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PolyScalping

Trading4Fridge

Joined March 2023

Total earnings

$66,221.33
1D
$65.14
7D
−$470.64
30D
$3.4K
90D
−$2.0K
Total volume
$13.19M
Predictions
2,016
Positions value
$1.5K
Performance
+$59.6K
+$5,242.42
+$1,246.03
+$2.63
+$168.91
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 23¢2.1K shares
$493.08
−$321.64 (-39.5%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 8.3¢1.1K shares
$94.47
−$292.53 (-75.6%)
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026?
No 94.4¢93.7 shares
$88.47
+$4.85 (+5.8%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.2¢42.3K shares
$84.70
−$4.3K (-98.1%)
NATO dissolves before 2027?
No 98.2¢85.4 shares
$83.87
+$5.30 (+6.7%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes 12¢529.1 shares
$63.50
−$125.60 (-66.4%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.9¢1.9K shares
$57.03
−$479.49 (-89.4%)
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?
No 96.5¢40 shares
$38.62
+$5.45 (+16.4%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 6¢630 shares
$37.80
−$125.03 (-76.8%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
No 14.0¢267.2 shares
$37.41
−$70.02 (-65.2%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 4.3¢708.8 shares
$30.12
−$92.57 (-75.4%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 2.5¢1.2K shares
$29.15
−$683.20 (-95.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Yes 24.5¢117.7 shares
$28.83
+$1.39 (+5.1%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢28.8 shares
$27.23
+$2.75 (+11.2%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
Yes 53.5¢49 shares
$26.22
+$6.13 (+30.5%)
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢443.9 shares
$24.42
−$98.33 (-80.1%)
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢339.7 shares
$23.78
−$84.36 (-78.0%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 1.7¢1.3K shares
$22.54
−$216.14 (-90.6%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 5.3¢405.6 shares
$21.70
−$10.75 (-33.1%)
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Yes 3.3¢545 shares
$17.99
−$40.58 (-69.3%)
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢10.1K shares
$15.21
−$518.98 (-97.2%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
Yes 4.8¢320.2 shares
$15.21
−$68.23 (-81.8%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
Yes 1¢1.2K shares
$12.18
−$542.64 (-97.8%)
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢170.5 shares
$11.85
−$98.74 (-89.3%)
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
No 95.0¢11.5 shares
$10.94
+$3.80 (+53.3%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 5.1¢154 shares
$7.85
+$6.44 (+455.7%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Eric Trump in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 4.7¢154 shares
$7.16
+$5.75 (+406.7%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 98.6¢6.3 shares
$6.20
+$0.23 (+3.9%)
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 4.5¢133.4 shares
$6.00
−$18.65 (-75.7%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Elon Musk in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 3.2¢154 shares
$4.93
+$3.51 (+248.7%)
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Yes 6.9¢58.3 shares
$4.02
−$16.96 (-80.8%)
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Yes 5.3¢67.6 shares
$3.62
−$0.98 (-21.3%)
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢35.9 shares
$2.51
−$20.55 (-89.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Ted Cruz in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 1.6¢154 shares
$2.46
+$1.05 (+74.3%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 3.6¢62.8 shares
$2.26
+$0.13 (+5.9%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 1.5¢154 shares
$2.23
+$0.82 (+58.0%)
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Yes 5.4¢23.8 shares
$1.29
−$8.25 (-86.5%)
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Something 0.3¢412.8 shares
$1.24
−$23.53 (-95.0%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Ivanka Trump in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.7¢154 shares
$1.08
−$0.34 (-23.7%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Glenn Youngkin in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢154 shares
$0.92
−$0.49 (-34.6%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Sarah Huckabee Sanders in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Greg Abbott in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Tucker Carlson in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Tulsi Gabbard in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Byron Donalds in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Brian Kemp in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢154 shares
$0.85
−$0.57 (-40.1%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Thomas Massie in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢154 shares
$0.69
−$0.72 (-51.0%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Rand Paul in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢138.6 shares
$0.55
−$0.72 (-56.4%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢154 shares
$0.39
−$1.03 (-72.8%)
Will Donald Trump endorse Marjorie Taylor Greene in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢154 shares
$0.31
−$1.11 (-78.2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢198.1 shares
Lost
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Yes 0¢356.2 shares
Lost
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?
Yes 0¢47.3 shares
Lost
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
Yes 0¢2.9K shares
Lost
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes 0¢49.1 shares
Lost
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Yes 0¢85 shares
Lost
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
No 0¢6.7 shares
Lost
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
Yes 0¢487.5 shares
Lost
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢510.8 shares
Lost