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Lavincey
Lavincey
Joined November 2024
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
$96,426.50
1D
−$53.96
7D
−$614.63
30D
−$49.52
90D
−$5.2K
Total volume
$36.45M
Predictions
101,226
Positions value
$1.2K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$62.4K
LP
+$6,741.35
Maker
+$28.2K
Yield
+$29.29
Taker
+$24.82
Fees
−$938.61
Standings
Overall
#1,978
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#717
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#2,811
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#866
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#276
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#17,924
of 72k earners
Yield
#5,297
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#25,614
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
potn9ki 50.0¢
250.6 shares
Share
54.6¢
→
50.0¢
$136.84
$250.65
$125.45
−$11.39
(-8.3%)
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?
Yes 34.5¢
160 shares
Share
29.1¢
→
34.5¢
$46.50
$160.00
$55.20
+$8.70
(+18.7%)
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Yes 25.1¢
162 shares
Share
2.4¢
→
25.1¢
$3.89
$162.00
$40.66
+$36.77
(+945.8%)
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
No 84.5¢
45.9 shares
Share
50.4¢
→
84.5¢
$23.13
$45.92
$38.80
+$15.68
(+67.8%)
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
No 67.5¢
56 shares
Share
56.1¢
→
67.5¢
$31.42
$55.96
$37.77
+$6.36
(+20.2%)
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 96.9¢
32 shares
Share
79.7¢
→
96.9¢
$25.54
$32.03
$31.04
+$5.49
(+21.5%)
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?
No 96.9¢
29 shares
Share
89¢
→
96.9¢
$25.81
$29.00
$28.09
+$2.28
(+8.8%)
Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 15.4¢
180 shares
Share
14.8¢
→
15.4¢
$26.70
$180.00
$27.72
+$1.02
(+3.8%)
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Yes 17.0¢
139.8 shares
Share
2.4¢
→
17.0¢
$3.29
$139.84
$23.70
+$20.42
(+621.3%)
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Yes 4.0¢
500 shares
Share
14.5¢
→
4.0¢
$72.80
$500.00
$20.25
−$52.55
(-72.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Yes 89.5¢
20 shares
Share
64¢
→
89.5¢
$12.80
$19.99
$17.89
+$5.10
(+39.8%)
Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?
Yes 19.2¢
90 shares
Share
12.7¢
→
19.2¢
$11.40
$90.00
$17.28
+$5.88
(+51.6%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
No 57.0¢
29 shares
Share
44.5¢
→
57.0¢
$12.90
$29.00
$16.53
+$3.63
(+28.1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
No 75.5¢
20 shares
Share
71¢
→
75.5¢
$14.20
$20.00
$15.10
+$0.90
(+6.3%)
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Yes 15.5¢
95.3 shares
Share
27.9¢
→
15.5¢
$26.57
$95.25
$14.76
−$11.81
(-44.4%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.6¢
379 shares
Share
12¢
→
3.6¢
$45.48
$379.03
$13.65
−$31.84
(-70.0%)
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 17.5¢
76.2 shares
Share
45.1¢
→
17.5¢
$34.39
$76.19
$13.33
−$21.05
(-61.2%)
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 3.6¢
356.9 shares
Share
7.2¢
→
3.6¢
$25.78
$356.90
$12.85
−$12.93
(-50.2%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 61.5¢
20 shares
Share
52¢
→
61.5¢
$10.40
$20.00
$12.30
+$1.90
(+18.3%)
Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?
Yes 40.8¢
30 shares
Share
27¢
→
40.8¢
$8.10
$30.00
$12.26
+$4.16
(+51.3%)
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 1.4¢
802 shares
Share
19¢
→
1.4¢
$152.38
$802.00
$10.83
−$141.55
(-92.9%)
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?
