thepolwinner
Flex cardJoined March 2025
Total earnings
$43,951.68
1D
−$2.49
7D
$532.06
30D
$2.4K
90D
$3.3K
Total volume
$50.71M
Predictions
27,274
Positions value
$790.42
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$38.6K
LP+$848.55
Maker+$6.1K
Yield+$2.14
Taker+$79.52
Fees−$1.7K
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 23.6¢80.9 shares
23.6¢→84.5¢
$19.10
$80.91
$68.37
+$49.27 (+258.0%)
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 10.0¢128.4 shares
10.0¢→18.5¢
$12.84
$128.42
$23.76
+$10.92 (+85.0%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Yes 40¢84.8 shares
40¢→25¢
$33.92
$84.80
$21.20
−$12.72 (-37.5%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 10.7¢139.8 shares
10.7¢→14.1¢
$14.91
$139.80
$19.77
+$4.86 (+32.6%)
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes 8¢180.7 shares
8¢→10.5¢
$14.46
$180.72
$18.98
+$4.52 (+31.3%)
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 16.7¢140.5 shares
16.7¢→13.5¢
$23.39
$140.46
$18.96
−$4.43 (-18.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
Yes 9¢154 shares
9¢→12¢
$13.86
$153.96
$18.48
+$4.62 (+33.3%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Yes 17.0¢80.1 shares
17.0¢→19.5¢
$13.64
$80.05
$15.61
+$1.97 (+14.4%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 9.1¢103.7 shares
9.1¢→14.5¢
$9.42
$103.66
$15.03
+$5.61 (+59.5%)
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 20.0¢58.5 shares
20.0¢→25.5¢
$11.71
$58.55
$14.93
+$3.22 (+27.5%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 48¢27.7 shares
48¢→49.5¢
$13.31
$27.73
$13.73
+$0.42 (+3.1%)
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 14.5¢113.5 shares
14.5¢→11¢
$16.43
$113.47
$12.48
−$3.95 (-24.0%)
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 14.0¢87.2 shares
14.0¢→13.5¢
$12.21
$87.19
$11.77
−$0.44 (-3.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
No 8¢180.7 shares
8¢→5.9¢
$14.46
$180.72
$10.57
−$3.89 (-26.9%)
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Yes 11¢131.4 shares
11¢→7.3¢
$14.45
$131.40
$9.66
−$4.80 (-33.2%)
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?
Yes 12¢119.4 shares
12¢→6.8¢
$14.32
$119.36
$8.12
−$6.21 (-43.3%)
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Yes 8.6¢168.1 shares
8.6¢→3.3¢
$14.45
$168.08
$5.55
−$8.91 (-61.6%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Yes 17.5¢44.2 shares
17.5¢→12.5¢
$7.71
$44.15
$5.52
−$2.19 (-28.4%)
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Yes 29.0¢53.9 shares
29.0¢→9.5¢
$15.62
$53.87
$5.12
−$10.50 (-67.2%)
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
No 46.7¢4.8 shares
46.7¢→99.8¢
$2.25
$4.82
$4.81
+$2.56 (+113.7%)
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Yes 27¢12.9 shares
27¢→36.5¢
$3.48
$12.90
$4.71
+$1.23 (+35.2%)
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
No 42¢4.4 shares
42¢→99.8¢
$1.85
$4.40
$4.39
+$2.54 (+137.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
No 9¢50 shares
9¢→8.5¢
$4.50
$50.00
$4.25
−$0.25 (-5.6%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No 44.2¢4.7 shares
44.2¢→90¢
$2.07
$4.68
$4.21
+$2.14 (+103.5%)
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 46¢5 shares
46¢→83¢
$2.29
$4.97
$4.13
+$1.84 (+80.4%)
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
Yes 8¢93.2 shares
8¢→4.3¢
$7.45
$93.17
$4.00
−$3.46 (-46.4%)
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No 39¢4.8 shares
39¢→82.5¢
$1.89
$4.84
$3.99
+$2.11 (+111.5%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 56.9¢4.3 shares
56.9¢→92.5¢
$2.44
$4.29
$3.97
+$1.52 (+62.4%)
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
No 49¢4.7 shares
49¢→84¢
$2.31
$4.71
$3.96
+$1.65 (+71.4%)
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 33.0¢3.9 shares
33.0¢→98.6¢
$1.29
$3.92
$3.86
+$2.57 (+198.3%)
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 31.7¢4.8 shares
