Joined November 2024
Total earnings
$101,736.84
1D
−$1.9K
7D
$7.2K
30D
$6.4K
90D
$45.8K
Total volume
$33.74M
Predictions
81,082
Positions value
$12.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$70.5K
LP+$6.7K
Maker+$25.5K
Yield+$26.54
Taker+$24.82
Fees−$922.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
Yes 5.3¢384.5 shares
5.3¢→100.0¢
$20.31
$384.51
$384.32
+$364.01 (+1791.9%)
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No 85.7¢287.5 shares
85.7¢→94.8¢
$246.49
$287.48
$272.67
+$26.18 (+10.6%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90.0¢189.4 shares
90.0¢→94.5¢
$170.43
$189.36
$178.95
+$8.52 (+5.0%)
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Yes 36.3¢293.9 shares
36.3¢→58.5¢
$106.66
$293.91
$171.94
+$65.28 (+61.2%)
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 19¢802 shares
19¢→17.5¢
$152.38
$802.00
$140.35
−$12.03 (-7.9%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 90¢149 shares
90¢→93.5¢
$134.12
$149.03
$139.34
+$5.22 (+3.9%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 94.4¢110.9 shares
94.4¢→95.0¢
$104.70
$110.93
$105.33
+$0.63 (+0.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No 77.3¢125 shares
77.3¢→81.5¢
$96.70
$125.00
$101.86
+$5.16 (+5.3%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes 33.0¢310 shares
33.0¢→31¢
$102.40
$310.00
$96.10
−$6.30 (-6.2%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 39¢231.5 shares
39¢→37.5¢
$90.27
$231.45
$86.79
−$3.48 (-3.9%)
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
No 81.3¢92.9 shares
81.3¢→89¢
$75.50
$92.86
$82.65
+$7.15 (+9.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
No 34.0¢465 shares
34.0¢→17.5¢
$158.26
$465.00
$81.38
−$76.89 (-48.6%)
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No 53.2¢87.2 shares
53.2¢→91¢
$46.40
$87.20
$79.35
+$32.94 (+71.0%)
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99¢80 shares
99¢→99.1¢
$79.20
$80.00
$79.24
+$0.04 (+0.1%)
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?
Yes 47.5¢147 shares
47.5¢→53.5¢
$69.83
$147.01
$78.65
+$8.82 (+12.6%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 88.6¢90.3 shares
88.6¢→84.3¢
$80.04
$90.32
$76.10
−$3.95 (-4.9%)
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Yes 14.5¢500 shares
14.5¢→14.5¢
$72.80
$500.00
$72.50
−$0.30 (-0.4%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
No 59.3¢100.2 shares
59.3¢→71.2¢
$59.46
$100.18
$71.28
+$11.82 (+19.9%)
Celonis IPO before 2027?
No 78¢80 shares
78¢→87.5¢
$62.40
$80.00
$70.00
+$7.60 (+12.2%)
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 69.3¢90 shares
69.3¢→76.5¢
$62.40
$90.00
$68.85
+$6.45 (+10.3%)
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 79.7¢81.1 shares
79.7¢→82.7¢
$64.69
$81.12
$67.09
+$2.40 (+3.7%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 48.8¢80.3 shares
48.8¢→81.5¢
$39.14
$80.28
$65.42
+$26.28 (+67.2%)
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
No 75¢80 shares
75¢→80.5¢
$60.00
$80.00
$64.40
+$4.40 (+7.3%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox 46.0¢120.3 shares
46.0¢→53.5¢
$55.33
$120.32
$64.37
+$9.04 (+16.3%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 15.1¢438.1 shares
15.1¢→14.5¢
$66.31
$438.14
$63.53
−$2.78 (-4.2%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Yes 17.9¢322.7 shares
17.9¢→19.5¢
$57.89
$322.65
$62.92
+$5.03 (+8.7%)
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?
Yes 56.0¢90.9 shares
56.0¢→66.5¢
$50.88
$90.86
$60.42
+$9.54 (+18.7%)
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
No 93.9¢62 shares
93.9¢→96.0¢
$58.25
$62.04
$59.53
+$1.29 (+2.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?
No 94.4¢60 shares
94.4¢→97.8¢
$56.64
$60.00
$58.65
+$2.01 (+3.5%)
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 84.3¢60.9 shares
84.3¢→96.2¢
$51.35
$60.94
$58.62
+$7.27 (+14.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?