Yes 1.6¢
640 shares
Share
15.9¢
→
1.6¢
$101.79
$640.00
$9.92
−$91.87
(-90.3%)
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Yes 14.1¢
69.8 shares
Share
10.4¢
→
14.1¢
$7.28
$69.79
$9.84
+$2.56
(+35.2%)
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
Yes 48.5¢
20 shares
Share
42¢
→
48.5¢
$8.40
$20.00
$9.70
+$1.30
(+15.5%)
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
Yes 7.2¢
133.2 shares
Share
26.1¢
→
7.2¢
$34.80
$133.16
$9.65
−$25.15
(-72.3%)
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes 38.5¢
25 shares
Share
4¢
→
38.5¢
$1.00
$25.00
$9.63
+$8.63
(+862.5%)
Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026?
Yes 10.4¢
90 shares
Share
6.3¢
→
10.4¢
$5.70
$90.00
$9.41
+$3.71
(+65.0%)
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
Yes 13.8¢
63.4 shares
Share
21.6¢
→
13.8¢
$13.69
$63.35
$8.71
−$4.98
(-36.4%)
Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?
Yes 34.4¢
25 shares
Share
4¢
→
34.4¢
$1.00
$25.00
$8.61
+$7.61
(+761.3%)
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
No 59.5¢
14 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
59.5¢
$7.84
$14.00
$8.33
+$0.49
(+6.3%)
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 99.5¢
8 shares
Share
40¢
→
99.5¢
$3.20
$8.00
$7.96
+$4.76
(+148.6%)
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
No 40.5¢
18.9 shares
Share
34¢
→
40.5¢
$6.41
$18.86
$7.64
+$1.23
(+19.1%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Yes 29.5¢
24.3 shares
Share
39.4¢
→
29.5¢
$9.59
$24.35
$7.18
−$2.41
(-25.1%)
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
Yes 17¢
42.1 shares
Share
17.2¢
→
17¢
$7.23
$42.13
$7.16
−$0.06
(-0.9%)
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Yes 17.5¢
40 shares
Share
27¢
→
17.5¢
$10.80
$40.00
$7.00
−$3.80
(-35.2%)
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Yes 4.3¢
158.8 shares
Share
49.6¢
→
4.3¢
$78.80
$158.83
$6.75
−$72.05
(-91.4%)
Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.6¢
120 shares
Share
13.2¢
→
5.6¢
$15.90
$120.00
$6.72
−$9.18
(-57.7%)
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Yes 5.3¢
120 shares
Share
6¢
→
5.3¢
$7.20
$120.00
$6.30
−$0.90
(-12.5%)
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 13.1¢
47 shares
Share
18.5¢
→
13.1¢
$8.70
$47.00
$6.13
−$2.56
(-29.5%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes 28.5¢
19.6 shares
Share
47.2¢
→
28.5¢
$9.23
$19.55
$5.57
−$3.66
(-39.7%)
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Yes 8.8¢
60 shares
Share
9.5¢
→
8.8¢
$5.70
$59.99
$5.28
−$0.42
(-7.4%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64.5¢
8 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
64.5¢
$4.40
$8.00
$5.16
+$0.76
(+17.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No 100.0¢
5 shares
Share
78.0¢
→
100.0¢
$3.90
$5.00
$5.00
+$1.10
(+28.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?