31.7¢→79.8¢
$1.51
$4.77
$3.81
+$2.30 (+152.0%)
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
No 42¢4.3 shares
42¢→85¢
$1.79
$4.25
$3.61
+$1.83 (+102.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 52¢3.8 shares
52¢→93.5¢
$1.97
$3.78
$3.53
+$1.57 (+79.8%)
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
No 43.5¢4.5 shares
43.5¢→77.5¢
$1.97
$4.52
$3.50
+$1.54 (+78.2%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 43.0¢3.9 shares
43.0¢→88.5¢
$1.70
$3.95
$3.49
+$1.80 (+105.8%)
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 29.3¢3.5 shares
29.3¢→96.7¢
$1.02
$3.48
$3.36
+$2.34 (+230.0%)
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Yes 36.0¢20.3 shares
36.0¢→16.5¢
$7.31
$20.30
$3.35
−$3.96 (-54.2%)
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 19.0¢4.1 shares
19.0¢→79.5¢
$0.79
$4.14
$3.29
+$2.50 (+318.5%)
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 38.6¢3.7 shares
38.6¢→87¢
$1.43
$3.71
$3.22
+$1.79 (+125.5%)
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 50¢4.9 shares
50¢→65¢
$2.47
$4.94
$3.21
+$0.74 (+30.0%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 35.0¢9.5 shares
35.0¢→33.5¢
$3.33
$9.52
$3.19
−$0.14 (-4.3%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
No 53¢3.3 shares
53¢→96.8¢
$1.74
$3.29
$3.18
+$1.44 (+82.6%)
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 32¢3.3 shares
32¢→96.5¢
$1.06
$3.30
$3.18
+$2.13 (+201.4%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 45.1¢3.9 shares
45.1¢→81.5¢
$1.75
$3.88
$3.16
+$1.41 (+80.7%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 29.0¢4.6 shares
29.0¢→69.0¢
$1.32
$4.57
$3.15
+$1.83 (+137.9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 50.3¢3.2 shares
50.3¢→99.3¢
$1.60
$3.17
$3.15
+$1.55 (+97.2%)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No 19.4¢3.4 shares
19.4¢→92.0¢
$0.66
$3.38
$3.11
+$2.45 (+373.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
No 46.0¢4.6 shares
46.0¢→66.5¢
$2.13
$4.64
$3.09
+$0.95 (+44.5%)
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Yes 48.0¢5 shares
48.0¢→62¢
$2.39
$4.97
$3.08
+$0.70 (+29.2%)
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
No 47.0¢3.7 shares
47.0¢→83.4¢
$1.73
$3.68
$3.07
+$1.34 (+77.3%)
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?
No 26¢4.1 shares
26¢→74¢
$1.07
$4.13
$3.06
+$1.98 (+184.6%)
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
No 46¢4.8 shares
46¢→63.5¢
$2.21
$4.80
$3.05
+$0.84 (+38.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?
No 12¢46.9 shares
12¢→6.5¢
$5.62
$46.85
$3.05
−$2.58 (-45.8%)
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
No 20.1¢3 shares
20.1¢→97.4¢
$0.61
$3.03
$2.95
+$2.34 (+384.0%)
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes 27.2¢3.4 shares
27.2¢→85.7¢
$0.93
$3.43
$2.94
+$2.01 (+215.0%)
Ledger IPO before 2027?
No 27.9¢3.2 shares
27.9¢→89.5¢
$0.90
$3.23
$2.89
+$1.99 (+220.3%)
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 49¢2.9 shares
49¢→95¢
$1.44
$2.94
$2.79
+$1.35 (+93.9%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 42.2¢3.3 shares
42.2¢→83.5¢
$1.40
$3.31
$2.76
+$1.36 (+97.7%)
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
No 20¢3.5 shares
20¢→77.5¢
$0.71
$3.54
$2.74
+$2.04 (+287.5%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 28.0¢5.5 shares
28.0¢→50.0¢
$1.54
$5.49
$2.74
+$1.20 (+78.4%)
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 38.0¢3 shares
38.0¢→91¢
$1.14
$2.98
$2.72
+$1.58 (+139.1%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
No 39.1¢3.8 shares
39.1¢→70.5¢
$1.47
$3.76
$2.65
+$1.18 (+80.1%)
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Yes 53.2¢3.6 shares
53.2¢→72¢
$1.91
$3.58
$2.58
+$0.67 (+35.3%)
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
No 39¢3.2 shares
39¢→79.5¢
$1.26
$3.24
$2.58
+$1.31 (+103.8%)
Deel IPO before 2027?
