Total earnings
$146,681.43
1D
−$93.79
7D
$1.8K
30D
$5.3K
90D
$20.4K
Total volume
$24.46M
Predictions
2,430
Positions value
$250.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$103.6K
LP+$42.5K
Maker+$483.53
Yield+$693.91
Taker+$4.89
Fees−$665.18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 96.9¢34.5K shares
96.9¢→96.0¢
$33.5K
$34.5K
$33.1K
−$325.14 (-1.0%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 93.5¢27.0K shares
93.5¢→95.3¢
$25.3K
$27.0K
$25.8K
+$494.14 (+2.0%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 92.4¢23.2K shares
92.4¢→93.5¢
$21.4K
$23.2K
$21.7K
+$248.09 (+1.2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96.2¢16.0K shares
96.2¢→96.2¢
$15.4K
$16.0K
$15.3K
−$7.26 (-0.0%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 92¢9.8K shares
92¢→97.7¢
$9.0K
$9.8K
$9.5K
+$552.42 (+6.1%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 88.4¢9.1K shares
88.4¢→92.5¢
$8.1K
$9.1K
$8.5K
+$374.33 (+4.6%)
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
No 90.7¢8.9K shares
90.7¢→93.5¢
$8.1K
$8.9K
$8.3K
+$245.48 (+3.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 93.7¢7.7K shares
93.7¢→94.2¢
$7.2K
$7.7K
$7.3K
+$40.31 (+0.6%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
No 92.7¢7.3K shares
92.7¢→95.5¢
$6.8K
$7.3K
$7.0K
+$204.41 (+3.0%)
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 91.4¢7.2K shares
91.4¢→93.3¢
$6.6K
$7.2K
$6.8K
+$136.18 (+2.1%)
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 87.5¢6.1K shares
87.5¢→93.5¢
$5.4K
$6.1K
$5.7K
+$371.11 (+6.9%)
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
No 89.0¢6.0K shares
89.0¢→92.5¢
$5.3K
$6.0K
$5.5K
+$211.08 (+4.0%)
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
No 93.5¢4.8K shares
93.5¢→94.5¢
$4.5K
$4.8K
$4.5K
+$49.34 (+1.1%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 95.5¢4.6K shares
95.5¢→95.5¢
$4.4K
$4.6K
$4.4K
+$2.76 (+0.1%)
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
No 78.8¢4.2K shares
78.8¢→94.5¢
$3.3K
$4.2K
$3.9K
+$656.68 (+20.0%)
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 18.6¢10.7K shares
18.6¢→29.5¢
$2.0K
$10.7K
$3.1K
+$1.2K (+58.2%)
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No 97.4¢3.2K shares
97.4¢→97.9¢
$3.1K
$3.2K
$3.1K
+$14.48 (+0.5%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 85.1¢3.4K shares
85.1¢→87.5¢
$2.9K
$3.4K
$3.0K
+$82.58 (+2.8%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 25.6¢6.7K shares
25.6¢→43.5¢
$1.7K
$6.7K
$2.9K
+$1.2K (+69.9%)
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
No 93.3¢2.9K shares
93.3¢→94.5¢
$2.7K
$2.9K
$2.8K
+$36.28 (+1.3%)
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
No 92.5¢2.7K shares
92.5¢→97¢
$2.5K
$2.7K
$2.6K
+$119.63 (+4.8%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91.0¢2.7K shares
91.0¢→92.5¢
$2.4K
$2.7K
$2.5K
+$39.60 (+1.6%)
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 94.4¢2.4K shares
94.4¢→96.8¢
$2.3K
$2.4K
$2.3K
+$56.44 (+2.5%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 90.0¢2.5K shares
90.0¢→94.3¢
$2.2K
$2.5K
$2.3K
+$105.15 (+4.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 45.5¢4.7K shares
45.5¢→45.5¢
$2.1K
$4.7K
$2.1K
+$2.30 (+0.1%)
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
No 93.3¢2.1K shares
93.3¢→94¢
$2.0K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$15.39 (+0.8%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
No 95.5¢2.0K shares
95.5¢→98.3¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$55.71 (+2.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No 95.0¢2.0K shares
95.0¢→96.3¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$26.14 (+1.3%)
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
No 94.7¢2.0K shares
94.7¢→96.8¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$41.05 (+2.2%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 81.7¢2.1K shares
81.7¢→88.5¢
$1.7K
$2.1K
$1.9K
+$142.96 (+8.3%)
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
No 68.6¢2.4K shares
68.6¢→68¢
$1.6K
$2.4K
$1.6K
−$13.96 (-0.8%)
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
No 84.3¢1.6K shares
84.3¢→90.5¢
$1.3K
$1.6K
$1.4K
+$98.57 (+7.3%)
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No 91.8¢1.5K shares
91.8¢→95¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$48.05 (+3.5%)
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
No 94.8¢1.4K shares
94.8¢→98.8¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$55.02 (+4.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Yes 87.2¢1.5K shares
87.2¢→85.5¢
$1.3K
$1.5K
$1.3K
−$25.67 (-2.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 93.0¢1.3K shares
93.0¢→95.9¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$38.03 (+3.1%)
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes 91.6¢1.3K shares
91.6¢→94.8¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$39.11 (+3.4%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 94.1¢1.2K shares
94.1¢→97.3¢
$1.1K
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$37.22 (+3.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Yes 90.5¢1.3K shares
90.5¢→82.5¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.1K
−$102.10 (-8.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
No 88.6¢1.1K shares
88.6¢→85¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$965.69
−$40.76 (-4.0%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 86.7¢1.1K shares
86.7¢→88.5¢
$935.80
$1.1K
$955.15
+$19.36 (+2.1%)
Tom Lee charged by December 31?
