newnewuser
Flex cardJoined January 2026
Total earnings
$52,343.15
1D
−$426.78
7D
$2.0K
30D
−$1.4K
90D
−$7.0K
Total volume
$19.36M
Predictions
414
Positions value
$22.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$37.0K
LP+$14.7K
Maker+$678.84
Yield+$43.22
Fees−$0.65
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 59.8¢2.6K shares
59.8¢→70.5¢
$1.5K
$2.6K
$1.8K
+$275.18 (+17.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 87.6¢1.6K shares
87.6¢→99.3¢
$1.4K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$184.73 (+13.3%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95.6¢1.5K shares
95.6¢→98.0¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$36.12 (+2.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
No 96.1¢1.4K shares
96.1¢→99.7¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$49.51 (+3.7%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 51.7¢2.1K shares
51.7¢→61¢
$1.1K
$2.1K
$1.3K
+$195.74 (+18.1%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 98.1¢1.1K shares
98.1¢→99.6¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$16.35 (+1.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 63.3¢1.8K shares
63.3¢→56.5¢
$1.1K
$1.8K
$1.0K
−$123.88 (-10.8%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 98.5¢1.0K shares
98.5¢→99.1¢
$990.24
$1.0K
$995.96
+$5.72 (+0.6%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No 74.3¢1.2K shares
74.3¢→77.5¢
$881.21
$1.2K
$919.10
+$37.89 (+4.3%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 74.2¢1.2K shares
74.2¢→72.5¢
$902.51
$1.2K
$881.47
−$21.04 (-2.3%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
No 92.1¢916.6 shares
92.1¢→87.0¢
$844.60
$916.62
$797.00
−$47.60 (-5.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢3.7K shares
19.5¢→18.5¢
$715.26
$3.7K
$679.39
−$35.87 (-5.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 17.0¢2.9K shares
17.0¢→19.9¢
$498.84
$2.9K
$583.62
+$84.78 (+17.0%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No 74.9¢752.2 shares
74.9¢→76.5¢
$563.68
$752.21
$575.44
+$11.76 (+2.1%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 97.3¢581.9 shares
97.3¢→97.2¢
$566.04
$581.93
$565.64
−$0.41 (-0.1%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 15.8¢5.7K shares
15.8¢→9.5¢
$905.51
$5.7K
$544.36
−$361.14 (-39.9%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 96.3¢534.5 shares
96.3¢→98.8¢
$514.58
$534.52
$527.84
+$13.26 (+2.6%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 96.1¢540.2 shares
96.1¢→96.3¢
$519.01
$540.22
$519.96
+$0.95 (+0.2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 45.7¢1.1K shares
45.7¢→44.5¢
$514.34
$1.1K
$500.64
−$13.70 (-2.7%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.2¢500 shares
98.2¢→98¢
$491.20
$500.00
$490.00
−$1.20 (-0.2%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 75.3¢554.5 shares
75.3¢→87.5¢
$417.57
$554.45
$485.15
+$67.58 (+16.2%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Yes 39.3¢1.5K shares
39.3¢→27.5¢
$584.41
$1.5K
$408.96
−$175.45 (-30.0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 40.7¢666.2 shares
40.7¢→59.5¢
$271.49
$666.25
$396.42
+$124.93 (+46.0%)
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
No 95.3¢288 shares
95.3¢→97.4¢
$274.58
$287.99
$280.51
+$5.92 (+2.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 97.6¢251.2 shares
97.6¢→97.7¢
$245.06
$251.17
$245.39
+$0.33 (+0.1%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Yes 13¢1.8K shares
13¢→12¢
$227.75
$1.8K
$210.13
−$17.62 (-7.7%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
No 98.3¢201.5 shares
98.3¢→98.9¢
$198.10
$201.45
$199.14
+$1.04 (+0.5%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 98.6¢200 shares
98.6¢→99¢
$197.10
$200.00
$198.00
+$0.90 (+0.5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 90.0¢216.1 shares
90.0¢→91.5¢
$194.61
$216.11
$197.74
+$3.13 (+1.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 87.7¢191.1 shares
87.7¢→95.3¢
$167.60
$191.06
$182.08
+$14.47 (+8.6%)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No 87.5¢139.2 shares
87.5¢→92.0¢
$121.90
$139.23
$128.03
