Hourglass
Flex cardJoined February 2025
Total earnings
$36,915.78
1D
−$39.52
7D
$19.3K
30D
−$16.4K
90D
−$6.3K
Total volume
$21.85M
Predictions
19,639
Positions value
$1.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$35.6K
LP+$1.4K
Maker+$20.11
Yield+$13.03
Fees−$63.70

Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
No 95.4¢50 shares
95.4¢→94.3¢
$47.69
$50.00
$47.18
−$0.52 (-1.1%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?
No 93.5¢50 shares
93.5¢→91.5¢
$46.76
$50.00
$45.75
−$1.01 (-2.2%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?
No 98.4¢50 shares
98.4¢→90.0¢
$49.22
$50.00
$44.98
−$4.25 (-8.6%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?
No 97.8¢50 shares
97.8¢→88.9¢
$48.88
$50.00
$44.45
−$4.43 (-9.1%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?
No 98.8¢50 shares
98.8¢→75.2¢
$49.40
$50.00
$37.60
−$11.80 (-23.9%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?
No 99.0¢50 shares
99.0¢→74.4¢
$49.49
$50.00
$37.18
−$12.32 (-24.9%)

Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
No 86.2¢37.1 shares
86.2¢→95.5¢
$31.96
$37.06
$35.39
+$3.43 (+10.7%)

Will Joey Bosa play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?
No 98.8¢50 shares
98.8¢→70.5¢
$49.38
$50.00
$35.28
−$14.10 (-28.6%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?
No 98.7¢50 shares
98.7¢→68.5¢
$49.34
$50.00
$34.28
−$15.06 (-30.5%)

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 99.8¢31.5 shares
99.8¢→99.9¢
$31.43
$31.49
$31.44
+$0.02 (+0.0%)

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 99.8¢31.5 shares
99.8¢→99.8¢
$31.43
$31.49
$31.41
−$0.02 (-0.1%)

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 99.6¢31.5 shares
99.6¢→99.8¢
$31.36
$31.49
$31.41
+$0.05 (+0.2%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?
No 98.7¢50 shares
98.7¢→61.1¢
$49.36
$50.00
$30.53
−$18.84 (-38.2%)

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.0¢1.6K shares
0.0¢→1.8¢
$0.46
$1.6K
$30.24
+$29.78 (+6437.8%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?
No 99¢30 shares
99¢→94¢
$29.70
$30.00
$28.20
−$1.50 (-5.1%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?
No 99¢50 shares
99¢→55.5¢
$49.50
$50.00
$27.78
−$21.73 (-43.9%)

Will Joey Bosa play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?
No 99¢25 shares
99¢→99.5¢
$24.75
$25.00
$24.86
+$0.11 (+0.5%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.7¢85.4 shares
0.7¢→23.6¢
$0.58
$85.36
$20.19
+$19.61 (+3405.6%)

Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 99.8¢20 shares
99.8¢→99.5¢
$19.95
$19.99
$19.88
−$0.07 (-0.4%)

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 3.4¢20 shares
3.4¢→96.5¢
$0.67
$20.00
$19.30
+$18.63 (+2764.3%)

Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 95.1¢20.1 shares
95.1¢→94.5¢
$19.10
$20.09
$19.00
−$0.11 (-0.6%)

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
Yes 2.1¢27.2 shares
2.1¢→67¢
$0.57
$27.19
$18.22
+$17.65 (+3099.8%)

Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 98.7¢20 shares
98.7¢→90.5¢
$19.76
$20.02
$18.11
−$1.65 (-8.4%)

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No 9¢327.9 shares
9¢→5.5¢
$29.51
$327.86
$18.03
−$11.48 (-38.9%)

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Yes -0.0¢20 shares
-0.0¢→80¢
−$0.01
$20.00
$16.00
+$16.01 (+0.0%)

Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 99.8¢20 shares
99.8¢→78.1¢
$19.95
$19.99
$15.61
−$4.34 (-21.7%)

Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 99.7¢20 shares
99.7¢→77.7¢
$19.93
$19.99
$15.53
−$4.40 (-22.1%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes -0.1¢40 shares
-0.1¢→37.8¢
−$0.03
$40.00
$15.10
+$15.13 (+0.0%)

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 67¢69.9 shares
67¢→21.5¢
$46.85
$69.93
$15.03
−$31.82 (-67.9%)

