Joined January 2025
Total earnings
$186,963.27
1D
−$174.02
7D
−$417.59
30D
−$864.71
90D
−$586.95
Total volume
$15.55M
Predictions
2,121
Positions value
$1.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$182.9K
LP+$3.8K
Maker+$0.01
Yield+$303.09
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.3K shares
0.4¢→2.1¢
$45.22
$11.3K
$240.89
+$195.67 (+432.7%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 63.6¢183 shares
63.6¢→92.5¢
$116.47
$183.00
$169.28
+$52.81 (+45.3%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢10.0K shares
0.4¢→1.1¢
$40.17
$10.0K
$105.00
+$64.83 (+161.4%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$82.25
−$12.15 (-12.9%)
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$82.25
−$12.15 (-12.9%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢10.0K shares
0.4¢→0.7¢
$40.17
$10.0K
$65.00
+$24.83 (+61.8%)
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$58.75
−$35.65 (-37.8%)
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢10.0K shares
0.4¢→0.5¢
$40.17
$10.0K
$55.00
+$14.83 (+36.9%)
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$49.50
+$7.62 (+18.2%)
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$38.50
−$3.38 (-8.1%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$35.25
−$59.15 (-62.7%)
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$35.25
−$59.15 (-62.7%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$35.25
−$59.15 (-62.7%)
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢23.5K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$94.40
$23.5K
$35.25
−$59.15 (-62.7%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$27.50
−$14.38 (-34.3%)
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$27.50
−$14.38 (-34.3%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 59.6¢28.5 shares
59.6¢→81.5¢
$17.02
$28.54
$23.25
+$6.24 (+36.7%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes 38¢50 shares
38¢→41.5¢
$19.00
$50.00
$20.75
+$1.75 (+9.2%)
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
No 50¢20 shares
50¢→100¢
$10.00
$20.00
Won
$20.00
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$16.50
−$25.38 (-60.6%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$16.50
−$25.38 (-60.6%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$16.50
−$25.38 (-60.6%)
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢11.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$41.88
$11.0K
$16.50
−$25.38 (-60.6%)
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
Yes 1.6¢1.5K shares
1.6¢→0.8¢
$24.28
$1.5K
$12.36
−$11.92 (-49.1%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes 39.7¢23.6 shares
39.7¢→20.5¢
$9.36
$23.58
$4.83
−$4.53 (-48.4%)
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.4¢941.2 shares
0.4¢→0.5¢
$3.96
$941.23
$4.71
+$0.74 (+18.7%)
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Yes 2¢771.4 shares
2¢→0.5¢
$15.43
$771.44
$3.86
−$11.57 (-75.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 6.2¢45.3 shares
6.2¢→4.6¢
$2.81
$45.28
$2.08
−$0.72 (-25.8%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Yes 2.0¢60 shares
2.0¢→2.9¢
$1.22
$60.00
$1.71
+$0.49 (+40.6%)
US defaults on debt by 2027?
No 87.0¢1 shares
87.0¢→95.5¢
$0.87
$1.00
$0.96
+$0.09 (+9.8%)
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Yes 3.9¢23.3 shares
3.9¢→3.7¢
$0.91
$23.27
$0.86
−$0.05 (-5.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.1¢41 shares
4.1¢→1.7¢
$1.68
$41.00
$0.70
−$0.98 (-58.5%)
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Yes 61¢5 shares
61¢→9¢
$3.05
$5.00
$0.45
−$2.60 (-85.2%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 2.1¢55.1 shares
2.1¢→0.5¢
$1.16
$55.06
$0.28
−$0.88 (-76.2%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Yes 14.6¢34.5 shares
14.6¢→0.5¢
$5.05
$34.46
$0.17
−$4.88 (-96.6%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.7¢19 shares
5.7¢→0.5¢
$1.08
$19.00
$0.10
−$0.98 (-90.4%)
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.5¢17.7 shares
0.5¢→0.4¢
$0.09
$17.73
$0.07
−$0.02 (-20.0%)
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 8¢300 shares
8¢→0¢
$24.00
$300.00
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes 14.2¢12.8 shares
14.2¢→0¢
$1.82
$12.83
Lost
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes 24¢132.9 shares
24¢→0¢
$31.89
$132.89
Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Yes 47.0¢20 shares
47.0¢→0¢
$9.40
$20.00
Lost
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
Yes 1.1¢400 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$4.40
$400.00
Lost
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Yes 5.7¢1.6K shares
5.7¢→0¢
$89.79
$1.6K
Lost
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Yes 27.0¢534.1 shares
27.0¢→0¢
$144.35
$534.05
Lost
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Yes 13¢200 shares
13¢→0¢
$26.00
$200.00
Lost