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PolyScalping

aviato

Joined July 2024

Total earnings

$267,091.54
1D
$13.0K
7D
$29.0K
30D
$45.3K
90D
$70.2K
Total volume
$34.55M
Predictions
3,753
Positions value
$190.3K
Performance
+$245.1K
+$21.6K
+$1,074.71
+$91.19
+$8.04
−$792.92
Overall
#939
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#823
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#959
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#294
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#4,526
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#57,672
of 72k earners
Yield
#2,655
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#29,650
of 1.5M payers
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢53.0K shares
$53.0K
+$36.4K (+220.5%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢17.0K shares
$14.7K
+$415.06 (+2.9%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 95¢12.1K shares
$11.5K
+$1.3K (+13.3%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 99.0¢11.4K shares
$11.3K
+$380.52 (+3.5%)
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
No 94.3¢7.6K shares
$7.1K
+$132.87 (+1.9%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢5.3K shares
$4.9K
+$26.50 (+0.5%)
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77¢5.6K shares
$4.3K
−$367.57 (-7.9%)
Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 97¢4.0K shares
$3.9K
+$161.20 (+4.3%)
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 93.0¢2.9K shares
$2.7K
+$39.80 (+1.5%)
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.9¢2.2K shares
$2.1K
+$49.90 (+2.4%)
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 90¢2.2K shares
$1.9K
+$64.55 (+3.4%)
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
No 97.7¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$33.29 (+1.8%)
Will Adam Scott be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.5¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$24.52 (+1.3%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes 90¢2.0K shares
$1.8K
+$444.51 (+32.3%)
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 97.4¢1.8K shares
$1.8K
+$35.72 (+2.0%)
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
No 93.4¢1.7K shares
$1.6K
−$13.67 (-0.9%)
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 93.6¢1.6K shares
$1.5K
+$69.07 (+4.7%)
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 95.1¢1.6K shares
$1.5K
+$53.69 (+3.7%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes 93.5¢1.5K shares
$1.4K
+$21.84 (+1.6%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 97.4¢1.4K shares
$1.4K
+$74.47 (+5.7%)
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
No 95.2¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
+$92.54 (+7.7%)
Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 97.9¢1.3K shares
$1.3K
+$37.68 (+3.1%)
Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.7¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$55.16 (+4.8%)
Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?
No 98.8¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$160.31 (+16.9%)
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
No 96¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$38.74 (+3.7%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
No 95.7¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$28.57 (+2.7%)
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 94.3¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$32.31 (+3.2%)
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
No 94.4¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
−$16.56 (-1.6%)
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
No 96.5¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$11.68 (+1.2%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 96.9¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$24.31 (+2.4%)
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
No 97¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$32.89 (+3.3%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 95.0¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$14.41 (+1.4%)
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 91.5¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
−$5.53 (-0.5%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$13.03 (+1.3%)
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 99.4¢988.4 shares
$982.00
+$59.80 (+6.5%)
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?
No 95.7¢1.0K shares
$956.50
+$3.02 (+0.3%)
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
No 94.7¢1.0K shares
$947.00
+$41.00 (+4.5%)
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
No 93.5¢1,000 shares
$934.99
+$15.00 (+1.6%)
Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.0¢946 shares
$907.69
+$34.37 (+3.9%)
Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 89.5¢1.0K shares
$898.78
+$43.52 (+5.1%)
Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.3¢860.1 shares
$828.30
+$15.48 (+1.9%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 96.3¢801.7 shares
$771.66
+$18.04 (+2.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢1.0K shares
$770.00
−$80.00 (-9.4%)
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 97.5¢779.6 shares
$760.52
+$40.77 (+5.7%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
No 94.8¢787.7 shares
$746.78
