Joined December 2025

Total earnings

$11,621.00
1D
−$14.15
7D
$62.53
30D
−$443.68
90D
$2.0K
Total volume
$20.41M
Predictions
16,304
Positions value
$2.6K
Performance
+$8.2K
+$2.7K
+$763.21
+$1.68
$39.98
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 100 shares
$61.80
+$53.80 (+672.5%)
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?
No 9.8¢133 shares
$52.54
+$39.47 (+302.0%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Yes 7.0¢112 shares
$46.42
+$38.58 (+492.1%)
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?
Yes 100 shares
$42.59
+$38.59 (+965.0%)
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes 100.6 shares
$42.26
+$34.21 (+425.0%)
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 40.3 shares
$30.40
+$28.79 (+1787.5%)
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Yes 0.7¢59.9 shares
$29.34
+$28.92 (+6901.5%)
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?
Yes 0.3¢120 shares
$26.76
+$26.38 (+6945.4%)
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Yes 100 shares
$25.35
+$16.35 (+181.7%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Yes 0.4¢61.3 shares
$24.01
+$23.77 (+9929.2%)
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.3¢100 shares
$20.20
+$19.90 (+6633.3%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Yes 7.6¢154.6 shares
$20.18
+$8.43 (+71.7%)
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 7.0¢200 shares
$20.10
+$6.10 (+43.6%)
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 3.9¢50 shares
$19.80
+$17.85 (+915.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$18.00
+$8.00 (+80.0%)
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 100 shares
$18.00
+$12.00 (+200.0%)
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Yes 71.2 shares
$17.89
+$16.47 (+1157.5%)
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes 7.0¢84.2 shares
$17.25
+$11.36 (+192.9%)
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
Yes 5.0¢102.4 shares
$17.15
+$12.03 (+235.0%)
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 10¢100 shares
$17.00
+$7.00 (+70.0%)
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Yes 158.3 shares
$16.62
+$3.96 (+31.2%)
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Yes 100 shares
$16.50
+$12.50 (+312.5%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$16.50
+$6.50 (+65.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 6.3¢200 shares
$16.00
+$3.40 (+27.0%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.9¢125.6 shares
$14.57
+$8.41 (+136.7%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$14.50
+$4.50 (+45.0%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Yes 9.9¢128.7 shares
$14.16
+$1.39 (+10.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?
No 200 shares
$13.00
−$3.00 (-18.8%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Yes 0.3¢107.6 shares
$12.97
+$12.59 (+3346.7%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$12.50
+$2.50 (+25.0%)
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Yes 192 shares
$12.48
−$2.88 (-18.8%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?
Yes 10.0¢100 shares
$11.50
+$1.50 (+15.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?
No 7.0¢200 shares
$11.00
−$3.00 (-21.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Yes 200 shares
$11.00
−$1.00 (-8.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?
No 200 shares
$11.00
−$1.00 (-8.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?
No 200 shares
$11.00
−$1.00 (-8.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?
No 200 shares
$10.80
−$5.20 (-32.5%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Yes 100 shares
$10.50
+$7.50 (+250.0%)
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
No 99.5 shares
$10.44
+$5.47 (+110.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
Yes 7.9¢187.3 shares
$10.30
−$4.56 (-30.7%)
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Yes 4.4¢164.6 shares
$10.29
+$3.03 (+41.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the KS-01 House seat?
No 8.5¢156.8 shares
$10.19
−$3.09 (-23.3%)
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch
Yes 10¢100 shares
$10.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?
No 9.3¢149.9 shares
$9.74
−$4.25 (-30.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?
No 9.3¢149.8 shares
$9.74
−$4.24 (-30.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?
No 9.3¢149 shares
$9.69
−$4.21 (-30.3%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$9.50
−$0.50 (-5.0%)
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Yes 100 shares
$9.50
+$3.50 (+58.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?
Yes 172.4 shares
$9.48
−$4.31 (-31.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?
