rocky42002
Flex cardJoined June 2025
Total earnings
$20,675.12
1D
−$595.24
7D
−$1.9K
30D
−$3.1K
90D
−$12.8K
Total volume
$13.74M
Predictions
7,172
Positions value
$4.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$10.8K
LP+$5.9K
Maker+$4.0K
Taker+$5.71

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Yes 48.1¢574.7 shares
48.1¢→54.5¢
$276.51
$574.75
$313.24
+$36.73 (+13.3%)

Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
No 54.1¢312.1 shares
54.1¢→82.5¢
$168.81
$312.06
$257.45
+$88.63 (+52.5%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
No 71.0¢351.3 shares
71.0¢→71.5¢
$249.38
$351.26
$251.15
+$1.77 (+0.7%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 25.6¢1.1K shares
25.6¢→18.5¢
$286.50
$1.1K
$206.90
−$79.60 (-27.8%)

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Yes 69.0¢299.4 shares
69.0¢→63.5¢
$206.59
$299.41
$190.13
−$16.47 (-8.0%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
No 23.5¢727.1 shares
23.5¢→22.5¢
$170.59
$727.12
$163.60
−$6.99 (-4.1%)

Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?
No 30.7¢638.2 shares
30.7¢→23.5¢
$196.02
$638.22
$149.98
−$46.04 (-23.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 26?
No 95¢136 shares
95¢→99.3¢
$129.20
$136.00
$135.05
+$5.85 (+4.5%)

Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
No 88¢141 shares
88¢→88.5¢
$124.08
$141.00
$124.79
+$0.70 (+0.6%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 22.6¢564.2 shares
22.6¢→19.5¢
$127.35
$564.15
$110.01
−$17.34 (-13.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 26?
No 73¢121 shares
73¢→80.5¢
$88.33
$121.00
$97.41
+$9.08 (+10.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 25?
No 36.1¢94.8 shares
36.1¢→100.0¢
$34.28
$94.82
$94.77
+$60.49 (+176.5%)

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes 32¢286 shares
32¢→31¢
$91.52
$286.00
$88.66
−$2.86 (-3.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
Yes 49.1¢339 shares
49.1¢→26¢
$166.64
$339.00
$88.14
−$78.50 (-47.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?
Yes 22.4¢274.3 shares
22.4¢→28.0¢
$61.53
$274.31
$76.81
+$15.28 (+24.8%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Yes 31.1¢299.8 shares
31.1¢→25.5¢
$93.34
$299.75
$76.44
−$16.91 (-18.1%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
No 22.2¢1.1K shares
22.2¢→6.5¢
$254.18
$1.1K
$74.50
−$179.68 (-70.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?
No 81.3¢90.4 shares
81.3¢→80.5¢
$73.56
$90.44
$72.80
−$0.75 (-1.0%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
Yes 27.0¢299.2 shares
27.0¢→23.5¢
$80.78
$299.21
$70.31
−$10.47 (-13.0%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 8.5¢838.6 shares
8.5¢→8¢
$71.07
$838.57
$67.09
−$3.98 (-5.6%)

Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
No 23.5¢382.2 shares
23.5¢→17.5¢
$89.68
$382.25
$66.89
−$22.79 (-25.4%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
No 63.0¢75 shares
63.0¢→86¢
$47.24
$74.99
$64.49
+$17.25 (+36.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?
No 64¢98.5 shares
64¢→62.5¢
$63.01
$98.45
$61.53
−$1.48 (-2.3%)

Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 19.3¢991.4 shares
19.3¢→6¢
$191.22
$991.43
$59.49
−$131.73 (-68.9%)

KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions
Lotte Giants 18.4¢276 shares
18.4¢→20.5¢
$50.70
$276.03
$56.59
+$5.88 (+11.6%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Yes 10.0¢1.0K shares
10.0¢→5.5¢
$100.03
$1.0K
$55.01
−$45.01 (-45.0%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 89.2¢58.4 shares
89.2¢→92¢
$52.12
$58.43
$53.76
+$1.64 (+3.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 25?
No 89.1¢53.7 shares
89.1¢→100.0¢
$47.87
$53.74
$53.72
+$5.85 (+12.2%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes 75.0¢66 shares
75.0¢→77.5¢
$49.50
$66.00
$51.15
+$1.65 (+3.3%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 38.2¢128.7 shares
38.2¢→39.5¢
$49.17
$128.72
$50.85
+$1.68 (+3.4%)

Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 14.0¢300 shares
14.0¢→15.5¢
$42.00
$300.00
$46.50
+$4.50 (+10.7%)

Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
Yes 30.3¢300 shares
30.3¢→13.6¢
$90.90
$299.99
$40.80
−$50.10 (-55.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
Yes 48.0¢288.4 shares
48.0¢→14.0¢
$138.39
$288.35
$40.37
−$98.02 (-70.8%)

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 4.1¢1.2K shares
4.1¢→2.9¢
$50.75
$1.2K
$35.61
−$15.14 (-29.8%)

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Yes 21¢299.6 shares
21¢→11.5¢
$62.94
$299.59
$34.45
−$28.48 (-45.3%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Yes 30.1¢299 shares
30.1¢→11.5¢
$90.09
$299.04
$34.39
−$55.71 (-61.8%)

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes 11¢299.2 shares
11¢→11¢
$32.92
$299.24
$32.92
−$0.00 (-0.0%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
Yes 40.5¢299.2 shares
40.5¢→10.5¢
$121.07
$299.19
$31.42
−$89.65 (-74.1%)

Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
No 94.2¢32.8 shares
94.2¢→95.2¢
$30.93
$32.83
$31.26
+$0.33 (+1.1%)

Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 17.2¢165.1 shares
17.2¢→17.5¢
$28.32
$165.10
$28.89
+$0.57 (+2.0%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Yes 7.2¢130.6 shares
7.2¢→22¢
$9.39
$130.59
$28.73
+$19.34 (+206.0%)
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?
No 20.8¢386.1 shares
20.8¢→7.4¢
$80.32
$386.05
$28.57
−$51.75 (-64.4%)

Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?
Yes 53¢50 shares
53¢→56.0¢
$26.50
$50.00
$28.00
+$1.50 (+5.7%)

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
No 14.0¢150 shares
14.0¢→18¢
$21.00
$150.00
$27.00
+$6.00 (+28.6%)

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Yes 17.6¢300 shares
17.6¢→9¢
$52.95
$300.00
$27.00
−$25.95 (-49.0%)

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
Yes 11¢280.5 shares
11¢→9.5¢
$30.86
$280.50
$26.65
−$4.21 (-13.6%)

Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 13¢209 shares
13¢→12.5¢
$27.17
$208.99
$26.12
−$1.05 (-3.8%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
Yes 57.8¢319.8 shares
57.8¢→7.0¢
$184.85
$319.76
$22.38
−$162.46 (-87.9%)

Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 22¢185 shares
22¢→11.5¢
$40.70
$185.00
$21.28
−$19.43 (-47.7%)
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?
No 81¢24.8 shares
81¢→82¢
$20.12
$24.84
$20.37
+$0.25 (+1.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?
Yes 15.1¢118.9 shares
15.1¢→16.5¢
$17.93
$118.88
$19.61
+$1.69 (+9.4%)
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
No 22¢105.2 shares
22¢→18.5¢
$23.14
$105.18
$19.46
−$3.68 (-15.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 25?
Yes 38.1¢17.7 shares
38.1¢→100.0¢
$6.73
$17.66
$17.65
+$10.92 (+162.4%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?
Yes 4.0¢300 shares
4.0¢→5.5¢
$11.92
$300.00
$16.35
+$4.43 (+37.2%)

Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Yes 15¢239 shares
15¢→6.1¢
$35.85
$239.00
$14.58
−$21.27 (-59.3%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?
No 93.1¢15 shares
93.1¢→94.5¢
$13.97
$15.00
$14.18
+$0.22 (+1.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?
Yes 14.0¢65.8 shares
14.0¢→19.5¢
$9.21
$65.77
$12.83
+$3.62 (+39.3%)

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 67¢18.3 shares
67¢→69.0¢
$12.29
$18.34
$12.65
+$0.36 (+3.0%)
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 19¢288.6 shares
19¢→4¢
$54.84
$288.61
$11.54
−$43.29 (-78.9%)

Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?
No 35.6¢35 shares
35.6¢→29.5¢
$12.46
$34.95
$10.31
−$2.15 (-17.2%)

Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 85¢10.5 shares
85¢→93.9¢
$8.90
$10.47
$9.83
+$0.93 (+10.5%)

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
No 30.2¢30 shares
30.2¢→29.0¢
$9.06
$30.00
$8.72
−$0.35 (-3.8%)

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Yes 19.4¢114.4 shares
19.4¢→7.1¢
$22.18
$114.38
$8.11
−$14.07 (-63.4%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 16¢300 shares
16¢→2.5¢
$48.00
$300.00
$7.35
−$40.65 (-84.7%)