+$21.34 (+2.9%)
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 99.0¢725.9 shares
$718.27
+$31.58 (+4.6%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢751.4 shares
$712.67
+$3.15 (+0.4%)
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 92.9¢765.4 shares
$711.03
+$10.43 (+1.5%)
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 97¢727.7 shares
$705.83
+$86.47 (+14.0%)
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 96.3¢724.5 shares
$697.71
+$0.72 (+0.1%)
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 95.0¢705.2 shares
$669.62
+$12.72 (+1.9%)
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 93.5¢711.9 shares
$666.01
+$58.85 (+9.7%)
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 90¢718 shares
$646.22
−$7.18 (-1.1%)
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?
No 95.5¢666.9 shares
$636.55
+$10.45 (+1.7%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢1,000 shares
$634.99
−$235.00 (-27.0%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.8¢633.1 shares
$612.87
+$13.30 (+2.2%)
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 92.2¢650.6 shares
$599.83
−$7.59 (-1.2%)
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
No 91¢607.5 shares
$552.86
+$11.39 (+2.1%)
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
No 96.7¢568.8 shares
$549.73
+$18.01 (+3.4%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.4¢558.3 shares
$538.24
+$22.84 (+4.4%)
Will Himesh Patel be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.0¢559.7 shares
$537.63
+$31.50 (+6.2%)
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
No 96.3¢545.5 shares
$525.29
+$10.91 (+2.1%)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 97.2¢528.3 shares
$513.20
+$13.21 (+2.6%)
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?
No 95.0¢539 shares
$512.30
+$12.29 (+2.5%)
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 98¢520.7 shares
$510.31
+$26.04 (+5.4%)
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
No 91.3¢549.5 shares
$501.65
+$1.65 (+0.3%)
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
No 94.5¢521.8 shares
$493.35
+$17.03 (+3.6%)
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?
No 89.5¢549.5 shares
$491.77
−$8.24 (-1.6%)
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 92.7¢520 shares
$482.03
−$2.56 (-0.5%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 98.5¢479.4 shares
$472.19
+$18.65 (+4.1%)
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?
No 86.1¢534.2 shares
$459.92
−$40.06 (-8.0%)
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?
No 96.9¢451.6 shares
$437.61
+$19.04 (+4.5%)
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
No 96.4¢446.5 shares
$430.24
+$6.92 (+1.6%)
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?
No 91¢469 shares
$426.80
+$0.49 (+0.1%)
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 79.7¢535.6 shares
$426.59
−$61.37 (-12.6%)
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
No 96.7¢439.1 shares
$424.65
+$16.87 (+4.1%)
Will Kirsten Dunst be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.0¢432 shares
$414.94
+$8.86 (+2.2%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 74.5¢549 shares
$409.01
−$39.18 (-8.7%)
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 94.8¢428.5 shares
$406.05
+$11.60 (+2.9%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 94.3¢430.8 shares
$406.03
+$6.03 (+1.5%)
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 77.5¢490.1 shares
$379.86
+$47.35 (+14.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 18.4¢2.0K shares
$366.98
−$1.4K (-79.0%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 98.0¢362.3 shares
$354.91
+$8.94 (+2.6%)
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
No 97.7¢343.3 shares
$335.40
+$5.49 (+1.7%)
Will Charles Melton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.6¢342.5 shares
$327.40
+$20.30 (+6.6%)
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
No 91.6¢356.7 shares
$326.92
−$3.19 (-1.0%)
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
No 97.1¢323.6 shares
$314.24
+$14.29 (+4.8%)
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
No 96.2¢322.7 shares
$310.48
+$15.88 (+5.4%)
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
No 97.0¢319.8 shares
$310.07
+$10.07 (+3.4%)
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 89.5¢333.3 shares
$298.33
+$8.33 (+2.9%)
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
No 84.5¢347.9 shares
$293.94
−$23.47 (-7.4%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?
No 86.5¢319.1 shares
$276.06
−$23.94 (-8.0%)
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
No 88.5¢310.2 shares
$274.71
−$10.25 (-3.6%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 93¢292.4 shares
$271.98
+$3.01 (+1.1%)
Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 97¢271.8 shares
$263.60
+$14.70 (+5.9%)
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
No 97.3¢266.1 shares
$258.76
+$8.30 (+3.3%)
Will Danielle Deadwyler be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.5¢262.4 shares
$253.37
+$14.03 (+5.9%)
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?
No 86.5¢292.8 shares
$253.13
−$3.10 (-1.2%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Yes 90.5¢275.7 shares
$249.52
−$4.14 (-1.6%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No 95.3¢259.8 shares
$247.47
+$1.03 (+0.4%)