97.8¢
$49.49
$56.81
$55.56
+$6.07
(+12.3%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
No 33.5¢
152.9 shares
Share
40¢
→
33.5¢
$61.16
$152.91
$51.22
−$9.94
(-16.3%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
No 99.6¢
49.3 shares
Share
94¢
→
99.6¢
$46.35
$49.31
$49.09
+$2.74
(+5.9%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
No 93¢
50.5 shares
Share
90.0¢
→
93¢
$45.41
$50.45
$46.92
+$1.51
(+3.3%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
No 88.5¢
46.2 shares
Share
82¢
→
88.5¢
$37.90
$46.22
$40.90
+$3.00
(+7.9%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by December 31?
No 53¢
56.9 shares
Share
49¢
→
53¢
$27.86
$56.86
$30.14
+$2.27
(+8.2%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.8¢
500 shares
Share
22¢
→
3.8¢
$110.00
$500.00
$19.00
−$91.00
(-82.7%)
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 89.5¢
19.2 shares
Share
79¢
→
89.5¢
$15.15
$19.18
$17.17
+$2.01
(+13.3%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 59.5¢
26.7 shares
Share
61.0¢
→
59.5¢
$16.29
$26.71
$15.89
−$0.40
(-2.5%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 68.5¢
18 shares
Share
59¢
→
68.5¢
$10.65
$18.05
$12.36
+$1.71
(+16.1%)
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
No 10.5¢
60 shares
Share
33¢
→
10.5¢
$19.80
$60.00
$6.33
−$13.47
(-68.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
No 90¢
5 shares
Share
87¢
→
90¢
$4.35
$5.00
$4.50
+$0.15
(+3.4%)
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
No 89.5¢
3.7 shares
Share
75¢
→
89.5¢
$2.77
$3.69
$3.30
+$0.54
(+19.3%)
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
Yes 94.7¢
1.1 shares
Share
86¢
→
94.7¢
$0.98
$1.14
$1.08
+$0.10
(+10.1%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No 0¢
500 shares
Share
22.9¢
→
0¢
$114.50
$500.00
Lost
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
13¢
→
0¢
$26.00
$200.00
Lost
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
No 0¢
550 shares
Share
92.1¢
→
0¢
$506.53
$549.98
Lost
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
7.0¢
→
0¢
$35.00
$499.99
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
10¢
→
0¢
$100.00
$1.0K
Lost
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Yes 0¢
362.7 shares
Share
14.9¢
→
0¢
$53.99
$362.65
Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
84.0¢
→
0¢
$168.00
$200.01
Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
4.1¢
→
0¢
$20.50
$500.00
Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
6¢
→
0¢
$30.00
$499.98
Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Yes 0¢
400 shares
Share
8.9¢
→
0¢
$35.50
$400.01
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
9.4¢
→
0¢
$103.00
$1.1K
Lost
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
44¢
→
0¢
$88.00
$200.00
Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Yes 0¢
395 shares
Share
33¢
→
0¢
$130.35
$395.00
Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
No 0¢
700 shares
Share
72.3¢
→
0¢
$505.90
$699.99
Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes 0¢
1.9K shares
Share
3.3¢
→
0¢
$63.80
$1.9K
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
7.0¢
→
0¢
$35.00
$499.99
Lost
Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?
No 0¢
600 shares
Share
27¢
→
0¢
$162.00
$600.00
Lost
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢
20.0K shares
Share
0.1¢
→
0¢
$20.00
$20.0K
Lost
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
No 0¢
400 shares
Share
49¢
→
0¢
$196.00
$399.99
Lost
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
No 0¢
1.5K shares
Share
20.4¢
→
0¢
$308.71
$1.5K
Lost
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 0¢
11 shares
Share
52.8¢
→
0¢
$5.82
$11.02
Lost
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
No 0¢
50 shares
Share
75¢
→
0¢
$37.50
$50.00
Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 0¢
317.5 shares
Share
37.0¢
→
0¢
$117.55
$317.46
Lost
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Yes 0¢
2.0K shares
Share
1.5¢
→
0¢
$30.00
$2.0K
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.5K shares
Share
12.0¢
→
0¢
$180.00
$1.5K
Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
5.1¢
→
0¢
$51.00
$1.0K
Lost
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0¢
2.6K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0¢
$5.21
$2.6K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
3.8¢
→
0¢
$37.50
$1.0K
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
No 0¢
400 shares
Share
88.0¢
→
0¢
$352.01
$400.01
Lost
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?
No 0¢
300 shares
Share
67¢
→
0¢
$201.00
$300.00
Lost
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
15¢
→
0¢
$30.00
$200.00
Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
No 0¢
3.3K shares
Share
63.4¢
→
0¢
$2.1K
$3.3K
Lost
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $59B?
No 0¢
317.6 shares
Share
17.1¢
→
0¢
$54.19
$317.61
Lost
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
No 0¢
45 shares
Share
96¢
→
0¢
$43.20
$45.00
Lost
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
80¢
→
0¢
$160.00
$200.00
Lost
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?
No 0¢
278.4 shares
Share
14.0¢
→
0¢
$38.97
$278.35
Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 0¢
400 shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$8.40
$399.98
Lost
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 0¢
1.4K shares
Share
24.1¢
→
0¢
$337.98
$1.4K
Lost
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
83.6¢
→
0¢
$877.50
$1.1K
Lost
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