No 7.6¢144.6 shares
$9.40
−$1.66 (-15.0%)
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 7.9¢95 shares
$9.36
+$1.85 (+24.7%)
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢85 shares
$9.35
+$3.40 (+57.1%)
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Yes 97.8 shares
$9.29
+$4.40 (+90.0%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢136.8 shares
$9.17
−$0.41 (-4.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?
No 120.5 shares
$9.04
−$1.81 (-16.7%)
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
Yes 200 shares
$9.00
−$9.00 (-50.0%)
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Yes 3.6¢100 shares
$8.95
+$5.35 (+148.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
No 8.4¢177.7 shares
$8.88
−$6.11 (-40.7%)
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes 159.5 shares
$8.77
−$3.99 (-31.3%)
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 2.6¢100 shares
$8.59
+$5.99 (+230.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?
No 10¢100 shares
$8.50
−$1.50 (-15.0%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes 2.1¢105 shares
$8.35
+$6.19 (+287.4%)
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
No 10¢200 shares
$8.20
−$11.80 (-59.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?
No 5.5¢126 shares
$8.19
+$1.19 (+17.0%)
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Yes 5.5¢118.4 shares
$8.11
+$1.57 (+24.0%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Yes 6.7¢100 shares
$8.10
+$1.40 (+20.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?
No 124.2 shares
$8.07
−$3.10 (-27.8%)
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.3¢178.4 shares
$8.03
−$3.26 (-28.9%)
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
Yes 100 shares
$8.00
−$1.00 (-11.1%)
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢200 shares
$8.00
−$6.00 (-42.9%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 6.3¢100 shares
$7.90
+$1.60 (+25.4%)
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 2.6¢97.9 shares
$7.88
+$5.34 (+209.6%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 100 shares
$7.85
+$3.85 (+96.3%)
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 3.7¢100 shares
$7.75
+$4.05 (+109.5%)
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?
Yes 0.3¢120 shares
$7.74
+$7.38 (+2050.3%)
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 100 shares
$7.55
+$4.55 (+151.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?
Yes 100.5 shares
$7.53
−$1.51 (-16.7%)
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 100 shares
$7.50
−$1.50 (-16.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?
Yes 100 shares
$7.50
−$0.50 (-6.3%)
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
Yes 100 shares
$7.50
−$1.50 (-16.7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Yes 10¢100 shares
$7.50
−$2.50 (-25.0%)
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 4.2¢149.7 shares
$7.48
+$1.13 (+17.8%)
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 7.3¢81.4 shares
$7.37
+$1.43 (+24.0%)
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢88.1 shares
$7.36
+$1.19 (+19.3%)
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 5.4¢158.3 shares
$7.20
−$1.35 (-15.7%)
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Yes 4.9¢200 shares
$7.20
−$2.60 (-26.5%)
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 10.0¢100 shares
$7.20
−$2.80 (-28.0%)
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Yes 2.6¢19.3 shares
$7.15
+$6.64 (+1296.4%)
Canva IPO before 2027?
Yes 157.4 shares
$7.08
−$7.08 (-50.0%)
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Yes 101 shares
$7.07
+$1.01 (+16.7%)
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 9.5¢156 shares
$7.02
−$7.82 (-52.7%)
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 4.2¢140.8 shares
$6.83
+$0.98 (+16.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?
Yes 6.3¢150 shares
$6.83
−$2.67 (-28.2%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Yes 100 shares
$6.80
+$2.80 (+70.0%)
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.0¢75.2 shares
$6.77
+$3.01 (+80.0%)
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes 5.0¢101.6 shares
$6.60
+$1.52 (+30.0%)
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
Yes 100 shares
$6.55
+$2.55 (+63.7%)
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 6.7¢76.5 shares
$6.50
+$1.40 (+27.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?
No 100 shares
$6.50
−$2.50 (-27.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?
No 7.0¢100 shares
$6.50
−$0.50 (-7.1%)