Valen9

Joined January 2026

Total earnings

$316,074.57

1D

$26.5K

7D

$27.4K

30D

−$42.5K

90D

$106.2K

Total volume

$28.02M

Predictions

696

Positions value

$668.7K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$303.3K

LP+$9.0K

Maker+$896.27

Yield+$311.10

Taker+$8.57

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 93.4¢88.7K shares

93.4¢→93.8¢

+$271.53 (+0.3%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 98.2¢74.7K shares

98.2¢→98.8¢

+$436.76 (+0.6%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 87.0¢60.0K shares

87.0¢→76.5¢

−$6.3K (-12.1%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80.7¢48.3K shares

80.7¢→78.5¢

−$1.1K (-2.7%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81.7¢40.0K shares

81.7¢→85.5¢

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

No 66.6¢43.0K shares

−$248.37 (-0.9%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.0¢31.0K shares

82.0¢→85.5¢

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 80.3¢25.8K shares

80.3¢→91.5¢

+$2.9K (+13.9%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 71.6¢32.4K shares

71.6¢→72.5¢

+$277.70 (+1.2%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

No 95.6¢22.9K shares

95.6¢→95.7¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 91.5¢17.5K shares

91.5¢→99.2¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 76.6¢19.1K shares

76.6¢→87.5¢

+$2.1K (+14.3%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 93¢16.7K shares

+$493.87 (+3.2%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 95.7¢15.9K shares

95.7¢→98.8¢

+$487.01 (+3.2%)

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 90.2¢14.6K shares

90.2¢→99.1¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 88.0¢14.5K shares

88.0¢→87.5¢

−$72.55 (-0.6%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 78.1¢12.9K shares

78.1¢→97.0¢

+$2.4K (+24.2%)

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 88¢13.5K shares

+$338.60 (+2.8%)

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92.0¢10.1K shares

92.0¢→99.1¢

+$718.70 (+7.8%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

No 88¢11.1K shares

+$111.39 (+1.1%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 85.5¢10.0K shares

85.5¢→87.5¢

+$200.01 (+2.3%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 90.0¢8.7K shares

90.0¢→97.5¢

+$655.80 (+8.4%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 82.9¢10.3K shares

82.9¢→78.1¢

−$493.14 (-5.8%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 84.0¢10.0K shares

84.0¢→76.5¢

−$749.98 (-8.9%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

No 81¢8.0K shares

+$680.00 (+10.5%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 89.5¢7.2K shares

89.5¢→98.6¢

+$656.62 (+10.2%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Yes 72.0¢6.1K shares

72.0¢→97.8¢

+$1.6K (+35.8%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Yes 22.2¢18.7K shares

22.2¢→31.7¢

+$1.8K (+42.8%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 96.9¢5.9K shares

96.9¢→99.3¢

+$138.03 (+2.4%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92.0¢6.2K shares

92.0¢→92.8¢

+$53.08 (+0.9%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 21.3¢15.0K shares

21.3¢→37.5¢

+$2.4K (+75.8%)

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes 58.2¢7.8K shares

58.2¢→70.5¢

+$963.89 (+21.1%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

No 93.0¢5.2K shares

93.0¢→99.3¢

+$325.92 (+6.7%)

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 91¢5.0K shares

+$412.50 (+9.1%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?

No 98¢5.0K shares

Iran leadership change by September 30?

No 90¢5.0K shares

−$100.00 (-2.2%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 97.2¢4.4K shares

97.2¢→99.2¢

+$89.65 (+2.1%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 65¢4.9K shares

+$267.54 (+8.5%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 48.4¢5.0K shares

48.4¢→64.5¢

+$805.01 (+33.3%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 78¢3.6K shares

−$91.07 (-3.2%)

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

No 22.1¢9.7K shares

22.1¢→25.5¢

+$327.04 (+15.2%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 78¢3.0K shares

+$120.00 (+5.1%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 26.2¢37.7K shares

−$7.4K (-75.2%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

No 67¢3.0K shares

+$195.00 (+9.7%)

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

No 97.9¢1.9K shares

97.9¢→99.7¢

+$33.83 (+1.8%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Yes 34.3¢7.0K shares

34.3¢→22.5¢

−$824.77 (-34.3%)

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 72.4¢2.1K shares

72.4¢→75.5¢

+$63.53 (+4.2%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 65¢1.0K shares

−$65.00 (-10.0%)

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 72.9¢584.9 shares

+$18.30 (+4.3%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes 45¢773.6 shares

+$50.28 (+14.4%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Yes 27¢2.0K shares

−$270.00 (-50.0%)

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 27¢1,000 shares

−$25.00 (-9.3%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 0.7¢20.0K shares

+$10.00 (+7.1%)

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No 88¢123.2 shares

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Yes 39¢317.4 shares

−$26.98 (-21.8%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

No 98.3¢52.1 shares

98.3¢→99.1¢

Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Yes 6.6¢1.1K shares

−$30.04 (-43.0%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 73¢22.2 shares

+$5.74 (+35.4%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Yes 14.0¢5.0K shares

−$685.00 (-97.9%)

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Yes 6.8¢6.9K shares

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

No 11.8¢33.5 shares

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Yes 4.0¢13.6K shares

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 9.5¢51.4K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?

Yes 2¢5.0K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Yes 4.4¢201.1K shares

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 19.0¢28.0K shares

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 1.3¢13.0K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Yes 4.3¢7.8K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 7.5¢34.5 shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Yes 0.8¢61.2K shares

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 7.1¢32.3K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Yes 9.5¢40.0K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Yes 11.1¢13.9K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Yes 1.7¢12.2K shares

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

No 61¢4.0K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Yes 2.1¢10.0K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 6.3¢350.0K shares

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

No 87.2¢30.8K shares

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Yes 82¢11.1 shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Yes 18.0¢30.0K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Yes 1¢20.0K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 12.7¢71.8K shares

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 63.4¢37.9K shares

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Yes 7.0¢3.0K shares

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Yes 48.8¢47.3K shares

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 67.8¢5.4 shares