+$6.12 (+5.0%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 30.8¢394.4 shares
30.8¢→31¢
$121.50
$394.42
$122.27
+$0.77 (+0.6%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
No 91.4¢127.3 shares
91.4¢→94¢
$116.35
$127.25
$119.62
+$3.27 (+2.8%)
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 47¢242.4 shares
47¢→45¢
$113.91
$242.36
$109.06
−$4.85 (-4.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 25.5¢457.2 shares
25.5¢→23.5¢
$116.43
$457.17
$107.43
−$9.00 (-7.7%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 23.2¢749.3 shares
23.2¢→12.5¢
$174.16
$749.27
$93.66
−$80.50 (-46.2%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
No 93¢100 shares
93¢→92.5¢
$93.00
$100.00
$92.50
−$0.50 (-0.5%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 83¢92.5 shares
83¢→93.5¢
$76.77
$92.50
$86.49
+$9.71 (+12.7%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79.8¢94.4 shares
79.8¢→85.0¢
$75.33
$94.35
$80.24
+$4.91 (+6.5%)
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
No 98.5¢78.4 shares
98.5¢→99.7¢
$77.23
$78.37
$78.10
+$0.87 (+1.1%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 25.0¢331.3 shares
25.0¢→23.5¢
$82.70
$331.31
$77.86
−$4.84 (-5.9%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Yes 15.4¢499.2 shares
15.4¢→13.5¢
$76.87
$499.20
$67.39
−$9.48 (-12.3%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 73.0¢95 shares
73.0¢→67.5¢
$69.34
$94.99
$64.12
−$5.22 (-7.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 50.0¢200 shares
50.0¢→30.5¢
$100.00
$199.99
$61.00
−$39.00 (-39.0%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Yes 22.0¢906.7 shares
22.0¢→6.5¢
$199.12
$906.67
$58.93
−$140.19 (-70.4%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 75.5¢67.4 shares
75.5¢→78.5¢
$50.85
$67.37
$52.92
+$2.07 (+4.1%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 35.9¢106.1 shares
35.9¢→39¢
$38.14
$106.12
$41.39
+$3.24 (+8.5%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 36.2¢4.4K shares
36.2¢→0.9¢
$1.6K
$4.4K
$37.59
−$1.6K (-97.7%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 62.7¢64 shares
62.7¢→54.5¢
$40.12
$64.00
$34.88
−$5.24 (-13.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Yes 30.0¢201.4 shares
30.0¢→16¢
$60.41
$201.41
$32.23
−$28.19 (-46.7%)
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 35¢95.1 shares
35¢→31¢
$33.27
$95.07
$29.47
−$3.80 (-11.4%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92.7¢31.4 shares
92.7¢→93.8¢
$29.11
$31.40
$29.44
+$0.33 (+1.1%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 32.3¢71.3 shares
32.3¢→38.5¢
$23.05
$71.32
$27.46
+$4.41 (+19.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 23.9¢400 shares
23.9¢→6.5¢
$95.50
$400.00
$26.00
−$69.50 (-72.8%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 25.8¢1.9K shares
25.8¢→1.3¢
$501.74
$1.9K
$24.31
−$477.43 (-95.2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Yes 5¢205.9 shares
5¢→8¢
$10.29
$205.89
$16.47
+$6.18 (+60.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.9¢1.1K shares
1.9¢→1.1¢
$21.10
$1.1K
$12.93
−$8.17 (-38.7%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes 14.0¢88.8 shares
14.0¢→12.5¢
$12.43
$88.78
$11.10
−$1.33 (-10.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 15.8¢28.4 shares
15.8¢→30.5¢
$4.48
$28.36
$8.65
+$4.17 (+93.2%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Yes 37¢44.2 shares
37¢→18.5¢
$16.37
$44.24
$8.18
−$8.18 (-50.0%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Yes 8.3¢1.0K shares
8.3¢→0.8¢
$85.32
$1.0K
$7.72
−$77.60 (-91.0%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Yes 8¢76 shares
8¢→7.5¢
$6.08
$75.98
$5.70
−$0.38 (-6.3%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
No 85.5¢4.4 shares
85.5¢→87.5¢
$3.75
$4.39
$3.84
+$0.09 (+2.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 35.7¢5.7 shares
35.7¢→53.5¢
$2.05
$5.74
$3.07
+$1.02 (+49.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 56.6¢4.4 shares
56.6¢→64.5¢
$2.49
$4.40
$2.84
+$0.35 (+13.9%)
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Yes 3.8¢690.7 shares
3.8¢→0.3¢
$26.51
$690.71
$1.73
−$24.79 (-93.5%)
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?