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Yes 8¢320 shares
8¢→2.3¢
$25.60
$320.00
$7.20
−$18.40 (-71.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 26?
Yes 6¢106 shares
6¢→6¢
$6.36
$106.00
$6.36
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 6.1¢1.2K shares
6.1¢→0.4¢
$76.84
$1.2K
$5.00
−$71.84 (-93.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 26?
Yes 25¢24 shares
25¢→19.5¢
$6.00
$24.00
$4.68
−$1.32 (-22.0%)

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
Yes 2.2¢251.5 shares
2.2¢→1.6¢
$5.56
$251.51
$4.02
−$1.54 (-27.6%)
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 3.4¢300 shares
3.4¢→1.3¢
$10.20
$300.00
$3.90
−$6.30 (-61.8%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 3.5¢705.3 shares
3.5¢→0.5¢
$24.45
$705.34
$3.88
−$20.57 (-84.1%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?
Yes 18.4¢219.9 shares
18.4¢→1.6¢
$40.45
$219.89
$3.41
−$37.04 (-91.6%)

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Something 23¢41.6 shares
23¢→8.2¢
$9.56
$41.56
$3.41
−$6.15 (-64.3%)

Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 57.0¢5.1 shares
57.0¢→62¢
$2.92
$5.12
$3.17
+$0.26 (+8.8%)
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
No 6.4¢66.2 shares
6.4¢→4.6¢
$4.25
$66.24
$3.05
−$1.20 (-28.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?
No 71¢3.7 shares
71¢→73¢
$2.62
$3.69
$2.69
+$0.07 (+2.8%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
No 64.1¢3 shares
64.1¢→88.5¢
$1.95
$3.04
$2.69
+$0.74 (+38.1%)

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Yes 7.0¢31.4 shares
7.0¢→7.0¢
$2.20
$31.40
$2.20
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 20.1¢45.4 shares
20.1¢→4.6¢
$9.12
$45.43
$2.09
−$7.03 (-77.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
No 60¢2.5 shares
60¢→74¢
$1.50
$2.50
$1.85
+$0.35 (+23.3%)

Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?
No 1.6¢28.1 shares
1.6¢→5.5¢
$0.46
$28.11
$1.53
+$1.08 (+236.1%)

Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 1.8¢87.5 shares
1.8¢→1.6¢
$1.56
$87.45
$1.36
−$0.20 (-12.9%)

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 1.3¢757.4 shares
1.3¢→0.1¢
$9.53
$757.43
$1.14
−$8.39 (-88.1%)

Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes 56.4¢1.5 shares
56.4¢→62¢
$0.87
$1.54
$0.95
+$0.09 (+10.0%)

Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 1.1¢60 shares
1.1¢→1.5¢
$0.66
$59.99
$0.90
+$0.24 (+36.4%)

Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
No 86.9¢1 shares
86.9¢→87.5¢
$0.87
$1.00
$0.88
+$0.01 (+0.6%)

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.7¢23.2 shares
3.7¢→3.8¢
$0.86
$23.22
$0.87
+$0.01 (+1.3%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 0.8¢99.2 shares
0.8¢→0.9¢
$0.80
$99.19
$0.84
+$0.04 (+5.5%)

Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 17.4¢6 shares
17.4¢→13.5¢
$1.05
$6.00
$0.81
−$0.24 (-22.7%)

Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 0.4¢477.1 shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.86
$477.08
$0.72
−$1.14 (-61.5%)

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 10.6¢433.4 shares
10.6¢→0.1¢
$45.89
$433.42
$0.65
−$45.24 (-98.6%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 7.6¢94 shares
7.6¢→0.5¢
$7.19
$93.95
$0.47
−$6.72 (-93.5%)

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Yes 37¢1.8 shares
37¢→24.5¢
$0.68
$1.84
$0.45
−$0.23 (-33.8%)

Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 0.3¢291.1 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.87
$291.11
$0.44
−$0.44 (-50.0%)

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Yes 57.0¢1.8 shares
57.0¢→20.5¢
$1.05
$1.84
$0.38
−$0.67 (-64.0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?
Yes 2.9¢20 shares
2.9¢→1.8¢
$0.58
$20.00
$0.36
−$0.22 (-37.9%)

Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes 1¢66 shares
1¢→0.5¢
$0.66
$66.00
$0.33
−$0.33 (-50.0%)

Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes 2.1¢14.4 shares
2.1¢→1.6¢
$0.30
$14.42
$0.23
−$0.07 (-23.3%)

Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Yes 1.1¢11.2 shares
1.1¢→1.7¢
$0.12
$11.24
$0.19
+$0.06 (+49.9%)

Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes 1¢25.1 shares
1¢→0.5¢
$0.25
$25.07
$0.14
−$0.11 (-45.0%)
