Joined August 2023
Total earnings
$412,997.41
1D
−$9.6K
7D
−$16.1K
30D
$36.1K
90D
$136.4K
Total volume
$16.51M
Predictions
929
Positions value
$303.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$405.4K
LP+$4.6K
Maker+$1.6K
Yield+$10.38
Referral+$11.78
Taker+$179.15
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 92.6¢95.7K shares
92.6¢→95.7¢
$88.6K
$95.7K
$91.5K
+$2.9K (+3.3%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 93.4¢72.6K shares
93.4¢→95.8¢
$67.8K
$72.6K
$69.5K
+$1.7K (+2.5%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes 78.8¢45.1K shares
78.8¢→64.5¢
$35.5K
$45.1K
$29.1K
−$6.5K (-18.2%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 87¢27.6K shares
87¢→87.5¢
$24.1K
$27.6K
$24.2K
+$138.24 (+0.6%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 81.0¢37.0K shares
81.0¢→62.5¢
$30.0K
$37.0K
$23.1K
−$6.9K (-22.9%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
No 82.2¢9.3K shares
82.2¢→99.2¢
$7.6K
$9.3K
$9.2K
+$1.6K (+20.6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92¢10.0K shares
92¢→78.5¢
$9.2K
$10.0K
$7.9K
−$1.3K (-14.6%)
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Yes 89.8¢7.0K shares
89.8¢→100.0¢
$6.3K
$7.0K
$7.0K
+$705.46 (+11.3%)
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 80.3¢8.5K shares
80.3¢→65.0¢
$6.8K
$8.5K
$5.5K
−$1.3K (-19.1%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 67.7¢6.8K shares
67.7¢→72.5¢
$4.6K
$6.8K
$4.9K
+$326.92 (+7.1%)
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 31.4¢18.2K shares
31.4¢→25.5¢
$5.7K
$18.2K
$4.6K
−$1.1K (-18.8%)
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Yes 85.2¢4.2K shares
85.2¢→99.6¢
$3.6K
$4.2K
$4.2K
+$604.65 (+16.9%)
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 79.8¢4.9K shares
79.8¢→81¢
$3.9K
$4.9K
$4.0K
+$59.79 (+1.5%)
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 77.3¢3.5K shares
77.3¢→98.7¢
$2.7K
$3.5K
$3.4K
+$742.91 (+27.6%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 70¢4.0K shares
70¢→70.5¢
$2.8K
$4.0K
$2.8K
+$20.00 (+0.7%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 35.4¢7.4K shares
35.4¢→36.5¢
$2.6K
$7.4K
$2.7K
+$85.00 (+3.3%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
No 87.2¢1.7K shares
87.2¢→98.9¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$197.70 (+13.4%)
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 76.6¢2.0K shares
76.6¢→72.8¢
$1.5K
$2.0K
$1.5K
−$77.00 (-5.0%)
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
No 87.5¢1.2K shares
87.5¢→99.8¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$144.62 (+14.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 59.8¢2.0K shares
59.8¢→55.5¢
$1.2K
$2.0K
$1.1K
−$86.80 (-7.3%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
No 92.4¢1.0K shares
92.4¢→99.5¢
$924.59
$1.0K
$995.09
+$70.51 (+7.6%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 79¢1.0K shares
79¢→68.3¢
$790.00
$1.0K
$683.00
−$107.00 (-13.5%)
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 49.2¢552 shares
49.2¢→97.4¢
$271.48
$552.00
$537.65
+$266.17 (+98.0%)
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes 24¢4.4K shares
24¢→11¢
$1.1K
$4.4K
$487.49
−$576.12 (-54.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75.8¢544.6 shares
75.8¢→76.5¢
$412.74
$544.58
$416.60
+$3.86 (+0.9%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Yes 26¢1.5K shares
26¢→20¢
$393.23
$1.5K
$302.48
−$90.74 (-23.1%)
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 89.5¢226.7 shares
89.5¢→95.3¢
$202.96
$226.74
$216.20
+$13.24 (+6.5%)
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢216.8 shares
94.9¢→99.3¢
$205.80
$216.77
$215.25
+$9.45 (+4.6%)
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes 51.0¢709.3 shares
51.0¢→27¢
$361.69
$709.29
$191.51
−$170.18 (-47.1%)
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 88¢193.1 shares
88¢→93.5¢
$169.91
$193.08
$180.53
+$10.62 (+6.2%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 62.1¢250 shares
62.1¢→62.3¢
$155.25
$250.00
$155.63
+$0.38 (+0.2%)
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes 20¢190.3 shares
20¢→47.5¢
$38.07
$190.34
$90.41
+$52.34 (+137.5%)
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes 24.5¢1.2K shares
24.5¢→7.5¢
$287.27
$1.2K
$88.02
−$199.25 (-69.4%)
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes 20¢190.3 shares
20¢→24.5¢
$38.07
$190.34
$46.63
+$8.57 (+22.5%)
Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?