Yes 6¢12.2 shares
6¢→6¢
$0.73
$12.17
$0.73
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Yes 2.4¢26.7 shares
2.4¢→2.5¢
$0.65
$26.65
$0.68
+$0.03 (+4.1%)
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 14.9¢29.4 shares
14.9¢→1.9¢
$4.38
$29.40
$0.57
−$3.81 (-86.9%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Yes 5.7¢333.5 shares
5.7¢→0¢
$19.04
$333.54
Lost
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
No 2.5¢471.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$11.96
$471.06
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
No 67.0¢38 shares
67.0¢→0¢
$25.43
$37.95
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
No 34.2¢20.6 shares
34.2¢→0¢
$7.04
$20.61
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
No 36.9¢289.8 shares
36.9¢→0¢
$106.94
$289.75
Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Yes 10.8¢250.6 shares
10.8¢→0¢
$27.11
$250.65
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 7.1¢1.4K shares
7.1¢→0¢
$99.37
$1.4K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No 62.9¢2.4K shares
62.9¢→0¢
$1.5K
$2.4K
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
No 20.4¢2.2K shares
20.4¢→0¢
$453.92
$2.2K
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
No 10¢1.5K shares
10¢→0¢
$154.67
$1.5K
Lost
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Yes 3.5¢574 shares
3.5¢→0¢
$19.94
$573.97
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Yes 21¢300 shares
21¢→0¢
$63.00
$300.00
Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
No 1.9¢67.9 shares
1.9¢→0¢
$1.31
$67.90
Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Yes 1.5¢129.7 shares
1.5¢→0¢
$1.98
$129.65
Lost
Trump out as President by June 30?
Yes 1.2¢552.7 shares
1.2¢→0¢
$6.50
$552.71
Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Yes 10.8¢65.8 shares
10.8¢→0¢
$7.08
$65.82
Lost
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Yes 5.5¢35 shares
5.5¢→0¢
$1.93
$35.04
Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Yes 2.4¢312.7 shares
2.4¢→0¢
$7.35
$312.70
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
No 32.3¢60.3 shares
32.3¢→0¢
$19.49
$60.31
Lost
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
No 83.8¢71 shares
83.8¢→0¢
$59.51
$71.01
Lost
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Yes 8.5¢3.6K shares
8.5¢→0¢
$305.02
$3.6K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Yes 2.7¢3.9K shares
2.7¢→0¢
$105.52
$3.9K
Lost
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Yes 2.2¢335 shares
2.2¢→0¢
$7.37
$335.00
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
No 57.9¢2.8K shares
57.9¢→0¢
$1.6K
$2.8K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Yes 6¢300 shares
6¢→0¢
$18.00
$300.00
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 63.6¢5.1K shares
63.6¢→0¢
$3.3K
$5.1K
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Yes 14.0¢950.4 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$132.72
$950.45
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 16.4¢25.7K shares
16.4¢→0¢
$4.2K
$25.7K
Lost
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Yes 3.9¢505 shares
3.9¢→0¢
$19.88
$504.97
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
No 53.1¢514.9 shares
53.1¢→0¢
$273.61
$514.95
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
No 18.8¢115.6 shares
18.8¢→0¢
$21.69
$115.58
Lost