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Yes 4.7¢33.3 shares
4.7¢→43.3¢
$1.56
$33.29
$14.40
+$12.84 (+825.0%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→2.1¢
$0.13
$538.76
$11.53
+$11.40 (+8971.0%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢107.1 shares
0.6¢→10.3¢
$0.64
$107.14
$11.09
+$10.45 (+1638.3%)

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.0¢1.6K shares
0.0¢→0.7¢
$0.50
$1.6K
$10.35
+$9.85 (+1983.5%)

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 99.7¢10.7 shares
99.7¢→96.9¢
$10.65
$10.68
$10.34
−$0.30 (-2.9%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 1.3¢20 shares
1.3¢→44¢
$0.26
$20.00
$8.80
+$8.54 (+3267.7%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0.0¢65 shares
0.0¢→11.5¢
$0.03
$65.00
$7.48
+$7.45 (+28214.0%)

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 72.9¢18.9 shares
72.9¢→37.5¢
$13.79
$18.91
$7.10
−$6.69 (-48.5%)
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
Yes 16.7¢87.1 shares
16.7¢→8.2¢
$14.52
$87.11
$7.10
−$7.42 (-51.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢26 shares
0.1¢→27.0¢
$0.04
$25.99
$7.00
+$6.96 (+17722.4%)

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢1.5K shares
3.1¢→0.4¢
$45.93
$1.5K
$6.61
−$39.31 (-85.6%)

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
No 67¢20.7 shares
67¢→31¢
$13.85
$20.67
$6.41
−$7.44 (-53.7%)

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.4¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$5.85
+$5.84 (+64843.3%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→1.1¢
$0.13
$538.76
$5.66
+$5.53 (+4350.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
No 9¢87.5 shares
9¢→6¢
$7.87
$87.47
$5.25
−$2.62 (-33.3%)

Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
Yes 16.7¢6 shares
16.7¢→77¢
$1.00
$6.00
$4.62
+$3.62 (+362.0%)

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.4¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$4.55
+$4.54 (+50411.1%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
No 79.0¢4.8 shares
79.0¢→94.2¢
$3.77
$4.77
$4.49
+$0.72 (+19.2%)

Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 3.4¢50 shares
3.4¢→8.8¢
$1.72
$50.00
$4.43
+$2.70 (+156.7%)

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
No 90.4¢4.5 shares
90.4¢→96.4¢
$4.10
$4.54
$4.37
+$0.27 (+6.7%)

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.0¢1.6K shares
0.0¢→0.3¢
$0.46
$1.6K
$4.06
+$3.60 (+783.5%)

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
No 97.1¢4.1 shares
97.1¢→98.5¢
$3.94
$4.06
$4.00
+$0.06 (+1.4%)

Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 99.5¢3.9 shares
99.5¢→100.0¢
$3.87
$3.89
$3.89
+$0.02 (+0.5%)

Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title?
No 97.5¢3.8 shares
97.5¢→99.9¢
$3.69
$3.79
$3.78
+$0.09 (+2.4%)

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→0.7¢
$0.13
$538.76
$3.50
+$3.37 (+2655.2%)

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Yes 4.7¢36 shares
4.7¢→9.1¢
$1.68
$36.00
$3.28
+$1.59 (+94.6%)

Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.3¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$3.25
+$3.24 (+35978.9%)

Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.3¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$3.25
+$3.24 (+35978.9%)

Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 93.6¢3.2 shares
93.6¢→99.5¢
$2.96
$3.17
$3.15
+$0.18 (+6.2%)

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.3¢3.2 shares
96.3¢→96.0¢
$3.06
$3.18
$3.05
−$0.01 (-0.3%)

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢6.1K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$5.60
$6.1K
$3.03
−$2.57 (-45.9%)

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
No 8¢50 shares
8¢→6.0¢
$4.00
$49.95
$3.02
−$0.97 (-24.4%)

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→0.5¢
$0.13
$538.76
$2.96
+$2.84 (+2231.2%)

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
No 72.3¢3.2 shares
72.3¢→91.8¢
$2.30
$3.18
$2.92
+$0.62 (+27.1%)

Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
No 98.9¢2.9 shares
98.9¢→99.8¢
$2.88
$2.91
$2.90
+$0.02 (+0.9%)

Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
No 99.7¢2.9 shares
99.7¢→99.8¢
$2.90
$2.91
$2.90
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 98.8¢2.9 shares
98.8¢→97.7¢
$2.86
$2.89
$2.82
−$0.03 (-1.1%)

Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
No 91.9¢2.9 shares
91.9¢→96.7¢
$2.67
$2.91
$2.81
+$0.14 (+5.2%)

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
No 83.6¢3.6 shares
83.6¢→77¢
$3.04
$3.63
$2.80
−$0.24 (-7.9%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0.0¢65 shares
0.0¢→4.3¢
$0.03
$65.00
$2.76
+$2.74 (+10363.6%)

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢589 shares
0¢→0.4¢
$0.01
$588.95
$2.65
+$2.64 (+45591.4%)

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 98.4¢2.6 shares
98.4¢→99.9¢
$2.60
$2.64
$2.64
+$0.04 (+1.5%)

Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢1.1K shares
0¢→0.3¢
−$0.04
$1.1K
$2.63
+$2.66 (+0.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No 60.9¢4.5 shares
60.9¢→57.0¢
$2.72
$4.46
$2.54
−$0.18 (-6.5%)

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→0.4¢
$0.13
$538.76
$2.42
+$2.30 (+1807.4%)

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
No 92.1¢2.6 shares
92.1¢→92.7¢
$2.39
$2.59
$2.40
+$0.01 (+0.5%)

Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0¢40 shares
0¢→5.8¢
−$0.00
$40.00
$2.30
+$2.30 (+0.0%)

Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
No 94.3¢2.4 shares
94.3¢→94.6¢
$2.29
$2.43
$2.30
+$0.01 (+0.3%)

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢649.5 shares
0¢→0.4¢
$0.00
$649.45
$2.27
+$2.27 (+50408.9%)

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢1.5K shares
3.1¢→0.1¢
$47.32
$1.5K
$2.27
−$45.05 (-95.2%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢144 shares
0¢→1.5¢
$0.00
$144.00
$2.16
+$2.16 (+2159800.0%)

2026 Balance of Power: Other
No 99.3¢2.1 shares
99.3¢→99.5¢
$2.10
$2.11
$2.10
+$0.00 (+0.1%)

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.8¢2.1 shares
99.8¢→99.9¢
$2.06
$2.06
$2.06
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 99.6¢2 shares
99.6¢→99.9¢
$2.04
$2.05
$2.05
+$0.01 (+0.3%)

Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
No 90.9¢2 shares
90.9¢→98.0¢
$1.85
$2.04
$2.00
+$0.14 (+7.7%)

Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?
No 99.8¢2 shares
99.8¢→99.8¢
$2.00
$2.00
$2.00
−$0.00 (-0.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
No 8.2¢30 shares
8.2¢→6.7¢
$2.46
$30.00
$2.00
−$0.46 (-18.9%)

Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.1¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$1.95
+$1.94 (+21546.7%)

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.1¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$1.95
+$1.94 (+21546.7%)

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.1¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$1.95
+$1.94 (+21546.7%)

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
0¢→0.1¢
$0.01
$1.3K
$1.95
+$1.94 (+21546.7%)

Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
No 97.6¢2 shares
97.6¢→95.7¢
$1.95
$2.00
$1.91
−$0.04 (-2.0%)

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→0.4¢
$0.13
$538.76
$1.89
+$1.76 (+1383.5%)

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.0¢538.8 shares
0.0¢→0.4¢
$0.13
$538.76
$1.89
+$1.76 (+1383.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
No 8.5¢30.6 shares
8.5¢→5.9¢
$2.61
$30.59
$1.80
−$0.81 (-30.9%)

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Yes 12.5¢2 shares
12.5¢→90¢
$0.25
$2.00
$1.80
+$1.55 (+620.0%)

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 99.7¢1.7 shares
99.7¢→99.5¢
$1.70
$1.70
$1.70
−$0.00 (-0.2%)

Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 83.3¢1.7 shares
83.3¢→95.5¢
$1.42
$1.71
$1.63
+$0.21 (+14.6%)

Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢1.1K shares
0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$1.1K
$1.58
+$1.61 (+0.0%)

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢1.1K shares
0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$1.1K
$1.58
+$1.61 (+0.0%)

Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢1.1K shares
0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$1.1K
$1.58
+$1.61 (+0.0%)