No 98.5¢
5 shares
Share
69.2¢
→
98.5¢
$3.46
$5.00
$4.92
+$1.46
(+42.3%)
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Yes 3.9¢
123 shares
Share
18.0¢
→
3.9¢
$22.15
$122.98
$4.80
−$17.35
(-78.3%)
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Yes 8.9¢
53.3 shares
Share
3.2¢
→
8.9¢
$1.71
$53.30
$4.74
+$3.04
(+178.1%)
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
Yes 32¢
14.7 shares
Share
30¢
→
32¢
$4.40
$14.65
$4.69
+$0.29
(+6.7%)
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Yes 2.2¢
210.9 shares
Share
10.1¢
→
2.2¢
$21.37
$210.90
$4.64
−$16.73
(-78.3%)
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
No 97.1¢
4.6 shares
Share
94.1¢
→
97.1¢
$4.35
$4.62
$4.49
+$0.14
(+3.2%)
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.5¢
128 shares
Share
6.0¢
→
3.5¢
$7.76
$128.00
$4.42
−$3.34
(-43.1%)
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.5¢
4.7 shares
Share
51¢
→
94.5¢
$2.38
$4.67
$4.41
+$2.03
(+85.3%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
OpenAI 14.3¢
30 shares
Share
10.3¢
→
14.3¢
$3.09
$30.00
$4.29
+$1.20
(+38.8%)
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Yes 3¢
140 shares
Share
20.2¢
→
3¢
$28.30
$140.00
$4.20
−$24.10
(-85.2%)
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
No 24.4¢
17 shares
Share
12.1¢
→
24.4¢
$2.06
$17.00
$4.16
+$2.10
(+101.8%)
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes 14.6¢
27.7 shares
Share
71.1¢
→
14.6¢
$19.72
$27.73
$4.06
−$15.65
(-79.4%)
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 11¢
36.5 shares
Share
42¢
→
11¢
$15.31
$36.45
$4.01
−$11.30
(-73.8%)
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.1¢
126.3 shares
Share
16.3¢
→
3.1¢
$20.61
$126.29
$3.92
−$16.69
(-81.0%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 97.0¢
3.9 shares
Share
83.8¢
→
97.0¢
$3.27
$3.90
$3.78
+$0.51
(+15.7%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 99.2¢
3.8 shares
Share
45.0¢
→
99.2¢
$1.69
$3.77
$3.73
+$2.04
(+120.3%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 40¢
9.3 shares
Share
45¢
→
40¢
$4.20
$9.32
$3.73
−$0.47
(-11.1%)
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 92.5¢
4 shares
Share
79¢
→
92.5¢
$3.16
$4.00
$3.70
+$0.54
(+17.1%)
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?
Yes 13.8¢
26.8 shares
Share
12.8¢
→
13.8¢
$3.43
$26.79
$3.68
+$0.25
(+7.3%)
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
No 82.5¢
4.5 shares
Share
78¢
→
82.5¢
$3.47
$4.45
$3.67
+$0.20
(+5.8%)
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?
Yes 18.1¢
20 shares
Share
1.3¢
→
18.1¢
$0.26
$20.00
$3.63
+$3.37
(+1296.2%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Yes 18¢
20 shares
Share
15.5¢
→
18¢
$3.10
$20.00
$3.60
+$0.50
(+16.1%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No 92.2¢
3.9 shares
Share
78.5¢
→
92.2¢
$3.04
$3.87
$3.57
+$0.53
(+17.4%)
Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Yes 6.3¢
56 shares
Share
10¢
→
6.3¢
$5.60
$56.00
$3.53
−$2.07
(-37.0%)
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 71.5¢
4.9 shares
Share
61¢
→
71.5¢
$3.00
$4.92
$3.52
+$0.52
(+17.2%)
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes 2.6¢
127 shares
Share
12.3¢
→
2.6¢
$15.59
$127.00
$3.37
−$12.22
(-78.4%)
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
Yes 2.8¢
120 shares
Share
12.5¢
→
2.8¢
$15.00
$120.00
$3.36
−$11.64
(-77.6%)
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 33¢
10 shares
Share
38¢
→
33¢
$3.80
$10.00
$3.30
−$0.50
(-13.2%)
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 78.5¢
4.2 shares
Share
87¢
→
78.5¢
$3.65
$4.20
$3.30
−$0.36
(-9.8%)
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?
No 54.5¢
6 shares
Share
17¢
→
54.5¢
$1.02
$6.00
$3.27
+$2.25
(+220.6%)
Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?
