Total earnings
$203,820.03
1D
$129.99
7D
−$2.2K
30D
$6.8K
90D
$24.0K
Total volume
$27.38M
Predictions
2,642
Positions value
$164.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$178.4K
LP+$24.4K
Maker+$587.53
Yield+$459.26
Taker+$11.21

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No 91.6¢10.3K shares
91.6¢→93.7¢
$9.5K
$10.3K
$9.7K
+$208.32 (+2.2%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No 88.6¢10.5K shares
88.6¢→88.9¢
$9.3K
$10.5K
$9.3K
+$40.71 (+0.4%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
No 96.0¢8.6K shares
96.0¢→96.7¢
$8.2K
$8.6K
$8.3K
+$62.87 (+0.8%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 84.8¢8.6K shares
84.8¢→87.5¢
$7.3K
$8.6K
$7.5K
+$229.73 (+3.2%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 79.7¢8.6K shares
79.7¢→82.0¢
$6.9K
$8.6K
$7.1K
+$194.17 (+2.8%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 88.8¢7.6K shares
88.8¢→89.6¢
$6.7K
$7.6K
$6.8K
+$65.17 (+1.0%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes 95.2¢5.8K shares
95.2¢→94.2¢
$5.5K
$5.8K
$5.5K
−$61.41 (-1.1%)

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢5.8K shares
89.5¢→94¢
$5.2K
$5.8K
$5.4K
+$260.15 (+5.0%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 89.8¢5.3K shares
89.8¢→87.5¢
$4.8K
$5.3K
$4.7K
−$122.63 (-2.6%)

Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
No 98.4¢4.4K shares
98.4¢→99.3¢
$4.3K
$4.4K
$4.4K
+$38.10 (+0.9%)

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 95.2¢4.4K shares
95.2¢→96.2¢
$4.1K
$4.4K
$4.2K
+$41.84 (+1.0%)

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢4.4K shares
94.8¢→94.7¢
$4.2K
$4.4K
$4.2K
−$8.57 (-0.2%)

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
No 87.3¢4.4K shares
87.3¢→91.5¢
$3.8K
$4.4K
$4.0K
+$183.41 (+4.8%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 58.0¢6.4K shares
58.0¢→56.5¢
$3.7K
$6.4K
$3.6K
−$97.90 (-2.6%)

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
No 90.8¢3.5K shares
90.8¢→94.3¢
$3.2K
$3.5K
$3.3K
+$122.78 (+3.8%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 90.1¢3.0K shares
90.1¢→90.5¢
$2.7K
$3.0K
$2.7K
+$10.69 (+0.4%)

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No 92.8¢2.9K shares
92.8¢→94.5¢
$2.7K
$2.9K
$2.7K
+$47.63 (+1.8%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 92.7¢2.8K shares
92.7¢→93.5¢
$2.6K
$2.8K
$2.6K
+$22.33 (+0.9%)

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Yes 83.6¢2.7K shares
83.6¢→88.5¢
$2.2K
$2.7K
$2.4K
+$131.86 (+5.9%)

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No 84.9¢2.7K shares
84.9¢→86¢
$2.3K
$2.7K
$2.3K
+$29.18 (+1.3%)

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes 94.9¢2.1K shares
94.9¢→94.8¢
$2.0K
$2.1K
$2.0K
−$0.65 (-0.0%)

Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
Yes 94.8¢2.0K shares
94.8¢→96.5¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$35.83 (+1.9%)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 89.5¢2.2K shares
89.5¢→89.5¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$1.9K
+$0.38 (+0.0%)

Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
Yes 96.5¢1.9K shares
96.5¢→98.5¢
$1.9K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$38.23 (+2.0%)

Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
No 83.8¢1.9K shares
83.8¢→99.0¢
$1.6K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$281.09 (+18.1%)

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 75.8¢2.4K shares
75.8¢→74.5¢
$1.8K
$2.4K
$1.8K
−$33.09 (-1.8%)

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 91.1¢1.9K shares
91.1¢→89.5¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.7K
−$30.56 (-1.7%)

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Yes 62.5¢2.7K shares
62.5¢→62.5¢
$1.7K
$2.7K
$1.7K
+$0.81 (+0.0%)

Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Yes 89.9¢1.5K shares
89.9¢→95.9¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$90.91 (+6.6%)

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
No 90.4¢1.5K shares
90.4¢→93.5¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$46.94 (+3.5%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 86.2¢1.6K shares
86.2¢→88.5¢
$1.4K
$1.6K
$1.4K
+$36.83 (+2.7%)

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Yes 89.6¢1.5K shares
89.6¢→91.4¢
$1.3K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$27.07 (+2.0%)
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 82.7¢1.5K shares
82.7¢→86.5¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.3K
+$56.34 (+4.5%)

Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 92.7¢1.7K shares
92.7¢→75.9¢
$1.6K
$1.7K
$1.3K
−$284.45 (-18.0%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 92.9¢1.4K shares
92.9¢→93.5¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$8.14 (+0.6%)

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
No 89.9¢1.4K shares
89.9¢→91¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$14.84 (+1.2%)

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
No 83.5¢1.4K shares
83.5¢→87¢
$1.1K
$1.4K
$1.2K
+$48.48 (+4.3%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 92.6¢1.2K shares
92.6¢→91.3¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.1K
−$15.47 (-1.3%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 69¢1.6K shares
69¢→68.7¢
$1.1K
$1.6K
$1.1K
−$5.58 (-0.5%)

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢1.1K shares
98.0¢→99.5¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$16.04 (+1.5%)

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
No 80.7¢1.1K shares
80.7¢→89.6¢
$921.20
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$101.85 (+11.1%)

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 89.7¢1.1K shares
89.7¢→89¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$1.0K
−$8.53 (-0.8%)

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
No 98.7¢1.0K shares
98.7¢→96.4¢
$1.0K
$1.0K
$1.0K
−$24.35 (-2.4%)

Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
No 97.5¢1.0K shares
97.5¢→98.5¢
$980.77
$1.0K
$990.26
+$9.49 (+1.0%)

Haiti elections delayed again?
Yes 96.2¢980 shares
96.2¢→98.3¢
$942.45
$980.01
$963.35
+$20.90 (+2.2%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 86.1¢1.1K shares
86.1¢→85.5¢
$951.27
$1.1K
$945.03
−$6.24 (-0.7%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 96.6¢966.3 shares
96.6¢→97.4¢
$933.47
$966.33
$941.21
+$7.73 (+0.8%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 40.5¢2.3K shares
40.5¢→37.5¢
$923.78
$2.3K
$856.26
−$67.52 (-7.3%)

Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 97.1¢754.9 shares
97.1¢→97.1¢
$733.37
$754.90
$733.01
−$0.36 (-0.0%)

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No 93.1¢782.8 shares
93.1¢→92.6¢
$728.93
$782.84
$724.91
−$4.02 (-0.6%)

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 94.0¢762.6 shares
94.0¢→94.5¢
$716.63
$762.63
$720.69
+$4.06 (+0.6%)

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 92.7¢760.3 shares
92.7¢→94.5¢
$704.91
$760.30
$718.49
+$13.58 (+1.9%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 91.0¢784.2 shares
91.0¢→91.5¢
$713.60
$784.18
$717.52
+$3.92 (+0.5%)

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
No 87.8¢696.1 shares
87.8¢→96.6¢
$611.21
$696.14
$672.47
+$61.26 (+10.0%)

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes 89.6¢731.1 shares
89.6¢→90.1¢
$654.79
$731.09
$659.08
+$4.29 (+0.7%)

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
No 79.4¢782.8 shares
79.4¢→82¢
$621.46
$782.84
$641.93
+$20.47 (+3.3%)

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No 88.5¢688.4 shares
88.5¢→91.5¢
$609.39
$688.39
$629.88
+$20.49 (+3.4%)
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?
No 94.0¢627.1 shares
94.0¢→98.3¢
$589.74
$627.11
$616.13
+$26.39 (+4.5%)

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
No 89.4¢634.7 shares
89.4¢→94.0¢
$567.18
$634.70
$596.30
+$29.12 (+5.1%)

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
No 91.7¢615 shares
91.7¢→95.6¢
$564.24
$615.03
$587.97
+$23.73 (+4.2%)

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 83.4¢662.6 shares
83.4¢→87¢
$552.82
$662.58
$576.44
+$23.62 (+4.3%)

Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
No 94.0¢583.6 shares
94.0¢→96.4¢
$548.49
$583.56
$562.26
+$13.77 (+2.5%)

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
No 89.7¢637.7 shares
89.7¢→87.5¢
$571.95
$637.66
$557.95
−$14.00 (-2.4%)

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
Yes 62.8¢1.1K shares
62.8¢→51.5¢
$676.32
$1.1K
$554.54
−$121.78 (-18.0%)

Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?
Yes 97.4¢564.5 shares
97.4¢→96.5¢
$550.01
$564.52
$544.76
−$5.25 (-1.0%)

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
No 95.7¢564.3 shares
95.7¢→96.0¢
$540.05
$564.32
$541.47
+$1.41 (+0.3%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 90.7¢565.7 shares
90.7¢→93.5¢
$513.34
$565.74
$529.25
+$15.91 (+3.1%)

Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 90.6¢586.4 shares
90.6¢→88.9¢
$531.20
$586.42
$521.33
−$9.88 (-1.9%)

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 96.3¢524 shares
96.3¢→96.5¢
$504.63
$524.02
$505.68
+$1.05 (+0.2%)

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 90.5¢519.6 shares
90.5¢→89¢
$470.14
$519.57
$462.42
−$7.72 (-1.6%)

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
No 93.5¢481.9 shares
93.5¢→95.3¢
$450.58
$481.88
$459.23
+$8.65 (+1.9%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
No 90.1¢422.2 shares
90.1¢→97.0¢
$380.40
$422.19
$409.32
+$28.92 (+7.6%)

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes 90.1¢434.5 shares
90.1¢→92.8¢
$391.53
$434.49
$403.42
+$11.90 (+3.0%)

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
No 89.9¢447.7 shares
89.9¢→88.5¢
$402.38
$447.69
$396.20
−$6.17 (-1.5%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 14.8¢3.0K shares
14.8¢→12.6¢
$444.00
$3.0K
$376.50
−$67.50 (-15.2%)

Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?
Yes 88.8¢395.3 shares
88.8¢→95.0¢
$351.18
$395.32
$375.36
+$24.17 (+6.9%)

Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 93¢394.6 shares
93¢→94¢
$367.03
$394.64
$370.96
+$3.93 (+1.1%)

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 80.8¢454.2 shares
80.8¢→81¢
$366.77
$454.19
$367.89
+$1.12 (+0.3%)

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Yes 97.5¢347.4 shares
97.5¢→98.7¢
$338.54
$347.38
$342.86
+$4.32 (+1.3%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 95.5¢333 shares
95.5¢→95.8¢
$318.00
$332.98
$319.00
+$1.00 (+0.3%)

Will Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance (SYRIZA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
No 99.2¢307.2 shares
99.2¢→99.3¢
$304.67
$307.19
$304.89
+$0.22 (+0.1%)

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
No 73.1¢409 shares
73.1¢→73.5¢
$299.11
$408.98
$300.60
+$1.49 (+0.5%)

Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Yes 91.7¢314.4 shares
91.7¢→95.5¢
$288.39
$314.40
$300.25
+$11.87 (+4.1%)

Will Baytaq win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 98.0¢302 shares
98.0¢→99.3¢
$295.83
$301.96
$299.70
+$3.87 (+1.3%)

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 97.6¢303.1 shares
97.6¢→97.9¢
$295.73
$303.07
$296.71
+$0.98 (+0.3%)
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Yes 71.5¢410.5 shares
71.5¢→71¢
$293.40
$410.51
$291.46
−$1.94 (-0.7%)

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
No 91.5¢304.4 shares
91.5¢→93¢
$278.53
$304.42
$283.11
+$4.58 (+1.6%)

Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
No 92.2¢300.5 shares
92.2¢→93.5¢
$277.06
$300.50
$280.97
+$3.91 (+1.4%)

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?
No 98.2¢282.2 shares
98.2¢→99.4¢
$277.14
$282.22
$280.39
+$3.25 (+1.2%)

Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 95.4¢282.8 shares
95.4¢→98.3¢
$269.87
$282.78
$277.83
+$7.97 (+3.0%)

Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
No 72.6¢377.3 shares
72.6¢→70¢
$273.87
$377.28
$264.10
−$9.77 (-3.6%)

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?
No 94¢273.3 shares
94¢→94.5¢
$256.93
$273.33
$258.30
+$1.37 (+0.5%)

Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 87.7¢276.3 shares
87.7¢→88¢
$242.26
$276.33
$243.17
+$0.91 (+0.4%)

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Yes 66.5¢286.5 shares
66.5¢→84.5¢
$190.62
$286.47
$242.06
+$51.44 (+27.0%)

Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No 95.2¢252.4 shares
95.2¢→95.2¢
$240.26
$252.38
$240.14
−$0.13 (-0.1%)

Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
No 85.0¢230.8 shares
85.0¢→96.8¢
$196.12
$230.84
$223.45
+$27.33 (+13.9%)

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 89.0¢241.2 shares
89.0¢→88.5¢
$214.66
$241.19
$213.45
−$1.21 (-0.6%)

Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Yes 91.1¢211.3 shares
91.1¢→94.5¢
$192.46
$211.31
$199.69
+$7.23 (+3.8%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 89¢250 shares
89¢→79¢
$222.50
$250.00
$197.50
−$25.00 (-11.2%)

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No 95.7¢201.3 shares
95.7¢→95.7¢
$192.63
$201.35
$192.69
+$0.06 (+0.0%)

