aviato

Joined July 2024

Total earnings

$180,555.83

1D

$1.6K

7D

$2.0K

30D

$12.1K

90D

$14.7K

Total volume

$29.86M

Predictions

3,052

Positions value

$194.4K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$165.8K

LP+$13.9K

Maker+$607.20

Yield+$3.02

Taker+$2.03

Fees−$256.34

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 177k earners

of 139k earners

of 335k earners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 96.9¢14.7K shares

96.9¢→98.9¢

+$283.96 (+2.0%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 94.3¢13.7K shares

94.3¢→98.9¢

+$620.31 (+4.8%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?

No 95.2¢11.6K shares

95.2¢→98.1¢

+$333.94 (+3.0%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 91.8¢11.8K shares

91.8¢→93.7¢

+$229.10 (+2.1%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 81.8¢12.2K shares

81.8¢→88.9¢

+$874.39 (+8.8%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 83.8¢11.0K shares

83.8¢→94.5¢

+$1.2K (+12.8%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86.9¢9.7K shares

86.9¢→94.5¢

+$738.62 (+8.7%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 97.1¢8.9K shares

97.1¢→99.4¢

+$200.99 (+2.3%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 89.0¢10.9K shares

89.0¢→78.5¢

−$1.1K (-11.8%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96.0¢7.4K shares

96.0¢→99.2¢

+$232.14 (+3.3%)

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 85.0¢7.7K shares

85.0¢→90.3¢

+$405.10 (+6.2%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 97.0¢6.0K shares

97.0¢→99.3¢

+$133.01 (+2.3%)

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 98.1¢5.5K shares

98.1¢→100.0¢

+$103.28 (+1.9%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 94.3¢6.0K shares

94.3¢→80.2¢

−$846.99 (-15.0%)

Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?

No 98.6¢4.0K shares

98.6¢→99.8¢

+$48.00 (+1.2%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.1¢4.0K shares

99.1¢→99.3¢

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 97.8¢3.9K shares

97.8¢→99.9¢

+$79.75 (+2.1%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 91.5¢4.0K shares

91.5¢→95.8¢

+$172.69 (+4.7%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94.5¢3.8K shares

94.5¢→97.3¢

+$104.70 (+2.9%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 93.5¢3.1K shares

93.5¢→94.5¢

+$31.23 (+1.1%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

No 97.9¢2.9K shares

97.9¢→98.2¢

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

Yes 93.4¢3.0K shares

93.4¢→94.5¢

+$34.17 (+1.2%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 88.3¢3.0K shares

88.3¢→93.5¢

+$155.01 (+5.8%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 88.0¢2.6K shares

88.0¢→90.5¢

+$66.78 (+2.9%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

No 92¢2.5K shares

+$36.85 (+1.6%)

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Yes 91.1¢2.3K shares

91.1¢→95.2¢

+$92.21 (+4.4%)

Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 97.7¢2.0K shares

97.7¢→100.0¢

+$46.00 (+2.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?

Yes 99.2¢2.0K shares

99.2¢→99.8¢

+$12.00 (+0.6%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 95.7¢2.0K shares

95.7¢→96.8¢

+$20.00 (+1.0%)

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 91.7¢2.0K shares

91.7¢→95.2¢

+$70.00 (+3.8%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Yes 96.8¢1.7K shares

96.8¢→99.7¢

+$48.73 (+2.9%)

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 87.8¢1.7K shares

87.8¢→89.6¢

+$32.28 (+2.1%)

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

No 88.3¢1.3K shares

88.3¢→94.5¢

+$81.15 (+7.0%)

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

No 99.1¢1.1K shares

99.1¢→99.2¢

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

No 73.9¢1.1K shares

73.9¢→94.3¢

+$217.59 (+27.6%)

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?

No 95.3¢1.0K shares

95.3¢→98.9¢

+$35.50 (+3.7%)

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 86¢1.0K shares

+$107.00 (+12.4%)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 94.1¢1.0K shares

94.1¢→95.0¢

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?

No 93¢940 shares

+$53.58 (+6.1%)

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

No 89¢1.0K shares

+$15.00 (+1.7%)

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

No 89.3¢927.1 shares

89.3¢→94.5¢

+$47.95 (+5.8%)

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

No 95.4¢1.0K shares

95.4¢→79.8¢

−$155.50 (-16.3%)

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 94.6¢725.9 shares

94.6¢→96.9¢

+$16.33 (+2.4%)

Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Yes 75.9¢698.1 shares

+$126.47 (+23.9%)

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 94.7¢633.1 shares

94.7¢→96.8¢

+$12.98 (+2.2%)

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?

No 89¢667.1 shares

+$10.01 (+1.7%)

Jonathan Majors as Kang?

No 88.4¢507.4 shares

88.4¢→91.5¢

+$15.87 (+3.5%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

No 75.4¢500 shares

75.4¢→92.5¢

+$85.50 (+22.7%)

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?

No 90.4¢409.8 shares

90.4¢→94.7¢

+$17.22 (+4.6%)

Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 200m and 250m by August 31?

No 95¢328.9 shares

+$16.28 (+5.2%)

Kash Patel out by July 31?

No 97¢305.9 shares

Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No 89.2¢305 shares

89.2¢→94.8¢

+$17.08 (+6.3%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 66¢1.0K shares

−$425.00 (-64.4%)

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 95.5¢229.9 shares

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 94.4¢223 shares

94.4¢→99.2¢

+$10.70 (+5.1%)

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 91.3¢229.5 shares

91.3¢→95.3¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Yes 82¢242.8 shares

+$13.36 (+6.7%)

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

No 91¢189.6 shares

Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?

No 91¢150 shares

+$13.43 (+9.8%)

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

No 92.6¢148.9 shares

92.6¢→96.8¢

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

No 91¢133.9 shares

+$10.16 (+8.3%)

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?

Yes 94.5¢120 shares

94.5¢→94.0¢

−$0.66 (-0.6%)

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?

No 94.1¢100 shares

94.1¢→98.0¢

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

No 93¢96.7 shares

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 92.6¢44.1 shares

92.6¢→97.8¢

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

No 56.0¢45 shares

56.0¢→78.5¢

+$10.13 (+40.2%)

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 93.5¢34 shares

93.5¢→94.5¢

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 94.7¢28 shares

94.7¢→98.0¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 87.0¢14.5 shares

Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?

No 92.6¢12.5 shares

92.6¢→97.2¢

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 92¢10 shares

Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 0.4¢172.6 shares

+$8.28 (+1200.0%)

Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?

No 96.1¢2 shares

96.1¢→95.8¢

−$0.01 (-0.3%)

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 2.3¢41.6 shares

−$0.02 (-2.2%)

Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1¢649.2 shares

Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1¢499 shares

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 83¢105 shares

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.2¢12.5 shares