No 99.9¢24.9 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$24.92
$24.94
$24.93
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 9.8¢1.3K shares
9.8¢→1.7¢
$130.57
$1.3K
$22.69
−$107.88 (-82.6%)
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 27.7¢92.6 shares
27.7¢→13¢
$25.69
$92.58
$12.03
−$13.65 (-53.2%)
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 91¢10.8 shares
91¢→81¢
$9.86
$10.83
$8.77
−$1.08 (-11.0%)
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
No 63.1¢10.1 shares
63.1¢→77.5¢
$6.39
$10.12
$7.85
+$1.45 (+22.8%)
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 85.0¢6.2 shares
85.0¢→88.5¢
$5.25
$6.18
$5.47
+$0.22 (+4.1%)
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?
No 99.9¢5 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$5.00
$5.00
$5.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?
No 99.9¢5 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$5.00
$5.00
$5.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?
No 99.9¢3.4 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$3.44
$3.44
$3.44
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 8.1¢2.0K shares
8.1¢→0.1¢
$162.00
$2.0K
$1.00
−$161.00 (-99.4%)
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Yes 50¢1.6 shares
50¢→43¢
$0.80
$1.60
$0.69
−$0.11 (-14.0%)
Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢5.1 shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$0.10
$5.09
$0.01
−$0.09 (-92.2%)
Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢5.1 shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$0.10
$5.09
$0.01
−$0.09 (-92.2%)
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No 50¢290.6 shares
50¢→0¢
$145.28
$290.55
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Yes 22.2¢1.5K shares
22.2¢→0¢
$333.01
$1.5K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes 95.4¢2.0K shares
95.4¢→0¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
Lost
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
No 8¢1,000 shares
8¢→0¢
$80.00
$999.97
Lost
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
No 8¢1,000 shares
8¢→0¢
$80.00
$999.99
Lost
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
No 8¢1,000 shares
8¢→0¢
$80.00
$999.98
Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 30.6¢3.2K shares
30.6¢→0¢
$977.52
$3.2K
Lost
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No 29.0¢15 shares
29.0¢→0¢
$4.35
$15.00
Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 10.9¢18.6K shares
10.9¢→0¢
$2.0K
$18.6K
Lost
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
No 8¢999.9 shares
8¢→0¢
$80.00
$999.94
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
No 8¢1,000 shares
8¢→0¢
$80.00
$999.97
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
No 56.1¢10.6K shares
56.1¢→0¢
$6.0K
$10.6K
Lost
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No 34.1¢2.3K shares
34.1¢→0¢
$785.35
$2.3K
Lost
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.0K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$102.04
$5.0K
Lost
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 94¢8.7 shares
94¢→0¢
$8.15
$8.67
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
No 58.2¢30.0K shares
58.2¢→0¢
$17.5K
$30.0K
Lost