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Manual-Skunk
Joined February 2026
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$38,542.24
1D
−$2.5K
7D
−$3.1K
30D
−$7.5K
90D
−$9.7K
Total volume
$9.83M
Predictions
14,388
Positions value
$504.12
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$36.5K
LP
+$1,100.91
Maker
+$958.83
Yield
+$0.05
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 7.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
7.5¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$111.00
+$111.00
(+0.0%)
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 4.0¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
4.0¢
$4.66
$298.16
$12.08
+$7.42
(+159.2%)
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.5¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$8.14
+$8.14
(+0.0%)
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.1¢
5.0K shares
Share
3.5¢
→
0.1¢
$177.59
$5.0K
$7.52
−$170.07
(-95.8%)
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.1¢
5.0K shares
Share
3.5¢
→
0.1¢
$177.59
$5.0K
$5.01
−$172.57
(-97.2%)
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 1.5¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
1.5¢
$4.66
$298.16
$4.47
−$0.19
(-4.0%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.9¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
1.9¢
$0.00
$186.92
$3.64
+$3.64
(+0.0%)
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.9¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.9¢
$4.66
$298.16
$2.83
−$1.83
(-39.2%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.4¢
$0.00
$543.99
$2.45
+$2.45
(+0.0%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$543.99
$1.36
+$1.36
(+0.0%)
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$543.99
$1.36
+$1.36
(+0.0%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$543.99
$1.36
+$1.36
(+0.0%)
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.4¢
$4.66
$298.16
$1.04
−$3.61
(-77.6%)
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.4¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.84
+$0.84
(+0.0%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.4¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.84
+$0.84
(+0.0%)
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$543.99
$0.82
+$0.82
(+0.0%)
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$543.99
$0.82
+$0.82
(+0.0%)
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$1.5K
$0.74
+$0.74
(+0.0%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Yes 17.6¢
4 shares
Share
11.1¢
→
17.6¢
$0.45
$4.04
$0.71
+$0.26
(+58.4%)
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.30
−$4.36
(-93.6%)
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.30
−$4.36
(-93.6%)
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.30
−$4.36
(-93.6%)
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.30
−$4.36
(-93.6%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.28
+$0.28
(+0.0%)
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$543.99
$0.27
+$0.27
(+0.0%)
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
544 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$543.99
$0.27
+$0.27
(+0.0%)
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
Yes 6.7¢
4 shares
Share
11.1¢
→
6.7¢
$0.45
$4.01
$0.27
−$0.18
(-40.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Yes 8.1¢
3.1 shares
Share
12.6¢
→
8.1¢
$0.39
$3.09
$0.25
−$0.14
(-35.6%)
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
395 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$7.20
$395.00
$0.20
−$7.00
(-97.3%)
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
395 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$7.20
$395.00
$0.20
−$7.00
(-97.3%)
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
395 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$7.20
$395.00
$0.20
−$7.00
(-97.3%)
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
395 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$7.20
$395.00
$0.20
−$7.00
(-97.3%)
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
395 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$7.20
$395.00
$0.20
−$7.00
(-97.3%)
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
108.4 shares
Share
6.0¢
→
0.1¢
$6.47
$108.37
$0.16
−$6.31
(-97.5%)
Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.15
−$4.51
(-96.8%)
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 0.1¢
298.2 shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0.1¢
$4.66
$298.16
$0.15
−$4.51
(-96.8%)
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes 0.4¢
40.8 shares
Share
6.0¢
→
0.4¢
$2.43
$40.76
$0.14
−$2.29
(-94.1%)
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
134 shares
Share
6.0¢
→
0.1¢
$8.00
$134.00
$0.13
−$7.87
(-98.3%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
186.9 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$186.92
$0.09
+$0.09
(+0.0%)
Will Joe Pyfer be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
181.6 shares
Share
3.8¢
→
0.1¢
$6.89
$181.60
$0.09
−$6.80
(-98.7%)
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
Yes 0.9¢
7.1 shares
Share
6.0¢
→
0.9¢
$0.42
$7.09
$0.06
−$0.36
(-84.9%)
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
60 shares
Share
1.4¢
→
0.1¢
$0.83
$60.00
$0.03
−$0.80
(-96.4%)
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
54.2 shares
Share
2.9¢
→
0.1¢
$1.59
$54.23
$0.03
−$1.56
(-98.3%)
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
54.2 shares
Share
2.9¢
→
0.1¢
$1.59
$54.23
$0.03
−$1.56
(-98.3%)
Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢
51 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$50.99
$0.03
+$0.03
(+0.0%)
Will Chase Burns win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Yes 0.1¢
50.7 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$50.71
$0.03
+$0.03
(+0.0%)
Will Nick Lodolo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Yes 0.1¢
49.1 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$49.05
$0.02
+$0.02
(+0.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.8¢
2.5 shares
Share
4.6¢
→
0.8¢
$0.11
$2.50
$0.02
−$0.09
(-82.5%)
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
34.8 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$0.63
$34.75
$0.02
−$0.62
(-97.3%)
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 0.1¢
34.8 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0.1¢
$0.63
$34.75
$0.02
−$0.62
(-97.3%)
Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 0.2¢
8 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.2¢
$0.00
$7.99
$0.02
+$0.02
(+0.0%)
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
30 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$29.99
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Spencer Schwellenbach win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Yes 0.1¢
24.1 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$24.05
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?
Yes 0.1¢
7.8 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$7.78
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Spencer Strider win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Yes 0.1¢
21.8 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$21.82
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
10 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$10.02
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
10 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$10.02
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
10 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$10.02
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
10 shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$10.02
$0.01
+$0.01
(+0.0%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes 0¢
10 shares
Share
1.7¢
→
0¢
$0.17
$10.01
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
Yes 0¢
1 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$1.02
Lost
Will "Bugonia" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?
Yes 0¢
2.1 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$2.11
Lost
Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?
Yes 0¢
90 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$90.00
Lost
Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
Yes 0¢
137 shares
Share
1.2¢
→
0¢
$1.61
$137.00
Lost
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0¢
50 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$49.99
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Yes 0¢
202 shares
Share
4.5¢
→
0¢
$9.00
$201.98
Lost
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Yes 0¢
829.9 shares
Share
2.5¢
→
0¢
$20.89
$829.92
Lost
Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Yes 0¢
170.1 shares
Share
9.1¢
→
0¢
$15.47
$170.12
Lost
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?
Yes 0¢
130 shares
Share
1.7¢
→
0¢
$2.19
$130.01
Lost
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Yes 0¢
1 shares
Share
0.6¢
→
0¢
$0.01
$1.00
Lost
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Yes 0¢
5.1K shares
Share
3.1¢
→
0¢
$160.18
$5.1K
Lost
Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Yes 0¢
299 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$298.99
Lost
Will Liam Lawson achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Yes 0¢
10 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$10.01
Lost
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Yes 0¢
1.2K shares
Share
2.5¢
→
0¢
$29.84
$1.2K
Lost
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Yes 0¢
270.8 shares
Share
3.3¢
→
0¢
$9.06
$270.82
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Yes 0¢
950 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$950.01
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.5K shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$1.5K
Lost
Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Yes 0¢
152 shares
Share
9.1¢
→
0¢
$13.82
$152.00
Lost
Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?
Yes 0¢
110 shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$109.99
Lost
Will 7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Yes 0¢
170 shares
Share
4.4¢
→
0¢
$7.44
$169.96
Lost
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
Yes 0¢
85 shares
Share
14.3¢
→
0¢
$12.20
$85.01
Lost
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