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HerlihyM92
HerlihyM92
Joined August 2024
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Total earnings
$44,724.16
1D
$3.7K
7D
$4.1K
30D
$4.2K
90D
$4.1K
Total volume
$1.28M
Predictions
566
Positions value
$22.2K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$44.3K
LP
+$419.65
Maker
+$239.45
Yield
+$120.90
Fees
−$325.78
Standings
Overall
#4,363
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#18,494
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#4,184
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#6,469
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#12,206
of 161k earners
Yield
#2,211
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#62,388
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?
No 99.8¢
6.7K shares
Share
93.1¢
→
99.8¢
$6.3K
$6.7K
$6.7K
+$449.55
(+7.2%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 84.6¢
5.8K shares
Share
66.4¢
→
84.6¢
$3.9K
$5.8K
$4.9K
+$1.1K
(+27.3%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Yes 95.2¢
1.4K shares
Share
92.3¢
→
95.2¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$39.81
(+3.1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.8¢
1.4K shares
Share
21.9¢
→
89.8¢
$307.25
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$949.94
(+309.2%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢
1.1K shares
Share
78.8¢
→
97.0¢
$843.83
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$194.34
(+23.0%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 84.3¢
1.2K shares
Share
66¢
→
84.3¢
$792.00
$1.2K
$1.0K
+$219.00
(+27.7%)
Will Sligo Rovers be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?
Yes 100.0¢
880.2 shares
Share
95.2¢
→
100.0¢
$838.14
$880.23
$879.79
+$41.65
(+5.0%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢
2.0K shares
Share
6.0¢
→
39.9¢
$119.69
$2.0K
$797.00
+$677.31
(+565.9%)
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No 89.5¢
800 shares
Share
88¢
→
89.5¢
$703.99
$799.99
$715.99
+$12.00
(+1.7%)
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢
660 shares
Share
95¢
→
95¢
$627.00
$660.00
$627.00
+$0.00
(+0.0%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.3¢
23.2K shares
Share
8.2¢
→
2.3¢
$1.9K
$23.2K
$522.37
−$1.4K
(-72.6%)
X banned in any European country by December 31?
No 88.5¢
582 shares
Share
76.8¢
→
88.5¢
$446.76
$582.00
$515.07
+$68.31
(+15.3%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
1.4K shares
Share
47.7¢
→
31.3¢
$668.40
$1.4K
$437.50
−$230.90
(-34.5%)
Will Shelbourne be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?
No 97.8¢
237 shares
Share
89.8¢
→
97.8¢
$212.94
$237.00
$231.79
+$18.85
(+8.9%)
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?
No 83.5¢
180 shares
Share
47.3¢
→
83.5¢
$85.20
$180.00
$150.30
+$65.10
(+76.4%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
150 shares
Share
78¢
→
97.2¢
$117.00
$150.00
$145.73
+$28.73
(+24.6%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.8¢
7.5K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
1.8¢
$138.99
$7.5K
$131.25
−$7.74
(-5.6%)
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Yes 86¢
145.4 shares
Share
70.0¢
→
86¢
$101.78
$145.40
$125.04
+$23.26
(+22.9%)
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢
22.0K shares
Share
0.8¢
→
0.5¢
$176.00
$22.0K
$121.00
−$55.00
(-31.3%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 98.4¢
120 shares
Share
82.0¢
→
98.4¢
$98.42
$120.02
$118.04
+$19.63
(+19.9%)
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?
No 88.5¢
100 shares
Share
57.0¢
→
88.5¢
$57.00
$100.00
$88.50
+$31.50
(+55.3%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
11.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0.8¢
$230.99
$11.0K
$82.50
−$148.50
(-64.3%)
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.3¢
3.1K shares
Share
2.0¢
→
2.3¢
$63.12
$3.1K
$70.31
+$7.20
(+11.4%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
727.2 shares
Share
54.8¢
→
8.5¢
$398.75
$727.21
$61.81
−$336.93
(-84.5%)
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.7¢
5.0K shares
Share
3.3¢
→
0.7¢
$165.98
$5.0K
$35.00
−$130.98
(-78.9%)
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6¢
400 shares
Share
13.0¢
→
6¢
$52.00
$400.00
$24.00
−$28.00
(-53.8%)
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢
2.4K shares
Share
3.1¢
→
0.5¢
$75.60
$2.4K
$13.20
−$62.40
(-82.5%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 1.7¢
720 shares
Share
65.6¢
→
1.7¢
$472.38
$719.98
$12.24
−$460.15
(-97.4%)
Will Waterford be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?
No 51.5¢
20 shares
Share
46¢
→
51.5¢
$9.20
$20.00
$10.30
+$1.10
(+12.0%)
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
No 71.5¢
13.3 shares
Share
67¢
→
71.5¢
$8.93
$13.33
$9.53
+$0.60
(+6.7%)
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?
No 83.7¢
10.7 shares
Share
20¢
→
83.7¢
$2.14
$10.71
$8.96
+$6.82
(+318.5%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
2.0K shares
Share
1.4¢
→
0.4¢
$28.00
$2.0K
$7.00
−$21.00
(-75.0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 98.4¢
1.1 shares
Share
92.8¢
→
98.4¢
$1.00
$1.07
$1.06
+$0.06
(+5.9%)
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 0¢
450 shares
Share
21¢
→
0¢
$94.50
$450.00
Lost
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?
Yes 0¢
155 shares
Share
31.9¢
→
0¢
$49.45
$155.00
Lost
Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
Yes 0¢
90 shares
Share
7.3¢
→
0¢
$6.57
$90.00
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
110 shares
Share
37.6¢
→
0¢
$41.32
$109.97
Lost
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 0¢
228.7 shares
Share
15¢
→
0¢
$34.31
$228.70
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 0¢
250 shares
Share
68¢
→
0¢
$169.99
$249.99
Lost
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
Yes 0¢
1.4K shares
Share
51.5¢
→
0¢
$739.93
$1.4K
Lost
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
2 shares
Share
76.0¢
→
0¢
$1.51
$1.99
Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
600 shares
Share
67¢
→
0¢
$402.00
$600.00
Lost
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes 0¢
150 shares
Share
17¢
→
0¢
$25.50
$150.00
Lost
Will “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
4.5¢
→
0¢
$9.03
$200.00
Lost
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
No 0¢
450 shares
Share
27¢
→
0¢
$121.50
$450.00
Lost
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