Yes 3.9¢
83.4 shares
Share
1.1¢
→
3.9¢
$0.91
$83.38
$3.25
+$2.35
(+258.8%)
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Yes 7.2¢
45 shares
Share
25¢
→
7.2¢
$11.25
$45.00
$3.24
−$8.01
(-71.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
3.2 shares
Share
89¢
→
99.9¢
$2.85
$3.20
$3.19
+$0.35
(+12.2%)
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
No 78.5¢
4 shares
Share
35¢
→
78.5¢
$1.40
$4.00
$3.14
+$1.74
(+124.3%)
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?
Yes 2.5¢
120 shares
Share
5.1¢
→
2.5¢
$6.18
$120.00
$3.06
−$3.12
(-50.5%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 83.7¢
3.7 shares
Share
78.7¢
→
83.7¢
$2.88
$3.66
$3.06
+$0.18
(+6.3%)
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?
No 30.5¢
10 shares
Share
29.0¢
→
30.5¢
$2.90
$10.00
$3.05
+$0.15
(+5.2%)
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
80.2 shares
Share
23¢
→
3.8¢
$18.44
$80.17
$3.05
−$15.39
(-83.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
15.3 shares
Share
21.0¢
→
19.5¢
$3.20
$15.26
$2.98
−$0.23
(-7.1%)
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
No 94.0¢
3.2 shares
Share
11¢
→
94.0¢
$0.35
$3.15
$2.96
+$2.61
(+754.1%)
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
No 23¢
12.8 shares
Share
63¢
→
23¢
$8.08
$12.82
$2.95
−$5.13
(-63.5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
No 18.5¢
15.7 shares
Share
29.0¢
→
18.5¢
$4.54
$15.67
$2.90
−$1.65
(-36.2%)
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8¢
35 shares
Share
17¢
→
8¢
$5.95
$35.00
$2.80
−$3.15
(-52.9%)
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
No 56.0¢
5 shares
Share
46¢
→
56.0¢
$2.30
$5.00
$2.80
+$0.50
(+21.7%)
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?
Yes 12.1¢
23 shares
Share
14.1¢
→
12.1¢
$3.24
$23.00
$2.78
−$0.46
(-14.2%)
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
No 89.5¢
3.1 shares
Share
46.0¢
→
89.5¢
$1.42
$3.09
$2.77
+$1.34
(+94.4%)
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
No 91¢
3 shares
Share
70¢
→
91¢
$2.10
$3.00
$2.73
+$0.63
(+30.0%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢
2.9 shares
Share
63¢
→
94.9¢
$1.81
$2.87
$2.73
+$0.92
(+50.6%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
No 95.5¢
2.9 shares
Share
41.6¢
→
95.5¢
$1.19
$2.85
$2.73
+$1.54
(+129.4%)
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
3.1 shares
Share
42¢
→
88.5¢
$1.29
$3.06
$2.71
+$1.42
(+110.7%)
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Yes 17.4¢
15 shares
Share
2¢
→
17.4¢
$0.30
$14.96
$2.60
+$2.30
(+770.0%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
No 93.5¢
2.8 shares
Share
89.1¢
→
93.5¢
$2.46
$2.76
$2.58
+$0.12
(+4.9%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
30 shares
Share
8¢
→
8.5¢
$2.40
$30.00
$2.55
+$0.15
(+6.3%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.6¢
3 shares
Share
83.7¢
→
84.6¢
$2.50
$2.99
$2.53
+$0.03
(+1.0%)
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Yes 47.5¢
5.3 shares
Share
6¢
→
47.5¢
$0.32
$5.31
$2.52
+$2.20
(+691.7%)
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 1¢
248.7 shares
Share
11.0¢
→
1¢
$27.35
$248.67
$2.49
−$24.86
(-90.9%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 2.2¢
113 shares
Share
0.7¢
→
2.2¢
$0.79
$113.00
$2.49
+$1.70
(+214.3%)
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