longdated-poli

Flex card
Joined April 2024

Total earnings

$21,514.23
1D
$866.96
7D
$2.9K
30D
$10.0K
90D
$21.8K
Total volume
$3.15M
Predictions
1,968
Positions value
$7.9K
Performance
−$29.4K
+$52.5K
+$1.2K
+$7.50
+$104.37
+$180.30
$3.0K
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 85¢799 shares
$567.29
−$111.86 (-16.5%)
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 93.4¢547.3 shares
$506.22
−$4.86 (-1.0%)
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
No 85.5¢660 shares
$493.68
−$70.81 (-12.5%)
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
No 88.8¢537.8 shares
$457.12
−$20.69 (-4.3%)
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
No 79.9¢698.4 shares
$432.68
−$125.51 (-22.5%)
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Yes 76.6¢720.2 shares
$417.69
−$134.31 (-24.3%)
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Yes 64.4¢820.2 shares
$356.78
−$171.22 (-32.4%)
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
No 91.5¢427.8 shares
$350.83
−$40.63 (-10.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Yes 91¢356.7 shares
$315.69
−$8.92 (-2.7%)
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Yes 87¢400 shares
$302.00
−$46.00 (-13.2%)
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 85.5¢369.5 shares
$282.64
−$33.27 (-10.5%)
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?
No 95.6¢307.2 shares
$280.36
−$13.45 (-4.6%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?
No 94.7¢316.2 shares
$210.27
−$89.24 (-29.8%)
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?
No 94.3¢212 shares
$185.89
−$14.11 (-7.1%)
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
No 89¢220 shares
$173.80
−$22.00 (-11.2%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 79¢220 shares
$163.90
−$9.90 (-5.7%)
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No 90.5¢222.9 shares
$158.38
−$43.25 (-21.5%)
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Yes 92.3¢178.3 shares
$156.01
−$8.56 (-5.2%)
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes 93¢168.6 shares
$152.57
−$4.21 (-2.7%)
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?
No 83¢215 shares
$137.60
−$40.85 (-22.9%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 68¢208.5 shares
$136.59
−$5.21 (-3.7%)
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?
No 90.4¢150.3 shares
$136.37
+$0.53 (+0.4%)
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 62.2¢220 shares
$127.81
−$8.96 (-6.5%)
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 89¢153.7 shares
$125.99
−$10.76 (-7.9%)
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 61.0¢220 shares
$115.50
−$18.70 (-13.9%)
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
Yes 72¢220 shares
$114.40
−$44.00 (-27.8%)
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
No 72.5¢237.6 shares
$110.48
−$61.82 (-35.9%)
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
Yes 88¢137.8 shares
$101.96
−$19.29 (-15.9%)
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
No 80.8¢253.8 shares
$96.46
−$108.77 (-53.0%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 92¢105.6 shares
$95.08
−$2.11 (-2.2%)
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No 93¢99.1 shares
$86.18
−$5.94 (-6.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No 87.7¢89.6 shares
$73.48
−$5.08 (-6.5%)
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Yes 91¢98.1 shares
$69.67
−$19.62 (-22.0%)
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Yes 50¢656.4 shares
$42.66
−$285.51 (-87.0%)
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
No 34.8¢220 shares
$40.70
−$35.75 (-46.8%)
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Yes 16.4¢3.6K shares
$38.13
−$555.68 (-93.6%)
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?
No 10.5¢390 shares
$37.05
−$3.90 (-9.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?
Yes 10.3¢440 shares
$34.32
−$11.22 (-24.6%)
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
No 54¢88.2 shares
$33.97
−$13.68 (-28.7%)
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?
No 76¢57.8 shares
$27.72
−$16.17 (-36.8%)
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?
No 12.0¢440 shares
$23.32
−$29.70 (-56.0%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
No 26.0¢86.3 shares
$19.43
−$3.02 (-13.5%)
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No 87¢20 shares
$17.70
+$0.30 (+1.7%)
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 8.0¢318.5 shares
$17.36
−$8.22 (-32.1%)
Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?
No 16.5¢118.8 shares
$16.03
−$3.54 (-18.1%)
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
Yes 8.5¢440 shares
$13.64
−$23.76 (-63.5%)
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?
Yes 10¢189.7 shares
$10.25
−$8.73 (-46.0%)
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 5.8¢647.5 shares
$9.71
−$27.65 (-74.0%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Yes 14.3¢92.3 shares
$8.76
−$4.46 (-33.7%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?
Yes 233.4 shares
$4.99
−$16.01 (-76.2%)
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
No 92¢11 shares
$3.54
−$6.58 (-65.0%)
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
Yes 11.2¢45 shares
$2.99
−$2.05 (-40.6%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31?
Yes 0.8¢466 shares
$2.80
−$0.90 (-24.4%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?
Yes 0.4¢500 shares
$2.00
−$0.01 (-0.3%)
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
Yes 4.8¢440 shares
$1.76
−$19.19 (-91.6%)
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 9.4¢345.8 shares
$1.38
−$31.05 (-95.7%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?
Yes 3.3¢855.8 shares
$1.28
−$26.87 (-95.4%)
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by July 31?
Yes 1.4¢511.6 shares
$1.28
−$5.66 (-81.6%)
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes 16.2¢650.2 shares
$0.98
−$104.58 (-99.1%)
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?
Yes 6.8¢12.9 shares
$0.78
−$0.10 (-11.0%)
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 9.9¢50.3 shares
$0.73
−$4.25 (-85.4%)
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Yes 35¢111.3 shares
$0.50
−$38.45 (-98.7%)
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $36B by July 31?
Yes 2.7¢47.4 shares
$0.45
−$0.83 (-64.8%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by July 31?
Yes 0.7¢137 shares
$0.21
−$0.69 (-77.1%)
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
No 6.1¢201.5 shares
$0.10
−$12.21 (-99.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?
Yes 10.3¢4.1 shares
$0.06
−$0.36 (-86.5%)
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?
Yes 3.7¢5 shares
$0.03
−$0.16 (-84.0%)
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?
Yes 1.4¢50 shares
Lost
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in June?
Yes 4.2¢150 shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
No 90¢100 shares
Lost
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Yes 0.8¢106.9 shares
Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July?
No 87¢50 shares
Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
No 1.0¢346 shares
Lost
Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?
No 8.4¢212 shares
Lost
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?
No 69.9¢152 shares
Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in June?
Yes 3.1¢378.4 shares
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢2.2K shares
Lost
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?
Yes 79¢31.7 shares
Lost
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Yes 1.1¢590 shares
Lost
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?
Yes 10.8¢800 shares
Lost
Ebola emergency by June 30?
No 92¢8.1 shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
No 96.0¢364.3 shares
Lost
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
No 91.8¢613.4 shares
Lost
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?
Yes 7.5¢52.6 shares
Lost
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
No 7.3¢341.4 shares
Lost
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
No 91¢549.7 shares
Lost
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
Yes 3.8¢141 shares
Lost