No 95.3¢60 shares
95.3¢→97.5¢
$57.18
$60.00
$58.47
+$1.29 (+2.3%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 86.6¢61.9 shares
86.6¢→93.5¢
$53.63
$61.90
$57.88
+$4.24 (+7.9%)
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 94.5¢60 shares
94.5¢→95.3¢
$56.70
$60.00
$57.21
+$0.51 (+0.9%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 76.9¢58.9 shares
76.9¢→97.0¢
$45.26
$58.86
$57.06
+$11.81 (+26.1%)
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 11¢451 shares
11¢→12.5¢
$49.61
$451.04
$56.38
+$6.77 (+13.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
No 87.8¢58 shares
87.8¢→94.9¢
$50.90
$58.00
$55.04
+$4.14 (+8.1%)
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
No 69.2¢90 shares
69.2¢→59¢
$62.29
$89.99
$53.09
−$9.20 (-14.8%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85.7¢60.1 shares
85.7¢→87.5¢
$51.50
$60.10
$52.56
+$1.05 (+2.0%)
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Yes 34.5¢54 shares
34.5¢→94.9¢
$18.62
$54.00
$51.25
+$32.63 (+175.3%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes 35.0¢78 shares
35.0¢→64.5¢
$27.34
$78.00
$50.31
+$22.97 (+84.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?
No 31.3¢201 shares
31.3¢→25¢
$62.83
$201.00
$50.25
−$12.58 (-20.0%)
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Yes 24.7¢549.7 shares
24.7¢→9¢
$135.91
$549.70
$49.47
−$86.43 (-63.6%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
No 62.0¢86.7 shares
62.0¢→57.0¢
$53.77
$86.73
$49.43
−$4.35 (-8.1%)
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.9¢49 shares
98.9¢→99.5¢
$48.46
$49.00
$48.73
+$0.27 (+0.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 90¢50 shares
90¢→96.7¢
$45.00
$50.00
$48.33
+$3.33 (+7.4%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 72.3¢53.9 shares
72.3¢→89.5¢
$38.96
$53.86
$48.20
+$9.25 (+23.7%)
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
No 85¢55.4 shares
85¢→86.5¢
$47.06
$55.36
$47.89
+$0.83 (+1.8%)
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 63.8¢50 shares
63.8¢→94.8¢
$31.90
$50.00
$47.40
+$15.50 (+48.6%)
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Yes 22.7¢47.2 shares
22.7¢→98.3¢
$10.73
$47.22
$46.39
+$35.66 (+332.3%)
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
No 48.6¢91.8 shares
48.6¢→50.5¢
$44.66
$91.79
$46.35
+$1.69 (+3.8%)
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
No 28.0¢120 shares
28.0¢→38.5¢
$33.60
$120.00
$46.20
+$12.60 (+37.5%)
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
No 92.6¢50 shares
92.6¢→92.3¢
$46.32
$50.00
$46.15
−$0.17 (-0.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
No 58.0¢60 shares
58.0¢→75.5¢
$34.80
$60.00
$45.30
+$10.50 (+30.2%)
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes 51.6¢88.8 shares
51.6¢→50.5¢
$45.88
$88.83
$44.86
−$1.02 (-2.2%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
No 90.4¢45.8 shares
90.4¢→96.0¢
$41.42
$45.83
$44.02
+$2.60 (+6.3%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 44.0¢100.1 shares
44.0¢→43.5¢
$44.05
$100.12
$43.55
−$0.50 (-1.1%)
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 56.0¢60 shares
56.0¢→72.5¢
$33.60
$60.00
$43.50
+$9.90 (+29.5%)
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
No 23.5¢120 shares
23.5¢→36.2¢
$28.26
$120.00
$43.44
+$15.18 (+53.7%)
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 37.2¢45.7 shares
37.2¢→95.0¢
$17.00
$45.69
$43.38
+$26.39 (+155.3%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 70¢55 shares
70¢→77.5¢
$38.50
$55.00
$42.63
+$4.13 (+10.7%)
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Yes 23.9¢215 shares
23.9¢→19.7¢
$51.50
$215.00
$42.25
−$9.25 (-18.0%)
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 36.5¢110 shares
36.5¢→38¢
$40.13
$110.00
$41.80
+$1.67 (+4.2%)
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic
Miguel Tobon 42.3¢82 shares
42.3¢→49.5¢
$34.70
$82.00
$40.59
+$5.89 (+17.0%)
Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Yes 40¢67 shares
40¢→58.5¢
$26.80
$67.00
$39.20
+$12.40 (+46.3%)
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
Yes 18.5¢278 shares
18.5¢→14.0¢
$51.36
$278.00
$38.92
−$12.44 (-24.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
No 38.9¢210 shares
38.9¢→18.5¢
$81.62
$210.00
$38.85
−$42.77 (-52.4%)
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?