No 91.1¢953.7 shares
91.1¢→94.5¢
$868.50
$953.70
$901.25
+$32.75 (+3.8%)
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
No 93.9¢912.3 shares
93.9¢→94.5¢
$856.92
$912.27
$862.10
+$5.17 (+0.6%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No 96.6¢839 shares
96.6¢→97.9¢
$810.92
$839.03
$821.41
+$10.49 (+1.3%)
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
No 96.3¢849.7 shares
96.3¢→96.6¢
$817.99
$849.65
$820.76
+$2.77 (+0.3%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 88.4¢915.4 shares
88.4¢→88.9¢
$809.49
$915.38
$814.23
+$4.74 (+0.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Yes 91.7¢884.7 shares
91.7¢→91.5¢
$811.14
$884.66
$809.46
−$1.68 (-0.2%)
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
No 93.3¢848.1 shares
93.3¢→94.5¢
$791.56
$848.13
$801.49
+$9.93 (+1.3%)
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
No 86.7¢866.1 shares
86.7¢→91.5¢
$750.52
$866.14
$792.52
+$42.00 (+5.6%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
No 73.0¢1.2K shares
73.0¢→65.5¢
$845.17
$1.2K
$757.85
−$87.32 (-10.3%)
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 49.0¢2.4K shares
49.0¢→29.0¢
$1.2K
$2.4K
$695.26
−$480.33 (-40.9%)
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
No 90.3¢687.6 shares
90.3¢→96.8¢
$621.17
$687.55
$665.55
+$44.38 (+7.1%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
No 87.3¢691 shares
87.3¢→95.4¢
$603.28
$691.00
$659.21
+$55.93 (+9.3%)
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
No 95.0¢652.5 shares
95.0¢→96.8¢
$619.69
$652.52
$631.64
+$11.95 (+1.9%)
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
No 96.6¢635 shares
96.6¢→97.9¢
$613.40
$634.95
$621.62
+$8.22 (+1.3%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
No 94.2¢606 shares
94.2¢→96.5¢
$571.14
$605.99
$585.08
+$13.94 (+2.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 84.7¢606 shares
84.7¢→84.5¢
$513.32
$606.02
$512.09
−$1.23 (-0.2%)
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
No 84.7¢537.7 shares
84.7¢→95¢
$455.15
$537.68
$510.80
+$55.65 (+12.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Yes 92.0¢521.5 shares
92.0¢→92.7¢
$479.89
$521.54
$483.47
+$3.58 (+0.7%)
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
No 96.0¢502 shares
96.0¢→95.5¢
$481.92
$502.00
$479.41
−$2.51 (-0.5%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
No 96.0¢488.8 shares
96.0¢→97.0¢
$469.42
$488.81
$473.90
+$4.48 (+1.0%)
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢534.9 shares
88.5¢→88¢
$473.56
$534.87
$470.69
−$2.87 (-0.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
No 94¢480.4 shares
94¢→94.5¢
$451.59
$480.38
$453.96
+$2.37 (+0.5%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 39.6¢1.1K shares
39.6¢→40.5¢
$441.03
$1.1K
$451.17
+$10.15 (+2.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
No 95.9¢459 shares
95.9¢→96.7¢
$440.17
$459.01
$443.63
+$3.46 (+0.8%)
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 34.7¢671.4 shares
34.7¢→64.5¢
$232.90
$671.43
$433.08
+$200.18 (+86.0%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 87.2¢462.8 shares
87.2¢→93.5¢
$403.56
$462.81
$432.73
+$29.17 (+7.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Yes 89.9¢455.9 shares
89.9¢→94.2¢
$409.93
$455.94
$429.27
+$19.34 (+4.7%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 87.4¢467 shares
87.4¢→91.5¢
$408.18
$467.01
$427.31
+$19.14 (+4.7%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 10.8¢3.2K shares
10.8¢→13.2¢
$347.99
$3.2K
$425.01
+$77.02 (+22.1%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