No 36¢2.7 shares
36¢→95.5¢
$0.95
$2.65
$2.53
+$1.58 (+165.3%)
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
No 34.4¢2.5 shares
34.4¢→98.7¢
$0.87
$2.53
$2.50
+$1.62 (+186.5%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Yes 53.3¢3.8 shares
53.3¢→65.5¢
$2.01
$3.77
$2.47
+$0.46 (+23.0%)
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 44.0¢2.6 shares
44.0¢→94.5¢
$1.13
$2.57
$2.43
+$1.30 (+114.8%)
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 41¢5 shares
41¢→48.5¢
$2.03
$4.96
$2.41
+$0.37 (+18.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 37.3¢3.4 shares
37.3¢→70.5¢
$1.27
$3.41
$2.40
+$1.13 (+89.2%)
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
No 19¢2.6 shares
19¢→92.5¢
$0.49
$2.56
$2.37
+$1.88 (+386.8%)
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
No 46¢3.1 shares
46¢→76¢
$1.42
$3.08
$2.34
+$0.92 (+65.2%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 50.1¢2.3 shares
50.1¢→97.9¢
$1.16
$2.32
$2.27
+$1.11 (+95.1%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 39.0¢2.7 shares
39.0¢→82¢
$1.07
$2.75
$2.25
+$1.18 (+110.2%)
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Yes 47.0¢4.5 shares
47.0¢→49¢
$2.11
$4.49
$2.20
+$0.09 (+4.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
No 29.0¢2.5 shares
29.0¢→88.5¢
$0.72
$2.47
$2.19
+$1.47 (+205.2%)
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
No 32¢4.4 shares
32¢→49.5¢
$1.41
$4.41
$2.18
+$0.77 (+54.7%)
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 43.2¢4.9 shares
43.2¢→44¢
$2.13
$4.93
$2.17
+$0.04 (+1.8%)
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Yes 31.0¢3.4 shares
31.0¢→64¢
$1.04
$3.36
$2.15
+$1.11 (+106.5%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 44.0¢3.2 shares
44.0¢→66.5¢
$1.42
$3.23
$2.15
+$0.72 (+50.9%)
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 42.0¢2.6 shares
42.0¢→82.5¢
$1.08
$2.57
$2.12
+$1.04 (+96.5%)
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 16¢3.3 shares
16¢→64¢
$0.52
$3.28
$2.10
+$1.57 (+300.0%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 48.6¢3.4 shares
48.6¢→62.5¢
$1.63
$3.36
$2.10
+$0.46 (+28.5%)
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No 22¢2.4 shares
22¢→86.5¢
$0.53
$2.40
$2.08
+$1.55 (+293.2%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 22.0¢4.4 shares
22.0¢→47.5¢
$0.96
$4.36
$2.07
+$1.11 (+115.7%)
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 43.0¢2.4 shares
43.0¢→84¢
$1.05
$2.45
$2.05
+$1.00 (+95.3%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 45¢4.4 shares
45¢→46.5¢
$1.96
$4.36
$2.03
+$0.07 (+3.3%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 42¢3.2 shares
42¢→63.5¢
$1.33
$3.16
$2.01
+$0.68 (+51.2%)
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 32.8¢3.6 shares
32.8¢→55.5¢
$1.17
$3.57
$1.98
+$0.81 (+69.0%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 50¢4.6 shares
50¢→43.5¢
$2.28
$4.55
$1.98
−$0.30 (-13.0%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 14.0¢2 shares
14.0¢→97.0¢
$0.28
$1.97
$1.91
+$1.63 (+592.5%)
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 41¢2.1 shares
41¢→90¢
$0.86
$2.10
$1.89
+$1.03 (+119.5%)
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 46.9¢1.9 shares
46.9¢→99.8¢
$0.89
$1.89
$1.89
+$1.00 (+112.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 25¢3.5 shares
25¢→53.5¢
$0.88
$3.52
$1.88
+$1.00 (+114.0%)
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No 42¢4 shares
42¢→47¢
$1.66
$3.96
$1.86
+$0.20 (+11.9%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 39.2¢4.3 shares
39.2¢→42.1¢
$1.70
$4.34
$1.83
+$0.13 (+7.5%)
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
No 41¢2.1 shares
41¢→86¢
$0.86
$2.10
$1.81
+$0.95 (+109.8%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes 28.0¢4.3 shares
28.0¢→41.5¢
$1.20
$4.28
$1.78
+$0.58 (+48.2%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 34.0¢2.7 shares
34.0¢→66.5¢
$0.90
$2.65
$1.77
+$0.86 (+95.6%)
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
No 26.3¢2.4 shares
26.3¢→72¢
$0.64
$2.44
$1.76
+$1.12 (+174.2%)