No 37¢180 shares
37¢→21¢
$66.60
$180.00
$37.80
−$28.80 (-43.2%)
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
No 25.7¢38.5 shares
25.7¢→95.5¢
$9.88
$38.47
$36.76
+$26.88 (+272.2%)
UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)
Islam Dulatov 52.8¢72 shares
52.8¢→50¢
$38.05
$72.00
Won
$36.00
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
No 45¢83.4 shares
45¢→43¢
$37.53
$83.40
$35.86
−$1.67 (-4.4%)
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 97.8¢35.5 shares
97.8¢→100.0¢
$34.71
$35.50
$35.48
+$0.77 (+2.2%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
Under 55.5¢60 shares
55.5¢→58.5¢
$33.30
$59.99
$35.10
+$1.80 (+5.4%)
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs
BORRACHEIROS 41.7¢70 shares
41.7¢→50¢
$29.20
$70.00
Won
$35.00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 49.7¢112.3 shares
49.7¢→31¢
$55.79
$112.34
$34.83
−$20.97 (-37.6%)
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 97.7¢35.6 shares
97.7¢→97.3¢
$34.75
$35.59
$34.63
−$0.12 (-0.4%)
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?
Yes 13.5¢60 shares
13.5¢→57.7¢
$8.10
$60.00
$34.62
+$26.52 (+327.4%)
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
No 97.1¢35 shares
97.1¢→98.7¢
$33.99
$35.00
$34.53
+$0.54 (+1.6%)
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
Yes 23.7¢300 shares
23.7¢→11.5¢
$71.10
$300.00
$34.50
−$36.60 (-51.5%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 15.9¢102.2 shares
15.9¢→33.5¢
$16.22
$102.22
$34.24
+$18.02 (+111.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 40.5¢101 shares
40.5¢→33.5¢
$40.92
$101.01
$33.84
−$7.09 (-17.3%)
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
No 56.1¢56.5 shares
56.1¢→59¢
$31.74
$56.53
$33.35
+$1.62 (+5.1%)
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes 37.3¢61 shares
37.3¢→54.5¢
$22.78
$61.00
$33.25
+$10.47 (+45.9%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 95.7¢35 shares
95.7¢→94.8¢
$33.50
$35.00
$33.20
−$0.30 (-0.9%)
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
No 70¢50 shares
70¢→64.5¢
$34.99
$49.99
$32.24
−$2.75 (-7.9%)
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
No 78.5¢38 shares
78.5¢→84.5¢
$29.82
$37.99
$32.10
+$2.28 (+7.6%)
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Yes 27.9¢95.6 shares
27.9¢→33.5¢
$26.68
$95.64
$32.04
+$5.36 (+20.1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals 41¢75 shares
41¢→42¢
$30.75
$75.00
$31.50
+$0.75 (+2.4%)
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 94.8¢32.3 shares
94.8¢→95.3¢
$30.59
$32.28
$30.76
+$0.18 (+0.6%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Yes 29.2¢87.5 shares
29.2¢→35¢
$25.53
$87.49
$30.62
+$5.10 (+20.0%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Yes 20.3¢550 shares
20.3¢→5.5¢
$111.60
$550.00
$30.25
−$81.35 (-72.9%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 96.1¢30.7 shares
96.1¢→98.4¢
$29.48
$30.67
$30.16
+$0.68 (+2.3%)
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
No 88.6¢31 shares
88.6¢→97¢
$27.46
$31.00
$30.07
+$2.61 (+9.5%)
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99¢30 shares
99¢→99.9¢
$29.70
$30.00
$29.96
+$0.25 (+0.9%)
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
No 46¢60 shares
46¢→49.5¢
$27.60
$60.00
$29.70
+$2.10 (+7.6%)
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?
No 47¢65 shares
47¢→45.5¢
$30.55
$65.00
$29.58
−$0.97 (-3.2%)
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Yes 29.0¢30 shares
29.0¢→98.5¢
$8.70
$30.00
$29.54
+$20.84 (+239.5%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 98.2¢30 shares
98.2¢→98.5¢
$29.46
$30.00
$29.54
+$0.07 (+0.3%)
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
No 87.4¢30 shares
87.4¢→98.2¢
$26.22
$30.00
$29.46
+$3.24 (+12.4%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 51.2¢52.5 shares
51.2¢→56.0¢
$26.91
$52.52
$29.41
+$2.50 (+9.3%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 25.6¢136.7 shares
25.6¢→21.5¢
$34.98
$136.67
$29.38
−$5.59 (-16.0%)