No 94.1¢433.4 shares
94.1¢→96.4¢
$407.91
$433.38
$417.78
+$9.87 (+2.4%)
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 7.7¢4.5K shares
7.7¢→9¢
$342.48
$4.5K
$401.99
+$59.51 (+17.4%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 84.3¢427.8 shares
84.3¢→93¢
$360.69
$427.85
$397.90
+$37.21 (+10.3%)
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
No 97.7¢408 shares
97.7¢→95.8¢
$398.68
$408.00
$390.86
−$7.81 (-2.0%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 96.9¢404 shares
96.9¢→96.5¢
$391.68
$404.01
$390.07
−$1.61 (-0.4%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 26.9¢1.4K shares
26.9¢→27.8¢
$378.34
$1.4K
$389.67
+$11.33 (+3.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?
No 94.5¢404 shares
94.5¢→94.5¢
$381.77
$403.99
$381.77
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?
No 94.5¢404 shares
94.5¢→94.5¢
$381.77
$403.99
$381.77
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 18.5¢1.8K shares
18.5¢→20.9¢
$335.50
$1.8K
$379.83
+$44.33 (+13.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No 92.7¢373.8 shares
92.7¢→93.5¢
$346.38
$373.82
$349.52
+$3.14 (+0.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢362.9 shares
87.5¢→92.5¢
$317.66
$362.92
$335.70
+$18.04 (+5.7%)
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
No 82.7¢376.7 shares
82.7¢→86.5¢
$311.68
$376.70
$325.85
+$14.17 (+4.5%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 81.5¢353.7 shares
81.5¢→88¢
$288.25
$353.66
$311.22
+$22.98 (+8.0%)
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
No 96.3¢302 shares
96.3¢→97.2¢
$290.75
$302.00
$293.39
+$2.64 (+0.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?
No 94.5¢302.9 shares
94.5¢→94.5¢
$286.28
$302.94
$286.28
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Yes 91.8¢299.8 shares
91.8¢→95¢
$275.13
$299.83
$284.84
+$9.71 (+3.5%)
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
No 96.7¢285.7 shares
96.7¢→98.3¢
$276.15
$285.70
$280.70
+$4.55 (+1.6%)
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 82.8¢306.6 shares
82.8¢→91.5¢
$253.78
$306.59
$280.53
+$26.75 (+10.5%)
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 93.2¢276.7 shares
93.2¢→95¢
$257.79
$276.72
$262.88
+$5.09 (+2.0%)
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No 90.8¢281.1 shares
90.8¢→93¢
$255.15
$281.10
$261.42
+$6.28 (+2.5%)
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
No 87.9¢292.4 shares
87.9¢→82.5¢
$257.12
$292.44
$241.26
−$15.85 (-6.2%)
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?
No 92.7¢242.9 shares
92.7¢→95.9¢
$225.17
$242.89
$232.81
+$7.64 (+3.4%)
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢230 shares
96.8¢→97.0¢
$222.66
$230.02
$223.01
+$0.35 (+0.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Yes 94.9¢224.1 shares
94.9¢→97¢
$212.69
$224.12
$217.39
+$4.70 (+2.2%)
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
No 94¢217.1 shares
94¢→94.8¢
$204.10
$217.12
$205.83
+$1.73 (+0.8%)
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
No 88.9¢220 shares
88.9¢→93.5¢
$195.64
$220.00
$205.70
+$10.06 (+5.1%)
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
No 87.6¢248.5 shares
87.6¢→78.9¢
$217.77
$248.51
$196.07
−$21.70 (-10.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?
No 94.5¢202 shares
94.5¢→94.2¢
$190.89
$202.00
$190.18
−$0.71 (-0.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?
Yes 93.5¢202 shares
93.5¢→94¢
$188.87
$202.00
$189.88
+$1.01 (+0.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Yes 94.0¢202 shares
94.0¢→93.5¢
$189.88
$202.01
$188.87
−$1.01 (-0.5%)